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                                                                             River Complex Fire SummaryEtna, CA- The River Complex Fire is comprised of the Haystack, Summer and Cornan fires located on both the Klamath National Forest, and the Shasta- Trinity National Forest. The incident started July 30, 2021 by multiple lightning fires. The Cronan fire is 100% contained and is in patrol status. The complex is currently being managed by the California Interagency Incident Management Team 15.   Please visit the following links for more information: Smoke: www.wildlandfiresmoke.net/outlooks/NorthernCaliforniaForest Closures:  Shasta-Trinity National Forest: www.fs.usda.gov/alerts/stnf/alerts-notices Klamath National Forest: https://www.fs.usda.gov/detail/klamath/notices/?cid=FSEPRD675594Links:   Daily Smoke Report     |     Federal Aviation Flight Restrictions Map     Facebook:  Klamath NF     |    Shasta-Trinity...

The Devils Knob Complex on the Umpqua National Forest is a collection of 25 wildfires that started from lightning strikes on July 29 and August 1. The area burned by the fires has not increased in the past two weeks. On October 14th management of the Complex returned to the Umpqua National Forest under a local Incident Management Team.  The fires are 65% contained. Successive waves of cold, wet weather have almost extinguished the remainder of open perimeter and effectively prevented any additional growth. The work that remains is suppression repair, where roads, dozer lines and handlines are restored to proper drainage and protected against erosion from winter rains. Firefighters are felling and clearing fire-damaged trees that are likely to fall across roads and trails. As of this writing on October 14, the entire fire area and some surrounding public lands are closed to public entry because of unsafe conditions.Closures: There is a temporary area closure in place for the...

The Shasta-Trinity National Forest plans to initiate prescribed fire operations this fall and winter as weather patterns shift to cooler temperatures and wetter conditions. The forest recognizes the significant impacts that have occurred as part of the 2021 summer fire season and the extreme conditions that existed throughout much of the summer. Current fuels and fire behavior metrics have moderated significantly and will continue to moderate as days become shorter, evenings cooler and wetter weather approaches. The decision to implement a specific prescribed fire project accounts for the current weather and fuels conditions, the predicted weather conditions, and resource availability. Fire management staff across the forest monitor these conditions and look for appropriate implementation windows that align with the prescription and parameters set in the agency approved prescribed fire plan. The forest will not conduct any prescribed fire operations until conditions match those...

THREE PHASES OF WILDFIRE RECOVERY There are three phases of recovery following wildfires on federal lands: -       Fire Suppression Repair -       Emergency Stabilization-Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) -       Long-Term Recovery and Restoration o   Fire Suppression Repair is a series of immediate post-fire actions taken to repair damages and minimize potential soil erosion and impacts resulting from fire suppression activities and usually begins before the fire is contained, and before the demobilization of an Incident Management Team. This work repairs the hand and dozer fire lines, roads, trails, staging areas, safety zones, and drop points used during fire suppression efforts. o   Emergency Stabilization-Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) is a rapid assessment of burned watersheds by a BAER team to identify imminent post-wildfire threats to human life and safety, property, and critical natural or cultural resources on National Forest System...

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CDT Mon Oct 18 2021 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z The forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on morning observations and recent hi-res ensemble guidance. Winds are already strengthening to 15-20 mph across the southern Plains as the regional pressure gradient tightens. Additionally, RH reductions into the 30-40% range are noted across parts of the high Plains, which lends further support to the ongoing forecast. While the strongest winds remain expected across northern OK/central KS, the probability for elevated conditions remains most likely across northeast NM into southeast CO. Forecast concerns regarding the mid-Missouri Valley, outlined in the previous discussion below, remain valid based on recent surface trends and morning guidance. ..Moore.. 10/18/2021 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1106 PM CDT Sun Oct 17 2021/ ...Synopsis... A strong shortwave trough now along the northern California coast will progress eastward and become more closed off with time. As this feature nears the Four Corners, a deepening lee trough and cyclogenesis is expected in the central High Plains. With the anticyclone maintaining strength within the Southeast, strong southerly winds are likely across parts of the southern and central Plains. ...Northeast New Mexico into southeast Colorado... The deepening lee trough will combine with modestly strengthening westerly winds aloft to promote breezy conditions during the afternoon. Surface winds of 15-20 mph are possible and are the higher confidence portion of the forecast. RH during the afternoon continues to be rather varied in guidance. The typically dry HRRR shows a period of about 3-4 hours where elevated to near critical conditions are possible. With a general moistening trend expected, dry conditions will depend on downslope winds along the southern Rockies. Highlights remain where dry grasses exist and where confidence is highest in a few hours of elevated conditions. ...Mid-Missouri Valley vicinity... A low-level jet is expected to develop in response to the approaching shortwave. Some of the stronger winds in the Plains are expected in this region for that reason. While RH is likely to have improved from the diurnal minima seen Sunday afternoon, 25-30% is possible in some areas with localized values near 20%. Locally elevated fire concerns are possible within cured crops and corn stover. Confidence in RH and broadly dry fuels is too low for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

No watches are valid as of Mon Oct 18 15:52:02 UTC 2021.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Oct 18 15:52:02 UTC 2021.

Yesterday, there were cloudy skies and cool temperatures over the fire area.  In the late afternoon, rain came down over the fire area.  The lightning caused Boundary Fire was detected on August 10, 2021.  The fire is located in steep, inaccessible terrain in heavy fuels in the Frank Church River of No Return Wilderness on the Middle Fork Ranger District.  After five days of heavy initial attack, a National Preparedness Level 5, which is the highest level of wildland fire activity, the Salmon-Challis National Forest reevaluated their strategy for the fire.  Fire managers are using a point protection strategy, which protects specific assets or highly valued resources from the wildfire without directly halting the continued spread of the wildfire.  Values at risk are defined as property, structures, physical improvements, natural and cultural resources, community infrastructure, and economic, environmental, and social values such as the Middle Fork River corridor.  In...

The Mud Lick Fire was detected 23 miles NW of Salmon on July 8. The fire is 20,857 acres and is 70% completed.  Currently, just a few areas of isolated heat remain and creeping is being observed. An IR Flight the evening of September 16 showed isolated heat near Deer Lake and in the upper reaches of Big Deer Creek.  The Forest will continue to monitor the fire by air.  

 The Sylvan Fire is 100 percent

 The 23rd annual Capital Area Interagency Wildfire and Incident Management Academy (CAIWA) began this week at the Camp Swift National Guard Facility in Bastrop, Texas. The academy will take place October 8-20, 2021.Each year, firefighters travel from across the state and nation to attend the academy to continue their education and earn National Wildfire Coordinating Group (NWCG) training qualifications. The mission of Texas Interagency Wildfire and Incident Management Academies, including CAIWA, is to enhance wildland firefighters’ knowledge, utilizing NWCG standards, while promoting safe and cost-effective operations. Four prescribed fires are expected to take place during this year's academy, one each during two sessions of S-130/190: Firefighter Training and Introduction to Wildland Fire Behavior and one each during two sessions of S-219: Firing Operations courses.While these prescribed fires play an instrumental role in the continuing education of student wildland...

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 AM CDT Mon Oct 18 2021 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for severe thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... In mid/upper levels, high-amplitude troughs now over the West Coast States and northeastern CONUS/southeastern Canada will evolve into closed cyclones as they move eastward. The western 500-mb low -- now taking shape near northern parts of the CA/NV state line -- will move eastward across the Great Basin through today and into early tonight. By 12Z, the low should pivot slightly northeastward from east-central UT toward the Flaming Gorge area near the UT/WY/CO border confluence. Preceding height falls, difluence and DCVA/ cooling aloft, and midlevel moistening will spread across portions of the Great Basin and north-central Rockies today into this evening, supporting showers and isolated to widely scattered, mostly weak thunderstorms. With a dry and locally well-mixed diurnal boundary layer over lower elevations of northern UT, some of this activity may produce strong gusts. However, meager amounts of total moisture and low-level theta-e will limit overall thunderstorm coverage, and preclude an organized severe threat. Isolated thunder, with locally gusty winds, also is possible from high-based, low-CAPE convection atop the diurnal mixed layer in parts of far west TX this afternoon into early evening. This activity will be supported by subtle southwest-flow perturbations in midlevels, and weak large-scale scent beneath the left-exit region of a cyclonically curved subtropical-jet segment. Lack of greater low-level moisture/theta-e will be a major limiting factor. Elsewhere, the post-frontal air mass across the northern, central and eastern CONUS should remain too dry and/or stable to support thunderstorms. ..Edwards/Leitman.. 10/18/2021 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 181120
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 18 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days a
couple of hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it
moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

The Alder Creek Fire started on July 8, 2021 approximately 7 miles West of Wise River, Montana, in the Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest. The cause of the Alder Creek Fire has not been determined. The fire terrain is made up of forest timber with 2 feet high underbrush and heavy fuel loads of dead and down Lodgepole Pine. The surrounding valleys are characterized by short sage and grass mix.Forest Closure orders have been rescinded: Beaverhead-Deerlodge NF: Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest - Alerts & Notices (usda.gov) for most up to date information on closures. Fire activity is minimal due to the weather and shorter cooler nights. Occasional smoke could be visible on warmer drier days.  Use caution in the fire area. Watch for snags, falling trees and traffic.  Firefighters may still be in the fire area cleaning up and completing rehab

   The Sand Lake fire started on September 1, 2021 approximately 11 miles northeast of Wise River, Montana. Located on the Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest, the fire is burning in a Wilderness Study Area and is  extremely rugged and rocky terrain. Forest Closure orders have been rescinded: Beaverhead-Deerlodge NF: Beaverhead-Deerlodge National Forest - Alerts & Notices (usda.gov) for most up to date information on closures.  Fire activity is minimal due to the weather and shorter cooler nights. Occasional smoke could be visible on warmer drier days.  Use caution in the fire area. Watch for snags and falling