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This fire is burning on BLM-managed public lands about 10 miles northeast of Susanville, Calif. No structures are threatened. Change in acreage from earlier reports is due to more accurate

Keller, WA- The Williams Flats Fire started on August 2, 2019 after a band of early morning thunderstorms with lightning moved across the eastern portion of the Colville Indian Reservation. The fire is burning south of Silver Creek Road, within the designated Game Reserve. Roads have been closed to this area at Kuehne Road and Canteen Creek Roads and plus other roads which could access the fire area. This is for firefighter and public safety. Steep slopes, limited access and primitive roads conditions have hampered containment efforts.The public is advised to stay clear of closure areas due to firefighting equipment moving through the area.Northeast Washington Interagency Incident Management Team 2 assumed command of the incident August 15th.

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0733 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS ARCING INTO NORTHEAST WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with isolated large hail and severe gusts are expected over the central Dakotas arcing westward into northeast Wyoming this evening. ...Northern Great Plains... Water-vapor imagery this evening shows an amplifying mid-level trough over MT which is forecast to reach the Dakotas late tonight. A couple of strong to severe thunderstorm clusters are over the central Dakotas this evening near a pre-frontal surface trough and other intensifying severe storms are located near a cold frontal segment over northeast WY. Both boundaries are forecast to move southeast tonight. The 00z North Platte, NE raob sampled a moisture-rich boundary layer (13 g/kg lowest 100mb mean mixing ratio) which likely extends into the central Dakotas. Moderate instability and the increasing westerly flow moving east through the base of the shortwave trough, will combine to favor storm organization and intensity through the evening. A longer-term risk for severe storms will probably occur with the northeast WY storms as they move east-southeastward into western SD and towards far northern NE on the leading edge of stronger mid-level forcing for ascent. Large hail and severe gusts are the primary risks with the stronger storms. A gradual diminishing in storm coverage and intensity are expected by the late overnight hours. ..Smith.. 08/26/2019 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0733 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS ARCING INTO NORTHEAST WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with isolated large hail and severe gusts are expected over the central Dakotas arcing westward into northeast Wyoming this evening. ...Northern Great Plains... Water-vapor imagery this evening shows an amplifying mid-level trough over MT which is forecast to reach the Dakotas late tonight. A couple of strong to severe thunderstorm clusters are over the central Dakotas this evening near a pre-frontal surface trough and other intensifying severe storms are located near a cold frontal segment over northeast WY. Both boundaries are forecast to move southeast tonight. The 00z North Platte, NE raob sampled a moisture-rich boundary layer (13 g/kg lowest 100mb mean mixing ratio) which likely extends into the central Dakotas. Moderate instability and the increasing westerly flow moving east through the base of the shortwave trough, will combine to favor storm organization and intensity through the evening. A longer-term risk for severe storms will probably occur with the northeast WY storms as they move east-southeastward into western SD and towards far northern NE on the leading edge of stronger mid-level forcing for ascent. Large hail and severe gusts are the primary risks with the stronger storms. A gradual diminishing in storm coverage and intensity are expected by the late overnight hours. ..Smith.. 08/26/2019 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0733 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS ARCING INTO NORTHEAST WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with isolated large hail and severe gusts are expected over the central Dakotas arcing westward into northeast Wyoming this evening. ...Northern Great Plains... Water-vapor imagery this evening shows an amplifying mid-level trough over MT which is forecast to reach the Dakotas late tonight. A couple of strong to severe thunderstorm clusters are over the central Dakotas this evening near a pre-frontal surface trough and other intensifying severe storms are located near a cold frontal segment over northeast WY. Both boundaries are forecast to move southeast tonight. The 00z North Platte, NE raob sampled a moisture-rich boundary layer (13 g/kg lowest 100mb mean mixing ratio) which likely extends into the central Dakotas. Moderate instability and the increasing westerly flow moving east through the base of the shortwave trough, will combine to favor storm organization and intensity through the evening. A longer-term risk for severe storms will probably occur with the northeast WY storms as they move east-southeastward into western SD and towards far northern NE on the leading edge of stronger mid-level forcing for ascent. Large hail and severe gusts are the primary risks with the stronger storms. A gradual diminishing in storm coverage and intensity are expected by the late overnight hours. ..Smith.. 08/26/2019 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0733 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS ARCING INTO NORTHEAST WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with isolated large hail and severe gusts are expected over the central Dakotas arcing westward into northeast Wyoming this evening. ...Northern Great Plains... Water-vapor imagery this evening shows an amplifying mid-level trough over MT which is forecast to reach the Dakotas late tonight. A couple of strong to severe thunderstorm clusters are over the central Dakotas this evening near a pre-frontal surface trough and other intensifying severe storms are located near a cold frontal segment over northeast WY. Both boundaries are forecast to move southeast tonight. The 00z North Platte, NE raob sampled a moisture-rich boundary layer (13 g/kg lowest 100mb mean mixing ratio) which likely extends into the central Dakotas. Moderate instability and the increasing westerly flow moving east through the base of the shortwave trough, will combine to favor storm organization and intensity through the evening. A longer-term risk for severe storms will probably occur with the northeast WY storms as they move east-southeastward into western SD and towards far northern NE on the leading edge of stronger mid-level forcing for ascent. Large hail and severe gusts are the primary risks with the stronger storms. A gradual diminishing in storm coverage and intensity are expected by the late overnight hours. ..Smith.. 08/26/2019 Read more

WW 0620 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0620 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0619 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 619 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S Y22 TO 40 SE Y22 TO 50 SSW BIS TO 30 SSW BIS TO 5 SSE BIS TO 35 N BIS TO 35 SE MOT TO 30 ESE MOT TO 40 NE MOT TO 55 NNE MOT. ..WENDT..08/26/19 ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 619 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC005-015-027-029-031-043-047-051-069-079-083-085-093-095-103- 260140- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENSON BURLEIGH EDDY EMMONS FOSTER KIDDER LOGAN MCINTOSH PIERCE ROLETTE SHERIDAN SIOUX STUTSMAN TOWNER WELLS SDC007-017-021-031-041-045-049-055-059-065-069-071-075-085-089- 095-107-117-119-121-123-129-137-260140- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT BUFFALO CAMPBELL CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS FAULK HAAKON HAND HUGHES HYDE JACKSON JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON Read more

MD 1859 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHEASTERN WYOMING...BLACK HILLS VICINITY
Mesoscale Discussion 1859 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0715 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 Areas affected...Northeastern Wyoming...Black Hills vicinity Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 260015Z - 260215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms capable of large hail are likely this evening/overnight. An upgrade to Slight Risk in the highlighted area will be forthcoming in the 01Z Convective Outlook. A WW is also being considered. DISCUSSION...Storms have rapidly intensified in northeast Wyoming early this evening. With subtle mid-level ascent approaching, this activity is likely to continue. While buoyancy will generally be weak, mid-level lapse rates of 8+ C/km, strong effective shear, and long hodographs will support a threat for large hail. Buoyancy will increase to 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE as storms enter southwest South Dakota. Furthermore, a modest increase in the low-level jet across western Nebraska into southwest will also support continued storm activity this evening. A upgrade to Slight Risk for this area for the 01Z Convective Outlook is forthcoming. A WW is also being considered for this region. ..Wendt/Guyer.. 08/26/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS... LAT...LON 44160587 44800575 44960501 44630337 44280234 43560244 43120283 43080386 43410455 44160587 Read more

WW 0619 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 619 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N Y22 TO 25 SSW N60 TO 10 NW N60 TO 5 WSW MOT TO 20 NW MOT TO 40 NW MOT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1858 ..WENDT..08/25/19 ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 619 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC005-009-015-027-029-031-037-043-047-049-051-055-059-065-069- 075-079-083-085-093-095-101-103-260040- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENSON BOTTINEAU BURLEIGH EDDY EMMONS FOSTER GRANT KIDDER LOGAN MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN MORTON OLIVER PIERCE RENVILLE ROLETTE SHERIDAN SIOUX STUTSMAN TOWNER WARD WELLS SDC007-017-021-031-041-045-049-055-059-065-069-071-075-085-089- 095-107-117-119-121-123-129-137-260040- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT BUFFALO CAMPBELL Read more

WW 619 SEVERE TSTM ND SD 252020Z - 260300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 619 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central North Dakota Central South Dakota * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon into this evening across the central Dakotas. The storm environment will initially support supercells capable of producing large hail, while storms should merge into clusters and line segments this evening with an attendant threat for damaging gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles northeast of Minot ND to 65 miles south southwest of Pierre SD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30020. ...Thompson Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252311
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Aug 25 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ivo, located several hundred miles
west-northwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Pasch

MD 1858 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 619... FOR CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1858 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0558 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019 Areas affected...Central North Dakota and South Dakota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 619... Valid 252258Z - 260100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 619 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for large hail and strong/severe wind gusts will continue into the early evening in portions of WW 619. Storms within North Dakota have generally grown upscale which will limit the severe hail threat. Activity in increasing in central South Dakota. Eastern extent of the threat will be limited by low-level stratus/stable air to the east. Local extension in area of WW 619 may be needed if storms in southwestern South Dakota increase in intensity. DISCUSSION...A few supercell structures produced several reports of severe hail, some of which were 2+ inches, across central North Dakota in the last two hours. Much of this activity has congealed into a linear cluster north of Bismarck. This cluster will likely pose some threat of severe hail and strong/severe wind gusts as it drifts slowly southward within the axis of greatest buoyancy. Activity will be limited in how far east it can progress with very stable air in place. Overall severe threat will diminish from west to east in North Dakota as the cold front continues to move east. Farther south, storms have been slow to initiate but activity has increased within the pre-frontal trough west of Pierre. More nebulous forcing for ascent will likely mean less storm coverage than points northward. Nevertheless, a narrow corridor of 1500-2000 J/kg and 35-40 kts of effective shear will support a threat for large hail and strong/severe wind gusts into the early evening. Storms within the Black Hills and SD/NE border have generally remained below severe limits to this point. Should this activity increase in intensity, a local areal extension of WW 619 may be needed. ..Wendt.. 08/25/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...UNR... LAT...LON 46330183 48200172 48860125 48970042 48859951 47479889 45699889 44719917 43909941 43499990 43440098 43780165 44560187 46330183 Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Aug 25 21:46:05 UTC 2019.

WW 0619 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 619 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..08/25/19 ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...UNR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 619 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NDC005-009-015-027-029-031-037-043-047-049-051-055-057-059-065- 069-075-079-083-085-093-095-101-103-252240- ND . NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENSON BOTTINEAU BURLEIGH EDDY EMMONS FOSTER GRANT KIDDER LOGAN MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN MERCER MORTON OLIVER PIERCE RENVILLE ROLETTE SHERIDAN SIOUX STUTSMAN TOWNER WARD WELLS SDC017-021-031-041-045-049-055-059-065-069-071-075-085-089-095- 107-117-119-123-129-137-252240- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUFFALO CAMPBELL CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS FAULK HAAKON HAND HUGHES HYDE JACKSON JONES Read more

THIS IS THE FINAL SUMMARY FOR THE HORSEFLY FIRE UNLESS CONDITIONS WARRANT OTHERWISE The Horsefly Fire became active August 6, 2019, and within 24 hours had grown to 1274 acres. As of 8/23/19, the fire has held at 1,350 acres, with zero growth over the last 8 days. The fire is situated in densely timbered steep terrain with a heavy load of beetle killed fuels, approximately 15 miles East of Lincoln, Montana. Fire activity as of this summary is static. Fuels continue to smolder, although visible spots of smoke are now rarely observed. The Central Montana Type 3 Incident Management Team remains in command of this incident, but plans are underway to relinquish management of the fire to the Lincoln Ranger District Type 4 Team effective 8/26/19 at

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 25 Aug 2019 20:32:50 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 25 Aug 2019 21:31:16 GMT

Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 25 2019 563 WTPZ45 KNHC 252031 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Ivo Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102019 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 25 2019 The initial motion is 340/07 kt. Ivo has slowed down due to the system weakening and becoming vertically shallow. A slow north-northwestward motion is expected today and this evening, followed by a turn toward the north late tonight or early Monday morning. The official forecast track is similar to the previous advisory track, and lies close to the middle of the tightly clustered consensus models. The initial intensity of 25 kt is based mainly on continuity with the previous forecast. The inner-core region of Ivo's circulation has been devoid of any convection for more than 12 hours. What little bit of thunderstorm activity that does exist well to the north-northwest and west of the center is not showing any signs of feeding back onto the cyclone and, therefore, Ivo has degenerated into a remnant low pressure system. Additional spin down of the shallow vortex is forecast due to the cyclone moving over sub-22 deg C sea-surface temperatures and continuing to ingest more cool and stable air, with dissipation likely by Tuesday. Although Ivo is no longer a tropical cyclone, significant swells generated by the low are still affecting portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and southern California. These swells will continue into tonight and could cause dangerous rip currents before subsiding on Monday. See products from your local weather office for additional information. This is the last NHC advisory on Ivo. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php . FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 26.0N 117.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 26/0600Z 26.9N 118.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 26/1800Z 27.8N 118.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0600Z 27.7N 117.8W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 252031 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102019 2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 252030 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102019 2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 117.9W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 117.9W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.9N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.8N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.7N 117.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 117.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON IVO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART