Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast. At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface, several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft. The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...Synopsis... Broad and weak zonal flow will continue over parts of the Southwest and southern US as a subtle shortwave moves eastward into the Plains. Gusty winds are possible over parts of NM and west TX where receptive fuels and hot/dry temperatures are also expected. ...New Mexico and far West TX... Despite being weaker than the past several days, westerly mid-level flow should remain strong enough to bolster surface winds to around 10-15 MPH over parts of central/eastern NM and far West TX this afternoon behind a dryline. With RH values in the low teens and temperatures of 90+ F, the dry and breezy air mass will likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential within receptive fuels. The most likely corridor for more sustained and stronger winds will be closer to the dryline/surface trough across far west TX. A few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions may also extend farther west in to central AZ. While winds are expected to be more sporadic, dry surface conditions along the Mogollon Rim have allowed for continued drying of fuels. As such, at least a few hours of 15-20 mph wind gusts and RH below 15% may support some elevated fire-weather risk. ..Lyons.. 06/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more