Severe Storms

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1041 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The previous forecast remains on track. Recent surface observations from the southern CA coastal mountains continue to sample 25-40 mph gusts with RH ranging from the single digits to low 20s. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist through the early to mid afternoon hours. Across the southern High Plains, modest surface pressure falls are noted with winds beginning to strengthen to around 15 mph. Latest ensemble guidance continues to suggest areas of elevated conditions are possible, but fuel status remains marginal per recent fuel reports. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0103 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper-level trough will continue to dig through the Southeast and into part of the Mid-Atlantic today. Surface high pressure will remain strong in the West, though this feature should weaken through the day. ...Southern California... At least moderately strong offshore winds appear probable early this morning. While some RH recovery may occur overnight Saturday, RH of 15-20% can be reasonably expected across most areas with some lower values possible locally. Winds in the lower elevations, where fuels are driest, will be 15-25 mph. These winds will slowly diminish into the early afternoon. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible for a few hours. ...Southern High Plains... A weak lee trough is forecast to develop during the afternoon. This may promote 15-20 mph winds from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Fire weather concerns will likely remain low due to RH generally remaining above critical thresholds and fine fuels only being modestly dry. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more