Aggregator

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... A strong cold front will move into the Gulf on Thursday morning with a dry, continental polar airmass to spread across the eastern CONUS in its wake. This will keep thunderstorm activity limited to far south Texas late this week and into the early part of the weekend. Eventually, the moist sector will advect inland across Texas and the ArkLaTex ahead of an approaching mid-level trough late on Saturday and on Sunday. The associated cold front will likely trigger some thunderstorm activity on Sunday and Monday. However, instability appears quite limited at this time, and therefore, a substantial severe weather threat appears unlikely during the Day 4 to 8 period. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 051200Z - 101200Z ...DISCUSSION... A strong cold front will move into the Gulf on Thursday morning with a dry, continental polar airmass to spread across the eastern CONUS in its wake. This will keep thunderstorm activity limited to far south Texas late this week and into the early part of the weekend. Eventually, the moist sector will advect inland across Texas and the ArkLaTex ahead of an approaching mid-level trough late on Saturday and on Sunday. The associated cold front will likely trigger some thunderstorm activity on Sunday and Monday. However, instability appears quite limited at this time, and therefore, a substantial severe weather threat appears unlikely during the Day 4 to 8 period. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure will continue overspread the southeast quadrant of the U.S. as a mid-level shortwave trough traverses the eastern CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall cool or moist surface conditions will be present over most areas, resulting in relatively quiescent fire weather conditions. The southern Florida Peninsula may still experience dry 5-10 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH during the afternoon. However, marginal fuel receptiveness precludes fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure will continue overspread the southeast quadrant of the U.S. as a mid-level shortwave trough traverses the eastern CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall cool or moist surface conditions will be present over most areas, resulting in relatively quiescent fire weather conditions. The southern Florida Peninsula may still experience dry 5-10 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH during the afternoon. However, marginal fuel receptiveness precludes fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure will continue overspread the southeast quadrant of the U.S. as a mid-level shortwave trough traverses the eastern CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall cool or moist surface conditions will be present over most areas, resulting in relatively quiescent fire weather conditions. The southern Florida Peninsula may still experience dry 5-10 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH during the afternoon. However, marginal fuel receptiveness precludes fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure will continue overspread the southeast quadrant of the U.S. as a mid-level shortwave trough traverses the eastern CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall cool or moist surface conditions will be present over most areas, resulting in relatively quiescent fire weather conditions. The southern Florida Peninsula may still experience dry 5-10 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH during the afternoon. However, marginal fuel receptiveness precludes fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure will continue overspread the southeast quadrant of the U.S. as a mid-level shortwave trough traverses the eastern CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall cool or moist surface conditions will be present over most areas, resulting in relatively quiescent fire weather conditions. The southern Florida Peninsula may still experience dry 5-10 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH during the afternoon. However, marginal fuel receptiveness precludes fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0232 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure will continue overspread the southeast quadrant of the U.S. as a mid-level shortwave trough traverses the eastern CONUS tomorrow (Tuesday). Overall cool or moist surface conditions will be present over most areas, resulting in relatively quiescent fire weather conditions. The southern Florida Peninsula may still experience dry 5-10 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH during the afternoon. However, marginal fuel receptiveness precludes fire weather highlights this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing will prevail across the eastern U.S., resulting in surface high pressure and associated cool conditions overspreading much of the CONUS. As such, quiescent fire weather conditions may be expected over most locales. One exception may be the southern Florida Peninsula, where dry northwesterly surface flow (i.e. 5-10 mph winds amid 25-35 percent RH) will be in place for at least a few hours around afternoon peak heating. However, relatively weaker surface winds, along with the marginal receptiveness of fuels, suggest that wildfire spread potential should remain localized. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing will prevail across the eastern U.S., resulting in surface high pressure and associated cool conditions overspreading much of the CONUS. As such, quiescent fire weather conditions may be expected over most locales. One exception may be the southern Florida Peninsula, where dry northwesterly surface flow (i.e. 5-10 mph winds amid 25-35 percent RH) will be in place for at least a few hours around afternoon peak heating. However, relatively weaker surface winds, along with the marginal receptiveness of fuels, suggest that wildfire spread potential should remain localized. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing will prevail across the eastern U.S., resulting in surface high pressure and associated cool conditions overspreading much of the CONUS. As such, quiescent fire weather conditions may be expected over most locales. One exception may be the southern Florida Peninsula, where dry northwesterly surface flow (i.e. 5-10 mph winds amid 25-35 percent RH) will be in place for at least a few hours around afternoon peak heating. However, relatively weaker surface winds, along with the marginal receptiveness of fuels, suggest that wildfire spread potential should remain localized. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing will prevail across the eastern U.S., resulting in surface high pressure and associated cool conditions overspreading much of the CONUS. As such, quiescent fire weather conditions may be expected over most locales. One exception may be the southern Florida Peninsula, where dry northwesterly surface flow (i.e. 5-10 mph winds amid 25-35 percent RH) will be in place for at least a few hours around afternoon peak heating. However, relatively weaker surface winds, along with the marginal receptiveness of fuels, suggest that wildfire spread potential should remain localized. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing will prevail across the eastern U.S., resulting in surface high pressure and associated cool conditions overspreading much of the CONUS. As such, quiescent fire weather conditions may be expected over most locales. One exception may be the southern Florida Peninsula, where dry northwesterly surface flow (i.e. 5-10 mph winds amid 25-35 percent RH) will be in place for at least a few hours around afternoon peak heating. However, relatively weaker surface winds, along with the marginal receptiveness of fuels, suggest that wildfire spread potential should remain localized. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0231 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing will prevail across the eastern U.S., resulting in surface high pressure and associated cool conditions overspreading much of the CONUS. As such, quiescent fire weather conditions may be expected over most locales. One exception may be the southern Florida Peninsula, where dry northwesterly surface flow (i.e. 5-10 mph winds amid 25-35 percent RH) will be in place for at least a few hours around afternoon peak heating. However, relatively weaker surface winds, along with the marginal receptiveness of fuels, suggest that wildfire spread potential should remain localized. ..Squitieri.. 12/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible from East Texas into the ArkLaMiss on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will move out of the Canadian Prairies on Wednesday morning and into the central Ozarks by early Thursday morning. As this occurs, a southwesterly low-level jet will strengthen across East Texas on Wednesday and into Louisiana Wednesday night. This strengthening low-level jet and corresponding isentropic ascent in a region with weak (500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE) elevated instability may result in isolated thunderstorms across east Texas during the day Wednesday and into Louisiana, far southern Arkansas, and far western Mississippi on Wednesday night. Elsewhere, a dry, continental polar airmass will be in place with no thunderstorm potential. ..Bentley.. 12/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible from East Texas into the ArkLaMiss on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will move out of the Canadian Prairies on Wednesday morning and into the central Ozarks by early Thursday morning. As this occurs, a southwesterly low-level jet will strengthen across East Texas on Wednesday and into Louisiana Wednesday night. This strengthening low-level jet and corresponding isentropic ascent in a region with weak (500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE) elevated instability may result in isolated thunderstorms across east Texas during the day Wednesday and into Louisiana, far southern Arkansas, and far western Mississippi on Wednesday night. Elsewhere, a dry, continental polar airmass will be in place with no thunderstorm potential. ..Bentley.. 12/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible from East Texas into the ArkLaMiss on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will move out of the Canadian Prairies on Wednesday morning and into the central Ozarks by early Thursday morning. As this occurs, a southwesterly low-level jet will strengthen across East Texas on Wednesday and into Louisiana Wednesday night. This strengthening low-level jet and corresponding isentropic ascent in a region with weak (500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE) elevated instability may result in isolated thunderstorms across east Texas during the day Wednesday and into Louisiana, far southern Arkansas, and far western Mississippi on Wednesday night. Elsewhere, a dry, continental polar airmass will be in place with no thunderstorm potential. ..Bentley.. 12/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible from East Texas into the ArkLaMiss on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will move out of the Canadian Prairies on Wednesday morning and into the central Ozarks by early Thursday morning. As this occurs, a southwesterly low-level jet will strengthen across East Texas on Wednesday and into Louisiana Wednesday night. This strengthening low-level jet and corresponding isentropic ascent in a region with weak (500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE) elevated instability may result in isolated thunderstorms across east Texas during the day Wednesday and into Louisiana, far southern Arkansas, and far western Mississippi on Wednesday night. Elsewhere, a dry, continental polar airmass will be in place with no thunderstorm potential. ..Bentley.. 12/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible from East Texas into the ArkLaMiss on Wednesday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A strong mid-level jet streak will move out of the Canadian Prairies on Wednesday morning and into the central Ozarks by early Thursday morning. As this occurs, a southwesterly low-level jet will strengthen across East Texas on Wednesday and into Louisiana Wednesday night. This strengthening low-level jet and corresponding isentropic ascent in a region with weak (500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE) elevated instability may result in isolated thunderstorms across east Texas during the day Wednesday and into Louisiana, far southern Arkansas, and far western Mississippi on Wednesday night. Elsewhere, a dry, continental polar airmass will be in place with no thunderstorm potential. ..Bentley.. 12/02/2024 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0101 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the Texas Coast and into portions of East Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough will move off the east coast on Tuesday. Surface high pressure will progress east in its wake with a strong anticyclone moving from the Ozarks to the southern Appalachians through the weekend. Easterly flow across the Gulf of Mexico on the southern periphery of the anticyclone will result in some moisture making it inland across far south Texas. A few thunderstorms will be possible along the immediate coastal areas during the morning and early afternoon hours. As low-level flow becomes southerly and strengthens somewhat, moisture advection around 1 km will result in increasing elevated instability. A few elevated thunderstorms are possible in this warm-air advection regime early Wednesday morning. ..Bentley.. 12/02/2024 Read more