Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. Latest guidance continues to show low potential for fire weather concerns. ..Moore.. 12/10/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023/ ...Synopsis... As the upper-level trough moves off the East Coast, a quasi-zonal flow regime will evolve over most of the CONUS. The strongest upper-level wins should remain over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Consequently, the surface pressure pattern is expected to remain weak over areas with drier fuels. Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal across the CONUS on Monday. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0721 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0721 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0720 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 720 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W CTY TO 35 NNW CTY TO 15 E VLD. ..SQUITIERI..12/10/23 ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 720 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC001-003-007-017-023-029-041-047-067-075-083-121-125-101940- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD CITRUS COLUMBIA DIXIE GILCHRIST HAMILTON LAFAYETTE LEVY MARION SUWANNEE UNION GMZ765-850-101940- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

MD 2324 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EXTREME SOUTH GA INTO NORTH FL
Mesoscale Discussion 2324 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0940 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Areas affected...Extreme south GA into north FL Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 101540Z - 101745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Some threat for a brief tornado and/or locally damaging wind may persist through late morning, with an increasing threat possible across parts of the northern Florida Peninsula by early afternoon. DISCUSSION...A QLCS is moving across south GA into the eastern FL Panhandle this morning, with a possible brief tornado recently noted near the FL/GA border, near where a supercell was earlier absorbed into the line. In the short term, this QLCS will be moving eastward into an increasingly stable low-level environment, and some weakening appears likely. However, relatively favorable low-level and deep-layer shear (as noted on the 12Z TLH sounding and recent VWPs from KVAX) amid seasonably rich low-level moisture may continue to support a threat for a brief tornado and/or locally damaging wind until/unless a more definitive weakening trend commences. Some heating has been noted across northern portions of the FL Peninsula, and somewhat more substantial destabilization is possible by early afternoon in this area. Also, some increase in low-level flow is possible with time, due to the increasing influence of an approaching mid/upper-level shortwave trough currently near the upper TX coast. This could result in some rejuvenation of the QLCS near the FL coastal bend into the northwest peninsula, with a continued threat of a brief tornado or two and locally damaging wind. The need for a new watch this morning remains uncertain, due to the anticipated short-term weakening trend, but watch issuance will be possible by early afternoon into parts of the northern FL Panhandle, depending on short-term convective and destabilization trends. ..Dean/Guyer.. 12/10/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 31008392 30968348 30948313 30288268 29888260 29458273 29298289 29288304 29388357 29548389 29618419 29688467 29708478 30188463 31008392 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough along the East Coast Monday morning will shift east as a deeper northern stream feature moves across New England. Meanwhile, another upper trough will move southeast from the Canadian Prairies and into the upper MS Valley late. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it moves from Maine into New Brunswick, with southern portions of the front over the Bahamas. The resulting cool and stable air mass behind the cold front will preclude thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. ..Jewell.. 12/10/2023 Read more