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A Delaware farmer expects a yield of 250 bushels per acre on his irrigated corn. The unirrigated corn, however, may yield just 50 to 75 bpa, he estimated. Delaware Business Now (Newark, De.), Aug 23, 2022

No watches are valid as of Thu Aug 25 17:47:01 UTC 2022.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Aug 25 17:47:01 UTC 2022.

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2022 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across the Northeast States on Friday. ...Northeast... A broad mid-level trough will shift eastward across southeast Canada and into New England through daybreak Saturday. A mid-level vorticity maximum is forecast to move through the base of the trough and reach the St. Lawrence Valley by late afternoon. An associated surface low will migrate eastward across New England during the day. An attendant cold front will push eastward across New England. A mix of sun/clouds during the morning is expected with isolated to widely scattered showers/few thunderstorms expected closer to the Canadian border. A relatively moist boundary layer will destabilize through midday with surface dewpoints generally in the 60s deg F. Moderate buoyancy coupled with some enhancement to mid-level flow (30-40 kt at 500 mb) will contribute to the potential for storm organization. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast by the mid afternoon mainly in the form of multicellular clusters and bands of storms. A few transient supercells are possible and some risk for large hail and perhaps a tornado could develop with the most intense storms. This activity will likely diminish during the evening coincident with much of it pushing east of the coast and/or storms encountering convectively overturned air. ...Northern High Plains/Western Dakotas... A slow-moving upper low initially near the MT/Alberta border is expected to evolve into an open wave as it moves into the western Dakotas/southern Saskatchewan. A weak surface low will accompany this shortwave trough, moving ahead of it across southeast MT and into ND. A cluster of showers/storms will likely be ongoing across western SD early Friday morning. The associated cloud cover will probably temper diurnal heating and air mass destabilization over the Dakotas except for the far western part of SD. Models indicate isolated storms will develop by late afternoon in the vicinity of a moist axis extending from near the Black Hills northwestward into eastern MT. Isolated large hail/severe gusts are possible with the stronger storms. ..Smith.. 08/25/2022 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251719
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 25 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Berg

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 AM CDT Thu Aug 25 2022 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast reasoning (see below) remains on track, and no changes were made with this update. ..Weinman.. 08/25/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0143 AM CDT Thu Aug 25 2022/ ...Synopsis... Mid-level flow is expected to strengthen across the northwestern U.S. as a more pronounced mid-level trough overspreads the Pacific Northwest tomorrow/Friday. While scattered thunderstorms may support a dry strike or two in a locally more receptive fuel bed across the northern Rockies, a slightly more appreciable fire-weather spread threat may exist across the northern Great Basin closer to the mid-level trough. The stronger flow aloft will overspread a dry boundary layer to the lee of the Cascades southeastward into the northern Great Basin, promoting at least locally Elevated dry/windy surface conditions during the afternoon. Highlights have been withheld this outlook given the more localized conditions overlapping spotty fuels. Surface lee troughing will also increase across the central Plains, along with strong southerly surface flow, encouraging locally to widespread Elevated dry and windy conditions. However, recent appreciable rainfall accumulations, especially across central Nebraska into the Dakotas, has likely dampened fuels to a degree, precluding fire weather highlights this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 AM CDT Thu Aug 25 2022 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... There are no changes to the forecast. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 08/25/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0125 AM CDT Thu Aug 25 2022/ ...Synopsis... Broad cyclonic upper flow will prevail across the eastern U.S. while multiple mid-level impulses will traverse the Northwest into the central Plains today. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop amid a modestly buoyant airmass across portions of the northern Rockies. A few of the thunderstorms may be dry initially, before becoming a more wet/dry mix. Fuels, however, are receptive to wildfire spread on a spotty basis. As such, sparse dry strikes into patchy receptive fuels or gusty, erratic winds emanating from storms may support very localized wildfire-spread potential. Locally dry and windy conditions are also possible across parts of the northern Great Basin in association with the passage of a mid-level impulse. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 AM CDT Thu Aug 25 2022 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN MONTANA AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe hail and thunderstorm gusts will be possible across portions of western Montana and the north-central High Plains today. ...Western MT... Slow-moving closed upper low over near the international border in the vicinity of northern ID will begin to move slowly east late today. Diurnal heating of initially 50s surface dew points will result in a deep mixed layer, and steep midlevel lapse rates will contribute to 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE this afternoon. Although winds throughout the cloud-bearing layer will be generally modest (30 kts or less), veering low/midlevel flow will contribute to 30-35 kts of effective shear. Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon across western MT, with multicell/supercell modes possible. Deep mixed layer will result in a risk for isolated severe wind gusts, and large hail will be possible with a few stronger updrafts/supercell structures. ...North-Central High Plains... Midlevel perturbation currently over western WY will continue east, with a region of ascent favorably timed to develop over the Big Horn/Black Hills region during the mid/late afternoon. Despite ongoing cloud cover, heating of mid/upper 50s surface dew points beneath reasonably steep midlevel lapse rates should result in pockets of MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg. Modest midlevel west/northwest flow will contribute to around 30 kts of effective shear which will favor a mixed multicell/transient supercell mode. Isolated stronger storms will be capable of strong/damaging gusts and hail through early evening. ..Bunting/Wendt.. 08/25/2022 Read more

Sullivan Fire UpdateStart Date: August 22, 2022 Cause: Under Investigation Location: 13 miles north of Hot Springs, Montana.  Estimated Size: 80 acresContainment: 30% Personnel: 55 Incident Command: Local Type 3 organizationEvacuations and Closures: NoneActivity: A couple acres spotted over the control line yesterday, fire crews were able to take care of these spots.  Today, firefighters will continue to secure perimeter and grid for hot spots. Weather: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms.  Temp- 80-85 valleys and 60-65 ridges. RH- 40-50 percent valleys and 60-70 percent ridges. Wind- Southeast 5-10 mph early in the morning becoming southwest in the

Revais Fire UpdateStart Date: August 20, 2022Cause: LightningLocation: 4 miles west of Dixon MontanaEstimate Size: 20 acresContainment: 0%Personnel: 55Incident Command: Local Type 4 organization, Josh Williams, Incident Commander, Cody Couture, Trainee.Evacuations and Closures: There are no evacuations and there are no structures threatened at this time.  The 6000 and 7000 Roads are closed in Revais.  The 7000 Road from Valley Creek coming into Revais is closed.  The 6000 Road from Magpie coming into Revais is closed. Activity: This fire is located in very steep, rocky, rugged terrain.  Aviation will be used to slow the fire.  A control line and fuel break are being constructed at the bottom of Revais Creek near structures.     Weather: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms.  Temp- 80-85 valleys and 60-65 ridges. RH- 40-50 percent valleys and 60-70 percent ridges. Wind- Southeast 5-10 mph early in the morning becoming southwest in the

Several Minnesota orchards had to postpone their opening day due to a delayed harvest. Drought has slowed sunflower growth in Hastings by about a week. CBS Minnesota (Minneapolis), Aug 21, 2022 The Minnesota apple crop has been delayed by a couple of weeks. The apples were not turning red at a Minnetonka orchard. Apples may be smaller this year, but could have a better taste, according to the Minnesota Department of Agriculture. KSTP-TV ABC 5 Minneapolis/St. Paul (Minn.), Aug. 22, 2022

An organic beef farm in Addison County has not received steady rain since May, and pastures were not growing back. After five weeks of rest, one pasture was just three inches tall, when it ought to be eight to 10 inches tall after that time. Cattle feed quality and volume were both down about 50% from a normal year. The corn crop was also not optimal and may be harvested early. The high fuel prices to harvest a subpar crop just adds insult to injury. WCAX-TV CBS 3 (Burlington, Vt.), Aug 24, 2022

Some of the corn in South Dakota and Nebraska did not produce ears, due to extremely hot, dry conditions this summer. The issue was not widespread. Some of the corn was withered, brown and just 5 feet tall, rather than 8 feet tall. Bloomberg (New York), Aug 22, 2022

No watches are valid as of Wed Aug 24 17:48:02 UTC 2022.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Aug 24 17:48:02 UTC 2022.

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1222 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2022 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Thursday. ...Northern Rockies/Northern High Plains... A slow-moving and weakening mid-level low will move east across the northern Rockies into the northern High Plains. Widely scattered to scattered diurnal thunderstorms are forecast to develop during the afternoon over the higher terrain of western into southern MT and near the Big Horns/Black Hills. Models continue to indicate that heating will be tempered in some areas due to partial cloud cover. However, steepening low-level lapse rates and large directional shear contributing to modest deep-layer shear, will support intermittently organized multicells. Given the marginal character of the potential storm intensity, will defer the highlighting of low wind probabilities for the time being. ..Mid MS Valley... A cold front, associated with a shortwave trough moving through the Upper Great Lakes, is expected to move southward through the Mid MS Valley Thursday afternoon and evening. Dewpoints will likely be in the upper 60s and temperatures in the mid 80s ahead of the front, resulting in moderate buoyancy. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are anticipated across the region near the front. A few stronger updrafts could develop, but weak vertical shear will limit storm intensity. ...Elsewhere... Thunderstorms are also possible within the monsoonal moisture still in place across the Southwest and central Rockies, and in the vicinity of subtle upper low and associated surface low over the Southeast and FL. In each of these regions, weak vertical shear should keep the severe threat low. ..Smith.. 08/24/2022 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241718
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 24 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Berg

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2022 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track, and no changes were made with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 08/24/2022 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2022/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander across the northern Rockies tomorrow/Thursday, supporting another day of scattered thunderstorms (a couple of which may be dry) by afternoon. Similar to Day 1, fuels are expected to remain receptive to fire spread on a spotty basis. Given recent rainfall accumulations as well as the potential for appreciable accumulations on Day 1, fuel receptiveness to wildfire spread will likely remain modest, precluding dry thunderstorm highlights this outlook. Also like Day 1, locally Elevated dry and windy conditions may occur in terrain-favoring areas of the northern Great Basin by afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more