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Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 052033 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019 2100 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 35.9W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 0SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 35.9W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 35.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.6N 37.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 60SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.6N 39.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.5N 41.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.2N 43.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.3N 48.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 37.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 43.0N 40.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 35.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 052033 PWSEP1 HURRICANE JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112019 2100 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 25N 120W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 125W 34 2 11(13) 11(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 16(30) X(30) X(30) 25N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Issued at 200 PM PDT Thu Sep 05 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 052033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Juliette Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112019 200 PM PDT Thu Sep 05 2019 ...JULIETTE FINALLY RESUMES WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 120.9W ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Juliette was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 120.9 West. Juliette is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest should begin tonight or early Friday. A turn toward the west is forecast on Saturday and a general westward motion should continue through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Juliette is forecast to become a tropical storm on Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

...JULIETTE FINALLY RESUMES WEAKENING... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Sep 5 the center of Juliette was located near 21.3, -120.9 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

MD 1931 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OREGON...NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA...CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEVADA
Mesoscale Discussion 1931 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0328 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019 Areas affected...portions of central/southern Oregon...northeast California...central/northern Nevada Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 052028Z - 052300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...High-based thunderstorms are developing over portions of the Great Basin into the Pacific Northwest. Marginally severe hail/wind will be possible with these storms into tonight as storms move north-northeast. DISCUSSION...A negatively-tilted upper-level shortwave trough is slowly moving east-northeast just off the Pacific Northwest/northern California coast. Additionally, smaller-scale mid-level disturbances appear to be rotating around the upper high across the Great Basin. These features are helping to provide forcing for ascent and increase moisture advection across northern portions of the Intermountain West. Deepening terrain-thermal circulations along with falling heights/steepening mid-level lapse rates are helping to develop thunderstorms across the Intermountain West. Mid-level flow strengthens westward from central Nevada to the Pacific Northwest coast increasing shear, which will help organize/strengthen some of these storms. Buoyancy/instability will continue to increase into the evening, which will allow for greater storm coverage and intensification. Given the high LCLs (2-3 km AGL), severe wind is possible, especially where precipitable water values are higher (central Nevada into western Oregon, 0.8"+). Severe hail is also possible with the steep mid-level lapse rates (7.5+ C/km) and surface-6 km bulk shear of 25-40 knots. Given the marginal and expected isolated coverage of severe storms, a watch issuance is unlikely. ..Nauslar/Guyer.. 09/05/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOI...LKN...PDT...REV...MFR...PQR... LAT...LON 38731699 38901836 39231973 41072007 42102292 43522288 44942220 45052093 44631965 42591884 41711812 41591643 41451584 40701543 39891534 39171559 38731699 Read more

Rangelands and pastures in West Central Texas were severely drought stressed and deteriorating. Smaller stock tanks were getting low, but bigger stock tanks were fine. North Texas e-News (Fannin, Texas), Sept. 5, 2019

Pastures were dry in Far West Texas, and fires were a worry. More cow/calf producers were shipping weaned calves, with livestock producers beginning to offer supplemental feed. North Texas e-News (Fannin, Texas), Sept. 5, 2019

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes are possible across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia through tonight in association with Hurricane Dorian. ...Discussion... The current outlook areas and reasoning continue to reflect the ongoing convective scenario across the U.S., with few changes necessary at this time. Minor adjustments are being made to the risk areas over the Carolinas, to reflect minor progression of Dorian since the prior outlook issuance. Otherwise, no substantive changes appear necessary at this time. ..Goss.. 09/05/2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1139 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019/ ...Eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia... After an active morning for rotating storms/tornadoes across coastal North Carolina, tornado potential will continue and gradually transition north-northeastward this afternoon through tonight in association with a strengthening/spatially transitioning low-level flow field on the periphery of Hurricane Dorian. This tornado threat should also develop northward into coastal southeast Virginia by tonight. ...Oregon and northern portions of California/Nevada... As early-morning cloud cover quickly thins/moves out of the region, a plume of MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg is expected by peak heating, particularly across west-central/southern Oregon. An approaching shortwave trough off the northern California coast should support late afternoon thunderstorm development over the Cascades and Sierra Nevada. A deeply mixed and steep low/mid-level lapse rate environment coupled with 30-40 kt effective shear should support isolated severe wind and hail, particularly across Oregon. Some severe-caliber thunderstorm-related wind gusts may occur as far east/southeast as Nevada. ...Upper Midwest... Associated with a fast-moving clipper-type shortwave trough, a few severe storms will remain possible today from eastern Minnesota across northern Wisconsin and parts of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Severe hail is the most probable severe risk. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes are possible across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia through tonight in association with Hurricane Dorian. ...Discussion... The current outlook areas and reasoning continue to reflect the ongoing convective scenario across the U.S., with few changes necessary at this time. Minor adjustments are being made to the risk areas over the Carolinas, to reflect minor progression of Dorian since the prior outlook issuance. Otherwise, no substantive changes appear necessary at this time. ..Goss.. 09/05/2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1139 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019/ ...Eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia... After an active morning for rotating storms/tornadoes across coastal North Carolina, tornado potential will continue and gradually transition north-northeastward this afternoon through tonight in association with a strengthening/spatially transitioning low-level flow field on the periphery of Hurricane Dorian. This tornado threat should also develop northward into coastal southeast Virginia by tonight. ...Oregon and northern portions of California/Nevada... As early-morning cloud cover quickly thins/moves out of the region, a plume of MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg is expected by peak heating, particularly across west-central/southern Oregon. An approaching shortwave trough off the northern California coast should support late afternoon thunderstorm development over the Cascades and Sierra Nevada. A deeply mixed and steep low/mid-level lapse rate environment coupled with 30-40 kt effective shear should support isolated severe wind and hail, particularly across Oregon. Some severe-caliber thunderstorm-related wind gusts may occur as far east/southeast as Nevada. ...Upper Midwest... Associated with a fast-moving clipper-type shortwave trough, a few severe storms will remain possible today from eastern Minnesota across northern Wisconsin and parts of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Severe hail is the most probable severe risk. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes are possible across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia through tonight in association with Hurricane Dorian. ...Discussion... The current outlook areas and reasoning continue to reflect the ongoing convective scenario across the U.S., with few changes necessary at this time. Minor adjustments are being made to the risk areas over the Carolinas, to reflect minor progression of Dorian since the prior outlook issuance. Otherwise, no substantive changes appear necessary at this time. ..Goss.. 09/05/2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1139 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019/ ...Eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia... After an active morning for rotating storms/tornadoes across coastal North Carolina, tornado potential will continue and gradually transition north-northeastward this afternoon through tonight in association with a strengthening/spatially transitioning low-level flow field on the periphery of Hurricane Dorian. This tornado threat should also develop northward into coastal southeast Virginia by tonight. ...Oregon and northern portions of California/Nevada... As early-morning cloud cover quickly thins/moves out of the region, a plume of MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg is expected by peak heating, particularly across west-central/southern Oregon. An approaching shortwave trough off the northern California coast should support late afternoon thunderstorm development over the Cascades and Sierra Nevada. A deeply mixed and steep low/mid-level lapse rate environment coupled with 30-40 kt effective shear should support isolated severe wind and hail, particularly across Oregon. Some severe-caliber thunderstorm-related wind gusts may occur as far east/southeast as Nevada. ...Upper Midwest... Associated with a fast-moving clipper-type shortwave trough, a few severe storms will remain possible today from eastern Minnesota across northern Wisconsin and parts of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Severe hail is the most probable severe risk. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes are possible across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia through tonight in association with Hurricane Dorian. ...Discussion... The current outlook areas and reasoning continue to reflect the ongoing convective scenario across the U.S., with few changes necessary at this time. Minor adjustments are being made to the risk areas over the Carolinas, to reflect minor progression of Dorian since the prior outlook issuance. Otherwise, no substantive changes appear necessary at this time. ..Goss.. 09/05/2019 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1139 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019/ ...Eastern North Carolina/southeast Virginia... After an active morning for rotating storms/tornadoes across coastal North Carolina, tornado potential will continue and gradually transition north-northeastward this afternoon through tonight in association with a strengthening/spatially transitioning low-level flow field on the periphery of Hurricane Dorian. This tornado threat should also develop northward into coastal southeast Virginia by tonight. ...Oregon and northern portions of California/Nevada... As early-morning cloud cover quickly thins/moves out of the region, a plume of MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg is expected by peak heating, particularly across west-central/southern Oregon. An approaching shortwave trough off the northern California coast should support late afternoon thunderstorm development over the Cascades and Sierra Nevada. A deeply mixed and steep low/mid-level lapse rate environment coupled with 30-40 kt effective shear should support isolated severe wind and hail, particularly across Oregon. Some severe-caliber thunderstorm-related wind gusts may occur as far east/southeast as Nevada. ...Upper Midwest... Associated with a fast-moving clipper-type shortwave trough, a few severe storms will remain possible today from eastern Minnesota across northern Wisconsin and parts of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Severe hail is the most probable severe risk. Read more

Hay production slowed in North Texas, due to a lack of rain. North Texas e-News (Fannin, Texas), Sept. 5, 2019

Issued at 400 PM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019 000 WTNT65 KNHC 051957 TCUAT5 Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 400 PM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019 ...DORIAN PRODUCING DANGEROUS WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINA... NOAA buoy 41004 recently measured sustained winds of 67 mph (108 km/h) and a gust to 83 mph (133 km/h) in the southern eyewall of Dorian. The Weatherflow site in Winyah Bay, SC, recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a wind gust of 65 mph (105 km/h) at a height of 50 ft. A wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h) was recently reported at a Weatherflow site in Georgetown, SC, and a gust of 52 mph (84 km/h) recently reported by a Weatherflow site at Murrells Inlet, SC. SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 78.6W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brennan

...DORIAN PRODUCING DANGEROUS WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINA... As of 4:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 the center of Dorian was located near 32.9, -78.6 with movement NNE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 958 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.

WW 0636 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 636 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..09/05/19 ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 636 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-051-055-061-065-079-095-101-103-107-117-127-133- 137-147-163-177-187-191-195-052040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GREENE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH ONSLOW PAMLICO PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-170-172-174-176-178-230- 231-052040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND Read more

WW 0636 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 636 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..09/05/19 ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 636 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-051-055-061-065-079-095-101-103-107-117-127-133- 137-147-163-177-187-191-195-052040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GREENE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH ONSLOW PAMLICO PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-170-172-174-176-178-230- 231-052040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND Read more

WW 0636 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 636 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..09/05/19 ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 636 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NCC013-031-049-051-055-061-065-079-095-101-103-107-117-127-133- 137-147-163-177-187-191-195-052040- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GREENE HYDE JOHNSTON JONES LENOIR MARTIN NASH ONSLOW PAMLICO PITT SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-170-172-174-176-178-230- 231-052040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE ALLIGATOR RIVER PAMLICO SOUND Read more

WW 636 TORNADO NC CW 051125Z - 052300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 636 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 725 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern North Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 725 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely SUMMARY...Several supercells within outer bands of Hurricane Dorian should shift north from far southern North Carolina across eastern North Carolina through this afternoon. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles southeast of Jacksonville NC to 65 miles north northwest of Cape Hatteras NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 635... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 12035. ...Grams Read more

Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019 000 WTNT65 KNHC 051855 TCUAT5 Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 300 PM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019 ...HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS CONTINUE ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... NOAA buoy 41004 recently measured sustained winds of 85 mph (137 km/h) and a gust to 98 mph (158 km/h) in the southern eyewall of Dorian. The Weatherflow site in Winyah Bay, SC recently reported a wind gust of 88 mph (142 km/h) at a height of 50 ft. SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.8N 78.7W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM S OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

...HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS CONTINUE ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... As of 3:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 the center of Dorian was located near 32.8, -78.7 with movement NNE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 958 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.