Severe Storms

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0154 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday or Saturday night. ...Central Rockies to the Upper Midwest... A mid-level ridge from the southern High Plains to the Upper Midwest at 12Z Saturday morning will shift east and gradually dampen, as a shortwave trough progresses across the northern Rockies and into MT through early Sunday. Large-scale ascent will strengthen near peak diurnal heating across parts of the central Rockies to the Black Hills. With only scant buoyancy, isolated/short-lived thunderstorms are anticipated amid scattered high-based/low-topped showers. Where deeply mixed thermodynamic profiles exist in eastern WY and western SD, a very isolated strong gust will be possible. Strengthening of the Great Plains LLJ on Saturday night should eventually yield isolated thunder potential across the Mid-MO Valley into the Upper Midwest. With poor-quality moisture return relative to the EML, uninhibited parcels may be rather elevated. The threat for severe hail overnight in this setup appears low. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm development increasing early in the day within the low-level warm conveyor ahead of a deepening but weak surface cyclone. Should this occur, it would be ill-timed with respect to peak boundary-layer heating and displaced east of the moderate mid-level lapse rate plume. But it would be coincident with modifying moisture return characterized by mid to upper 50s dew points over eastern NC. Other guidance indicates a separate round of afternoon storm development confined to near the surface cyclone in the eastern Piedmont of NC, while a pronounced mid-level dry slot limits storm development with southward extent into SC/GA. The degree of surface heating along the northwest extent of the weak buoyancy plume is quite uncertain. But mid-level lapse rates approaching 7 C/km and moderate deep-layer shear may yield isolated severe hail and locally strong gusts within afternoon storms. ...North FL... Greater boundary-layer heating is anticipated ahead of the trailing portion of the cold front that extends into the northeast Gulf. Consensus of guidance suggests this heating will aid in isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon, south of the mid-level dry slot. While low-level flow will be veered and weak ahead of the front, pronounced deep-layer speed shear is expected amid a 60-70 kt 500-mb jet. This should favor mid-level rotation in a few cells with a threat of isolated large hail and localized damaging winds. This activity should shift off the Atlantic Coast or weaken over land by early evening. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm development increasing early in the day within the low-level warm conveyor ahead of a deepening but weak surface cyclone. Should this occur, it would be ill-timed with respect to peak boundary-layer heating and displaced east of the moderate mid-level lapse rate plume. But it would be coincident with modifying moisture return characterized by mid to upper 50s dew points over eastern NC. Other guidance indicates a separate round of afternoon storm development confined to near the surface cyclone in the eastern Piedmont of NC, while a pronounced mid-level dry slot limits storm development with southward extent into SC/GA. The degree of surface heating along the northwest extent of the weak buoyancy plume is quite uncertain. But mid-level lapse rates approaching 7 C/km and moderate deep-layer shear may yield isolated severe hail and locally strong gusts within afternoon storms. ...North FL... Greater boundary-layer heating is anticipated ahead of the trailing portion of the cold front that extends into the northeast Gulf. Consensus of guidance suggests this heating will aid in isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon, south of the mid-level dry slot. While low-level flow will be veered and weak ahead of the front, pronounced deep-layer speed shear is expected amid a 60-70 kt 500-mb jet. This should favor mid-level rotation in a few cells with a threat of isolated large hail and localized damaging winds. This activity should shift off the Atlantic Coast or weaken over land by early evening. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm development increasing early in the day within the low-level warm conveyor ahead of a deepening but weak surface cyclone. Should this occur, it would be ill-timed with respect to peak boundary-layer heating and displaced east of the moderate mid-level lapse rate plume. But it would be coincident with modifying moisture return characterized by mid to upper 50s dew points over eastern NC. Other guidance indicates a separate round of afternoon storm development confined to near the surface cyclone in the eastern Piedmont of NC, while a pronounced mid-level dry slot limits storm development with southward extent into SC/GA. The degree of surface heating along the northwest extent of the weak buoyancy plume is quite uncertain. But mid-level lapse rates approaching 7 C/km and moderate deep-layer shear may yield isolated severe hail and locally strong gusts within afternoon storms. ...North FL... Greater boundary-layer heating is anticipated ahead of the trailing portion of the cold front that extends into the northeast Gulf. Consensus of guidance suggests this heating will aid in isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon, south of the mid-level dry slot. While low-level flow will be veered and weak ahead of the front, pronounced deep-layer speed shear is expected amid a 60-70 kt 500-mb jet. This should favor mid-level rotation in a few cells with a threat of isolated large hail and localized damaging winds. This activity should shift off the Atlantic Coast or weaken over land by early evening. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm development increasing early in the day within the low-level warm conveyor ahead of a deepening but weak surface cyclone. Should this occur, it would be ill-timed with respect to peak boundary-layer heating and displaced east of the moderate mid-level lapse rate plume. But it would be coincident with modifying moisture return characterized by mid to upper 50s dew points over eastern NC. Other guidance indicates a separate round of afternoon storm development confined to near the surface cyclone in the eastern Piedmont of NC, while a pronounced mid-level dry slot limits storm development with southward extent into SC/GA. The degree of surface heating along the northwest extent of the weak buoyancy plume is quite uncertain. But mid-level lapse rates approaching 7 C/km and moderate deep-layer shear may yield isolated severe hail and locally strong gusts within afternoon storms. ...North FL... Greater boundary-layer heating is anticipated ahead of the trailing portion of the cold front that extends into the northeast Gulf. Consensus of guidance suggests this heating will aid in isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon, south of the mid-level dry slot. While low-level flow will be veered and weak ahead of the front, pronounced deep-layer speed shear is expected amid a 60-70 kt 500-mb jet. This should favor mid-level rotation in a few cells with a threat of isolated large hail and localized damaging winds. This activity should shift off the Atlantic Coast or weaken over land by early evening. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm development increasing early in the day within the low-level warm conveyor ahead of a deepening but weak surface cyclone. Should this occur, it would be ill-timed with respect to peak boundary-layer heating and displaced east of the moderate mid-level lapse rate plume. But it would be coincident with modifying moisture return characterized by mid to upper 50s dew points over eastern NC. Other guidance indicates a separate round of afternoon storm development confined to near the surface cyclone in the eastern Piedmont of NC, while a pronounced mid-level dry slot limits storm development with southward extent into SC/GA. The degree of surface heating along the northwest extent of the weak buoyancy plume is quite uncertain. But mid-level lapse rates approaching 7 C/km and moderate deep-layer shear may yield isolated severe hail and locally strong gusts within afternoon storms. ...North FL... Greater boundary-layer heating is anticipated ahead of the trailing portion of the cold front that extends into the northeast Gulf. Consensus of guidance suggests this heating will aid in isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon, south of the mid-level dry slot. While low-level flow will be veered and weak ahead of the front, pronounced deep-layer speed shear is expected amid a 60-70 kt 500-mb jet. This should favor mid-level rotation in a few cells with a threat of isolated large hail and localized damaging winds. This activity should shift off the Atlantic Coast or weaken over land by early evening. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and damaging winds are possible across parts of the Southeast from late morning through the afternoon Friday. ...Eastern NC vicinity... A leading shortwave impulse rotating through the basal portion of a broader eastern U.S. longwave trough will yield strengthening forcing for ascent during the late morning. Some 00Z HREF members, notably the NSSL and FV3 indicate thunderstorm development increasing early in the day within the low-level warm conveyor ahead of a deepening but weak surface cyclone. Should this occur, it would be ill-timed with respect to peak boundary-layer heating and displaced east of the moderate mid-level lapse rate plume. But it would be coincident with modifying moisture return characterized by mid to upper 50s dew points over eastern NC. Other guidance indicates a separate round of afternoon storm development confined to near the surface cyclone in the eastern Piedmont of NC, while a pronounced mid-level dry slot limits storm development with southward extent into SC/GA. The degree of surface heating along the northwest extent of the weak buoyancy plume is quite uncertain. But mid-level lapse rates approaching 7 C/km and moderate deep-layer shear may yield isolated severe hail and locally strong gusts within afternoon storms. ...North FL... Greater boundary-layer heating is anticipated ahead of the trailing portion of the cold front that extends into the northeast Gulf. Consensus of guidance suggests this heating will aid in isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon, south of the mid-level dry slot. While low-level flow will be veered and weak ahead of the front, pronounced deep-layer speed shear is expected amid a 60-70 kt 500-mb jet. This should favor mid-level rotation in a few cells with a threat of isolated large hail and localized damaging winds. This activity should shift off the Atlantic Coast or weaken over land by early evening. ..Grams.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms are expected from portions of the lower Ohio Valley into the Deep South this afternoon. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb speed max is translating across the central Plains toward the Mid South. This will allow an upper trough to deepen east of the MS River, and heights will fall accordingly as seasonally cool mid-tropospheric temperatures settle into this region. Latest model guidance suggests 500mb, -20C isotherm will extend across northern GA/AL/MS by 18z, which results in very steep lapse rates north of the digging jet. Surface reflection to this digging trough is somewhat disjointed and not particularly focused, though a synoptic front should extend across southeast MO-central AR-northeast TX by mid day. Subsequent southeast movement will take this boundary to near the central Gulf Coast by sunrise Friday. Current thinking is strong boundary-layer heating will allow convective temperatures to be breached by 19-20z across portions of MO/IL along the weakly convergent front. While moisture is quite limited ahead of the front, cool profiles favor the potential for robust convection. This activity will spread southeast toward the northern Gulf States with an attendant threat of hail and wind. ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A near-stationary mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as upper ridging continues to build over the central U.S. and another mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Friday). Ahead of the approaching Northwest mid-level trough, surface lee troughing will take place across the central and northern High Plains, supporting strong southerly flow in the process. A dry airmass will be transported northward across the northern High Plains, with 15-25 mph sustained southerly winds overlapping with 15-25 percent RH tomorrow afternoon. Elevated highlights have been introduced given dry/windy conditions overlapping at least marginally to modestly dry fuels. Meanwhile, a surface cold front is expected to sweep across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow, with dry/breezy conditions likely in the post-frontal regime. Winds may sustain over 15 mph for at least a few hours during the afternoon, as RH dips as low as 20-30 percent in some areas. Rainfall accumulations have barely exceeded 0.25 inches over the past week for most parts of the central Florida Peninsula, and given the presence of dry fuels, Elevated highlights have been introduced. ..Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A near-stationary mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as upper ridging continues to build over the central U.S. and another mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Friday). Ahead of the approaching Northwest mid-level trough, surface lee troughing will take place across the central and northern High Plains, supporting strong southerly flow in the process. A dry airmass will be transported northward across the northern High Plains, with 15-25 mph sustained southerly winds overlapping with 15-25 percent RH tomorrow afternoon. Elevated highlights have been introduced given dry/windy conditions overlapping at least marginally to modestly dry fuels. Meanwhile, a surface cold front is expected to sweep across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow, with dry/breezy conditions likely in the post-frontal regime. Winds may sustain over 15 mph for at least a few hours during the afternoon, as RH dips as low as 20-30 percent in some areas. Rainfall accumulations have barely exceeded 0.25 inches over the past week for most parts of the central Florida Peninsula, and given the presence of dry fuels, Elevated highlights have been introduced. ..Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A near-stationary mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as upper ridging continues to build over the central U.S. and another mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Friday). Ahead of the approaching Northwest mid-level trough, surface lee troughing will take place across the central and northern High Plains, supporting strong southerly flow in the process. A dry airmass will be transported northward across the northern High Plains, with 15-25 mph sustained southerly winds overlapping with 15-25 percent RH tomorrow afternoon. Elevated highlights have been introduced given dry/windy conditions overlapping at least marginally to modestly dry fuels. Meanwhile, a surface cold front is expected to sweep across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow, with dry/breezy conditions likely in the post-frontal regime. Winds may sustain over 15 mph for at least a few hours during the afternoon, as RH dips as low as 20-30 percent in some areas. Rainfall accumulations have barely exceeded 0.25 inches over the past week for most parts of the central Florida Peninsula, and given the presence of dry fuels, Elevated highlights have been introduced. ..Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A near-stationary mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as upper ridging continues to build over the central U.S. and another mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Friday). Ahead of the approaching Northwest mid-level trough, surface lee troughing will take place across the central and northern High Plains, supporting strong southerly flow in the process. A dry airmass will be transported northward across the northern High Plains, with 15-25 mph sustained southerly winds overlapping with 15-25 percent RH tomorrow afternoon. Elevated highlights have been introduced given dry/windy conditions overlapping at least marginally to modestly dry fuels. Meanwhile, a surface cold front is expected to sweep across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow, with dry/breezy conditions likely in the post-frontal regime. Winds may sustain over 15 mph for at least a few hours during the afternoon, as RH dips as low as 20-30 percent in some areas. Rainfall accumulations have barely exceeded 0.25 inches over the past week for most parts of the central Florida Peninsula, and given the presence of dry fuels, Elevated highlights have been introduced. ..Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A near-stationary mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as upper ridging continues to build over the central U.S. and another mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Friday). Ahead of the approaching Northwest mid-level trough, surface lee troughing will take place across the central and northern High Plains, supporting strong southerly flow in the process. A dry airmass will be transported northward across the northern High Plains, with 15-25 mph sustained southerly winds overlapping with 15-25 percent RH tomorrow afternoon. Elevated highlights have been introduced given dry/windy conditions overlapping at least marginally to modestly dry fuels. Meanwhile, a surface cold front is expected to sweep across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow, with dry/breezy conditions likely in the post-frontal regime. Winds may sustain over 15 mph for at least a few hours during the afternoon, as RH dips as low as 20-30 percent in some areas. Rainfall accumulations have barely exceeded 0.25 inches over the past week for most parts of the central Florida Peninsula, and given the presence of dry fuels, Elevated highlights have been introduced. ..Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 AM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...Synopsis... A near-stationary mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as upper ridging continues to build over the central U.S. and another mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Friday). Ahead of the approaching Northwest mid-level trough, surface lee troughing will take place across the central and northern High Plains, supporting strong southerly flow in the process. A dry airmass will be transported northward across the northern High Plains, with 15-25 mph sustained southerly winds overlapping with 15-25 percent RH tomorrow afternoon. Elevated highlights have been introduced given dry/windy conditions overlapping at least marginally to modestly dry fuels. Meanwhile, a surface cold front is expected to sweep across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow, with dry/breezy conditions likely in the post-frontal regime. Winds may sustain over 15 mph for at least a few hours during the afternoon, as RH dips as low as 20-30 percent in some areas. Rainfall accumulations have barely exceeded 0.25 inches over the past week for most parts of the central Florida Peninsula, and given the presence of dry fuels, Elevated highlights have been introduced. ..Squitieri.. 04/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more