Severe Storms

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0447 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z An upper-level trough will displace the Bermuda High as it moves over the Southeast early next week. An associated cold front will slide southeast pushing offshore and through the Florida Peninsula on Day 5/Tuesday. Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected from the Mid-Atlantic through the Florida Panhandle on Day 4/Monday, with lingering showers and thunderstorms on Day 5/Tuesday on portions of the Florida Peninsula. Drier air will remain over the Southeast, including much of Florida through next week as another upper-level trough and surface cold front are forecast to move through the region. Short-wave ridging aloft will likely give way to zonal flow over the West early to mid-next week, with potential concerns for downslope flow on portions of the High Plains mid-next week. The southern half of the West will likely remain warm and dry for the outlook period. ...Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday: Florida Peninsula... A hot, dry, and breezy pre-frontal airmass will continue over the Florida Peninsula into Day 4/Monday. Coupled with ERCs approaching the 90th percentile and KBDI values of 600-750, elevated fire weather conditions are likely and brief, locally critical conditions cannot be ruled out. Forecast uncertainty remains for rainfall amounts and coverage on the peninsula late Day 4/Monday - Day 5/Tuesday, but a dry period is expected behind the cold fronts mid to late next week. Stronger winds will exist farther north ahead of the approaching cold front from north Florida into eastern North Carolina on Day 3/Sunday, but RH values are likely to remain above elevated/critical thresholds. If high-resolution forecast guidance trends drier and farther west, closer to the large fire activity in North and South Carolina, additional risk areas may become necessary. ..Nauslar.. 04/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more