SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Dec 10, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... Damaging wind gusts and a couple brief tornadoes remain possible over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, and over portions of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. ...Western/Northern FL into eastern NC/VA... An expansive area of moisture and modest instability remains in place ahead of a cold front and beneath strong meridional flow aloft. For southern areas, a line of storms may pose a damaging wind threat by virtue of mixing stronger winds to the surface, and a brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out there especially over western parts of the Peninsula. To the north, a more favorable area for tornadoes exists from eastern NC into southeast VA, where VWPs indicate stronger than forecast 0-1 SRH of 200-300 m2/s2, with subtle boundary layer warming noted along with surface pressure falls. As such, any supercell may produce a brief tornado in this area over the next few hours. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1035 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Northern/central Florida into southeast Georgia... A quasi-linear band of strong to occasionally severe storms has persisted into midday from the northeast Gulf of Mexico into northern Florida and far southern Georgia. Destabilization will likely remain muted particularly with northern extent into/across southern Georgia, but some cloud breaks with somewhat stronger heating is occurring across the central into northern Florida Peninsula. Short-term guidance advertises a restrengthening of southwesterly winds in the lowest 2-3 km AGL through the afternoon, which will allow a continuance of well-organized/mostly quasi-linear storm structures capable of a tornado and localized wind damage risk where modest destabilization occurs inland. See Mesoscale Discussion 2324 for additional short-term details. ...Carolinas/eastern Virginia... Although cloud cover remains prevalent through late morning, low-level moistening continues to occur with increasingly prevalent middle 60s F surface dewpoints near/east of the front near and parallel to the spine of the Appalachians at midday. Modest diurnal destabilization combined with strong deep-layer/low-level shear will support an increasing potential, at least on an isolated basis, for some severe storms through the afternoon. This would potentially include a few semi-discrete supercells/line segments capable of wind damage and a tornado risk, which could peak into late afternoon and persist through the evening given an advertised increase in low-level flow, prior to the front clearing the coast late tonight. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 720 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0720 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 720 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW CTY TO 15 SW CTY TO 25 WNW JAX. ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-017-041-053-075-083-101-119-125-102140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD CITRUS GILCHRIST HERNANDO LEVY MARION PASCO SUMTER UNION GMZ850-102140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 2325

1 year 8 months ago
MD 2325 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA INTO FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 2325 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Areas affected...Portions of central North Carolina into far south-central Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 101736Z - 101930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Severe risk is evolving over portions of central North Carolina into far south-central Virginia this afternoon. Brief tornadoes and/or damaging gusts are the main concern. DISCUSSION...A loosely organized cluster of storms has been evolving northward along a weak north/south-oriented baroclinic zone draped across parts of central NC during the last couple hours. This storm cluster has shown signs of transient midlevel updraft rotation/supercell characteristics, and recent low-level updraft intensification. While instability is fairly limited, continued warming/moistening of the inflow for this activity is expected during the next few hours. Additionally, the RAX VWP depicts strong low-level shear, characterized by 30 kt of 0-1 km bulk shear and ample streamwise vorticity for an east-northeastward-moving storm. Low-level shear will also continue strengthening amid a strengthening low-level jet. While the tornado risk may remain localized (especially near the baroclinic zone) in the short-term, the tornado/damaging wind risk should increase across the area with time. Farther east toward the coast, the severe risk should also gradually increase with time this afternoon, and this area is being monitored as well. ..Weinman/Guyer.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM... LAT...LON 35387997 35697973 36037924 36477871 36637840 36657809 36637787 36587750 36337729 35977729 35567750 35227804 34937866 34927922 35127982 35387997 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 721 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0721 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 721 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 721 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-061-063-065-069-073- 077-079-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-125-127-131-133- 135-137-139-143-145-147-163-177-181-183-185-187-191-195- 102040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL VANCE WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON VAC007-025-036-041-053-073-081-085-087-093-095-097-101-111-117- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 721 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0721 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 721 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 721 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-061-063-065-069-073- 077-079-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-125-127-131-133- 135-137-139-143-145-147-163-177-181-183-185-187-191-195- 102040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL VANCE WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON VAC007-025-036-041-053-073-081-085-087-093-095-097-101-111-117- Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 721 Status Reports

1 year 8 months ago
WW 0721 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 721 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23 ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 721 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-015-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-061-063-065-069-073- 077-079-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-125-127-131-133- 135-137-139-143-145-147-163-177-181-183-185-187-191-195- 102040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LEE LENOIR MARTIN MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL VANCE WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON VAC007-025-036-041-053-073-081-085-087-093-095-097-101-111-117- Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 8 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
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5 years 10 months ago
Severe Storms
Storm Prediction Center
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