Severe Storms

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across much of the Plains and lower Mississippi Valley this evening and into the early overnight hours. Very large hail of 2-3 inches in diameter, severe gusts of 60-80 mph, and a couple of tornadoes are expected. ...01z Update... Despite a highly complex convective scenario, the forecast remains largely on track. Some minor modifications to the outlook area have been addressed below. ...Central Plains... A pronounced bowing MCS has formed over portions of central and southern NE as expected. This feature should track eastward into the Enhanced area with a risk for damaging gusts (some significant) hail and a couple of tornadoes. The ENhanced area was expanded to the east and southeast to better align with the expected path of the bowing line. ...East/Southeast TX into LA and southern AR... The ongoing MCS over portions of eastern TX should continue southeastward this evening along a subtle baroclinic boundary with access to moderate buoyancy and effective shear over a fairly wide stretch of LA and southern MS. Several other clusters of storms have developed along trailing outflow and should result in additional upscale growth with time. However, confidence in the evolution of this system and the eastern extent of the severe risk is low. Given the potential for damaging winds a tornado or two and some hail to continue, have extended the Slight farther eastward to the LA/MS border and southern AR. ...The Dakotas into the upper Midwest... Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist into this evening near a weak surface low across central SD. While so far these storms are fairly well separated, CAM guidance and radar trends suggest this convection should grow upscale into one or more linear clusters with time this evening. Damaging winds, hail and a tornado or two are possible as storms spread east/southeast toward IA/MN and far northwest WI tonight. Have adjusted the eastern edge of the severe probabilities to better reflect the latest trends in guidance. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 Read more

WW 0374 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 374 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE HOB TO 25 WNW LBL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1137 ..SUPINIE..06/03/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 374 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-030140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TXC011-045-065-075-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195-233- 263-269-303-305-345-357-393-433-437-030140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HUTCHINSON KENT KING LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY OCHILTREE ROBERTS STONEWALL SWISHER Read more

WW 0382 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 382 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/03/24 ATTN...WFO...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-077-079-081-083-093-099-121- 125-129-137-143-163-169-175-181-185-030140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY DAWSON FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK SHERMAN THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0382 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 382 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/03/24 ATTN...WFO...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-077-079-081-083-093-099-121- 125-129-137-143-163-169-175-181-185-030140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY DAWSON FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK SHERMAN THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0382 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 382 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/03/24 ATTN...WFO...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-077-079-081-083-093-099-121- 125-129-137-143-163-169-175-181-185-030140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY DAWSON FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK SHERMAN THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0382 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 382 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SUPINIE..06/03/24 ATTN...WFO...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-030140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH NEC001-019-035-047-059-061-065-073-077-079-081-083-093-099-121- 125-129-137-143-163-169-175-181-185-030140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY DAWSON FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS GOSPER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS POLK SHERMAN THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more