SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution guidance. In particular, the Critical area was expanded slightly northward in northeastern CO, and slightly eastward in western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. Confidence in Critical-caliber wind/RH is high enough to warrant these adjustments, given modest/increasingly receptive fuels. As noted in the previous forecast discussion below, localized extremely critical meteorological conditions are possible over parts of eastern CO; however, fuels do not appear supportive of such highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1259 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Friday, a strong mid-level trough will move slowly across the Inter-Mountain West. As this occurs, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest and High Plains with a strong lee cyclone developing in eastern Wyoming and eventually into eastern Colorado. As this occurs, 25+ mph sustained surface winds are expected across much of the High Plains. In addition, a very dry environment will be present with relative humidity in the single digits. The worst of the conditions are expected in eastern Colorado where sustained winds may exceed 30 mph. Fortunately, much of the area which will experience these very dry and very windy conditions saw recent rain/snowfall which has improved moisture quality somewhat. Several days of drying has certainly dried fine fuels sufficiently for a fire weather threat, but this recent precipitation will definitely be a limiting factor to a more widespread fire weather threat that may otherwise be realized with the expected winds and low relative humidity. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution guidance. In particular, the Critical area was expanded slightly northward in northeastern CO, and slightly eastward in western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. Confidence in Critical-caliber wind/RH is high enough to warrant these adjustments, given modest/increasingly receptive fuels. As noted in the previous forecast discussion below, localized extremely critical meteorological conditions are possible over parts of eastern CO; however, fuels do not appear supportive of such highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1259 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Friday, a strong mid-level trough will move slowly across the Inter-Mountain West. As this occurs, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest and High Plains with a strong lee cyclone developing in eastern Wyoming and eventually into eastern Colorado. As this occurs, 25+ mph sustained surface winds are expected across much of the High Plains. In addition, a very dry environment will be present with relative humidity in the single digits. The worst of the conditions are expected in eastern Colorado where sustained winds may exceed 30 mph. Fortunately, much of the area which will experience these very dry and very windy conditions saw recent rain/snowfall which has improved moisture quality somewhat. Several days of drying has certainly dried fine fuels sufficiently for a fire weather threat, but this recent precipitation will definitely be a limiting factor to a more widespread fire weather threat that may otherwise be realized with the expected winds and low relative humidity. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution guidance. In particular, the Critical area was expanded slightly northward in northeastern CO, and slightly eastward in western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. Confidence in Critical-caliber wind/RH is high enough to warrant these adjustments, given modest/increasingly receptive fuels. As noted in the previous forecast discussion below, localized extremely critical meteorological conditions are possible over parts of eastern CO; however, fuels do not appear supportive of such highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1259 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Friday, a strong mid-level trough will move slowly across the Inter-Mountain West. As this occurs, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest and High Plains with a strong lee cyclone developing in eastern Wyoming and eventually into eastern Colorado. As this occurs, 25+ mph sustained surface winds are expected across much of the High Plains. In addition, a very dry environment will be present with relative humidity in the single digits. The worst of the conditions are expected in eastern Colorado where sustained winds may exceed 30 mph. Fortunately, much of the area which will experience these very dry and very windy conditions saw recent rain/snowfall which has improved moisture quality somewhat. Several days of drying has certainly dried fine fuels sufficiently for a fire weather threat, but this recent precipitation will definitely be a limiting factor to a more widespread fire weather threat that may otherwise be realized with the expected winds and low relative humidity. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution guidance. In particular, the Critical area was expanded slightly northward in northeastern CO, and slightly eastward in western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. Confidence in Critical-caliber wind/RH is high enough to warrant these adjustments, given modest/increasingly receptive fuels. As noted in the previous forecast discussion below, localized extremely critical meteorological conditions are possible over parts of eastern CO; however, fuels do not appear supportive of such highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1259 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Friday, a strong mid-level trough will move slowly across the Inter-Mountain West. As this occurs, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest and High Plains with a strong lee cyclone developing in eastern Wyoming and eventually into eastern Colorado. As this occurs, 25+ mph sustained surface winds are expected across much of the High Plains. In addition, a very dry environment will be present with relative humidity in the single digits. The worst of the conditions are expected in eastern Colorado where sustained winds may exceed 30 mph. Fortunately, much of the area which will experience these very dry and very windy conditions saw recent rain/snowfall which has improved moisture quality somewhat. Several days of drying has certainly dried fine fuels sufficiently for a fire weather threat, but this recent precipitation will definitely be a limiting factor to a more widespread fire weather threat that may otherwise be realized with the expected winds and low relative humidity. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution guidance. In particular, the Critical area was expanded slightly northward in northeastern CO, and slightly eastward in western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. Confidence in Critical-caliber wind/RH is high enough to warrant these adjustments, given modest/increasingly receptive fuels. As noted in the previous forecast discussion below, localized extremely critical meteorological conditions are possible over parts of eastern CO; however, fuels do not appear supportive of such highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1259 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Friday, a strong mid-level trough will move slowly across the Inter-Mountain West. As this occurs, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest and High Plains with a strong lee cyclone developing in eastern Wyoming and eventually into eastern Colorado. As this occurs, 25+ mph sustained surface winds are expected across much of the High Plains. In addition, a very dry environment will be present with relative humidity in the single digits. The worst of the conditions are expected in eastern Colorado where sustained winds may exceed 30 mph. Fortunately, much of the area which will experience these very dry and very windy conditions saw recent rain/snowfall which has improved moisture quality somewhat. Several days of drying has certainly dried fine fuels sufficiently for a fire weather threat, but this recent precipitation will definitely be a limiting factor to a more widespread fire weather threat that may otherwise be realized with the expected winds and low relative humidity. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made based on the latest high-resolution guidance. In particular, the Critical area was expanded slightly northward in northeastern CO, and slightly eastward in western KS and the TX/OK Panhandles. Confidence in Critical-caliber wind/RH is high enough to warrant these adjustments, given modest/increasingly receptive fuels. As noted in the previous forecast discussion below, localized extremely critical meteorological conditions are possible over parts of eastern CO; however, fuels do not appear supportive of such highlights at this time. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1259 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... On Friday, a strong mid-level trough will move slowly across the Inter-Mountain West. As this occurs, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread the Southwest and High Plains with a strong lee cyclone developing in eastern Wyoming and eventually into eastern Colorado. As this occurs, 25+ mph sustained surface winds are expected across much of the High Plains. In addition, a very dry environment will be present with relative humidity in the single digits. The worst of the conditions are expected in eastern Colorado where sustained winds may exceed 30 mph. Fortunately, much of the area which will experience these very dry and very windy conditions saw recent rain/snowfall which has improved moisture quality somewhat. Several days of drying has certainly dried fine fuels sufficiently for a fire weather threat, but this recent precipitation will definitely be a limiting factor to a more widespread fire weather threat that may otherwise be realized with the expected winds and low relative humidity. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Apr 4, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 PM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental U.S. Friday or Friday night. ...Discussion... Two upper lows will continue to affect weather over the U.S. Friday. The eastern low should remain roughly centered over Maine through the period, with the broader cyclonic flow field affecting areas east of the Mississippi River. In the West, the second low is expected to progress steadily eastward across the Great Basin vicinity, with surrounding cyclonic flow expanding to encompass the entirety of the western CONUS. In between the two lows, amplified ridging will prevail across the Plains. Generally stable conditions are expected east of the Rockies, precluding any appreciable potential for deep moist convection across the eastern half of the country. In the West, showers -- and embedded/occasional lightning -- are expected to occur across a large area, from California into Nevada and adjacent parts of Utah and northwestern Arizona, and also across the northern Intermountain area from Idaho eastward across parts of Montana and Wyoming. In all areas, severe weather is not expected. ..Goss.. 04/04/2024 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024 Valid 041700Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. Additionally, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible this afternoon across portions of the Southeast, that have missed out on appreciable rainfall over the last 1-2 weeks. This includes parts of far southern MS, southern AL, and the far western FL Panhandle. Here, diurnal heating will contribute to 20-30 percent afternoon RH, coincident with breezy/gusty post-frontal winds (sustained around 15 mph). While these conditions would ordinarily warrant Elevated highlights, fuels generally do not appear supportive of large-fire potential. ..Weinman.. 04/04/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 04 2024/ ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the West Coast today. Ahead of this trough, moderate to strong mid-level flow will overspread a deeply mixed airmass in Arizona and the Great Basin. This will result in dry and breezy conditions across a broad region. However, fuels remain moist in this area and therefore, the fire weather threat will be minimal. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
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