Severe Storms

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Valid 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...SUMMARY... A few tornadoes will be possible from the middle to upper Texas Coast into southwest Louisiana as Tropical Cyclone Beryl approaches the coast and makes landfall later tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible this evening across parts of eastern Colorado, northeast New Mexico, and in portions of the southern Plains. ...Eastern Colorado/Northeastern New Mexico... A shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery over the central High Plains. At the surface, upslope flow is in place across much of eastern Colorado, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 50s F. From near the Palmer Divide southward into northeastern New Mexico, MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing near this axis of instability in the lee of the higher terrain. Wind shear within this corridor is sampled by the Pueblo WSR-88D VWP, which has 0-6 km near 55 knots, owing to an abrupt east-to-west shift in the winds near 2 km AGL. This will help storms to remain organized, supporting a continued severe threat for much of the evening. The more intense cells should be capable of isolated large hail and severe wind gusts. ...Southern Plains... A large-scale upper-level trough is located across the southern and central Plains, according to water vapor imagery. At the surface, a cold front is situated from west Texas east-northeastward into southern Oklahoma, with thunderstorms ongoing along and near the boundary. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP near the front, with MLCAPE estimated in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range. The Frederick, Oklahoma WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 30 knots, with some veering of the winds with height in the lowest 3 Km AGL. This should continue to be favorable for a severe threat this evening, as cells generally move southeastward across the southern Plains. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats. ...Middle to Upper Texas Coast/Southwest Louisiana... Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to move inland across the middle Texas Coast late tonight. Ahead of Beryl's center, bands of moderate to heavy rain will overspread the middle to upper Texas Coast. Strong low-level shear associated with Beryl will likely support a tornado threat, mainly if semi-discrete rotating cells can form within the more well-developed rainbands. The greatest tornado threat is expected late tonight over the middle to upper Texas Coast as the northeastern quadrant of Beryl moves inland. ..Broyles.. 07/08/2024 Read more

WW 0511 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW COS TO 10 SW GLD. ..THORNTON..07/08/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-041-055-061-071-073-089-101-080140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO PUEBLO KSC071-199-203-080140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY WALLACE WICHITA NMC007-021-033-059-080140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLFAX HARDING MORA Read more

WW 0511 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW COS TO 10 SW GLD. ..THORNTON..07/08/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-041-055-061-071-073-089-101-080140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO PUEBLO KSC071-199-203-080140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY WALLACE WICHITA NMC007-021-033-059-080140- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLFAX HARDING MORA Read more

WW 0512 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0512 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0512 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0512 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0512 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0512 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0512 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0512 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 512 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 072220Z - 080500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 512 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 520 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Oklahoma Northwest Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are developing along a boundary from west Texas into central Oklahoma. These storms will track southeastward through the afternoon and evening, posing a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles east southeast of Chickasha OK to 45 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 511... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Hart Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Jul 7 23:37:12 UTC 2024.

WW 0511 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW COS TO 20 NNE AKO. ..THORNTON..07/07/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-039-041-055-061-063-071-073-089-101-121-080040- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO PUEBLO WASHINGTON NMC007-021-033-059-080040- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLFAX HARDING MORA UNION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 511 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 072050Z - 080500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 511 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 250 PM MDT Sun Jul 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado Northeast New Mexico * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until 1100 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop and increase through late afternoon and early evening, initially including areas near/east of the I-25 corridor across eastern Colorado and northeast New Mexico. These storms will be capable of large hail, and severe-wind potential may also increase as storms cluster into this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Limon CO to 60 miles south southeast of Raton NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0511 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 511 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..07/07/24 ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...ABQ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 511 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-011-017-025-039-041-055-061-063-071-073-087-089-101- 121-072340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN MORGAN OTERO PUEBLO WASHINGTON NMC007-021-033-059-072340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLFAX HARDING MORA UNION THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

MD 1550 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTH-CENTRAL INTO MUCH OF EASTERN COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1550 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0312 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Areas affected...north-central into much of eastern Colorado Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 072012Z - 072245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms are likely to increase along the Front Range this afternoon, with many producing hail and locally strong gusts as they continue into the Plains through evening. DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows an expansive cumulus field over much of eastern Colorado where surface winds remain out of the east and northeast. Weak thunderstorms have developed into far north-central CO with increasing northern surface winds with high pressure to the north. Pressures continue to fall near the Colorado Springs area. While pockets of drier air do exist around the Denver area, in general, a moist air mass exists, especially over southeast CO with mid to upper 50s F dewpoints. Given cool midlevel temperatures, additional heating will result in sufficient instability to sustained scattered severe cells. Low-level/weak easterlies below increasing mid to high level winds will result in favorable shear profiles for large hail. By evening, storms are expected to consolidate into an MCS pushing into southeast CO, with damaging winds possible. ..Jewell/Guyer.. 07/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 40410325 39680252 38870267 38190345 38050424 38270551 39230539 39850555 40400559 40680553 40900509 40860442 40410325 Read more

WW 0512 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0512 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more