SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW EHA TO 25 WNW LBL TO 25 S GCK TO 30 NNE DDC. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-057-069-081-119-175-189-030640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FORD GRAY HASKELL MEADE SEWARD STEVENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW EHA TO 25 WNW LBL TO 25 S GCK TO 30 NNE DDC. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-057-069-081-119-175-189-030640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FORD GRAY HASKELL MEADE SEWARD STEVENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW EHA TO 25 WNW LBL TO 25 S GCK TO 30 NNE DDC. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-057-069-081-119-175-189-030640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FORD GRAY HASKELL MEADE SEWARD STEVENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW EHA TO 25 WNW LBL TO 25 S GCK TO 30 NNE DDC. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-057-069-081-119-175-189-030640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FORD GRAY HASKELL MEADE SEWARD STEVENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW EHA TO 25 WNW LBL TO 25 S GCK TO 30 NNE DDC. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-057-069-081-119-175-189-030640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FORD GRAY HASKELL MEADE SEWARD STEVENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW EHA TO 25 WNW LBL TO 25 S GCK TO 30 NNE DDC. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-057-069-081-119-175-189-030640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FORD GRAY HASKELL MEADE SEWARD STEVENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 567 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 030030Z - 030700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 567 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 730 PM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Kansas Southwest Nebraska * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 730 PM until 200 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to spread eastward into parts of western Kansas and southwest Nebraska this evening. The more intense cores should pose some threat for large hail up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter and scattered severe/damaging winds around 60-75 mph. A tornado or two may also occur. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Imperial NE to Liberal KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 566... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Gleason Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0568 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 568 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 568 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-009-025-045-059-129-139-030640- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER BECKHAM CIMARRON ELLIS HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359- 375-381-393-421-483-030640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0568 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 568 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 568 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-009-025-045-059-129-139-030640- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER BECKHAM CIMARRON ELLIS HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359- 375-381-393-421-483-030640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0568 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 568 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 568 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-009-025-045-059-129-139-030640- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER BECKHAM CIMARRON ELLIS HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359- 375-381-393-421-483-030640- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2 weeks 5 days ago
246
ABPZ20 KNHC 030503
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gil, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands.

Central East Pacific (EP90):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located well west-southwest
of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area
of low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to
form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and
a tropical depression could form late next week as the system moves
generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NHC Webmaster

SPC MD 1875

2 weeks 5 days ago
MD 1875 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 566...567... FOR WESTERN KS...NORTHWEST OK...TX/OK PANHANDLES...FAR NORTHEAST NM...FAR SOUTHEAST CO
Mesoscale Discussion 1875 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1103 PM CDT Sat Aug 02 2025 Areas affected...Western KS...northwest OK...TX/OK Panhandles...far northeast NM...far southeast CO Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566...567... Valid 030403Z - 030530Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566, 567 continues. SUMMARY...Some threat for strong to severe gusts and hail may persist into the overnight hours. DISCUSSION...Organized upscale growth has not occurred thus far with ongoing convection across the High Plains. Instead, there has been a tendency for development and maintenance of discrete or embedded supercells. Steep lapse rates, moderate buoyancy, and 40+ kt of effective shear will continue to support a threat of large hail and localized strong to severe gusts in the short term. A tornado also cannot be ruled out with the ongoing supercells in southwest KS. A strengthening low-level jet (as observed in recent VWPs from KAMA and KDDC) may still support some upscale growth with time into the overnight hours. With increasing CINH and somewhat weaker midlevel lapse rates downstream, the severity of any upscale-growing cluster remains uncertain. Even if an organized MCS does not develop, a cluster of storms with embedded stronger cells may still spread southeastward overnight, with some threat of hail and strong to severe gusts. New watch issuance into parts of the TX/OK Panhandles is probable before 05Z. ..Dean/Gleason.. 08/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 35840329 37060297 38230232 39590152 39850108 39880042 39820001 39689944 37749905 36879917 36409934 35460016 35160176 35220299 35840329 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE LAA TO 45 N GCK TO 50 S MCK TO 30 SSE LBF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1875 ..DEAN..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC025-039-055-057-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-119-129-171- 175-179-187-189-203-030540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK DECATUR FINNEY FORD GOVE GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY LANE MEADE MORTON SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN STANTON STEVENS WICHITA NEC145-030540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE RED WILLOW Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 Status Reports

2 weeks 5 days ago
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S ITR TO 20 SSW GLD TO 35 S IML TO 40 WNW LBF. ..DEAN..08/03/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 567 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC023-025-039-055-057-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119- 129-153-171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-030440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE CLARK DECATUR FINNEY FORD GOVE GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY LANE LOGAN MEADE MORTON RAWLINS SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA NEC085-087-145-030440- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HAYES HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW Read more

Tropical Storm Gil Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2 weeks 5 days ago
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 03 2025 367 FOPZ12 KNHC 030238 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072025 0300 UTC SUN AUG 03 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 130W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 135W 34 33 19(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 20N 135W 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
NHC Webmaster

Tropical Storm Gil Forecast Discussion Number 12

2 weeks 5 days ago
Issued at 500 PM HST Sat Aug 02 2025 402 WTPZ42 KNHC 030239 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Gil Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072025 500 PM HST Sat Aug 02 2025 Gil is now over waters of about 24 degrees Celsius, and its deep convection is gradually losing organization and areal coverage. Based on Dvorak estimates of T3.0/4.0 from TAFB and T3.5/3.5 from SAB, the intensity is lowered to 55 kt. Sea surface temperatures ahead of Gil will be getting colder by another degree or two, and the storm will be running into a region of moderate to strong southwesterly shear in 24-48 hours. Gil is likely to lose organized convection, and thus become post-tropical, in about 24 hours, with continued weakening thereafter. The storm continues to move quickly west-northwestward at 295/18 kt. The ridge north of Gil is forecast to weaken during the next couple of days, which should cause a gradual decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the west is forecast in about 48 hours as the remnant low is steered by the low-level flow. The NHC track forecast is slightly south of the previous forecast, leaning toward the latest HCCA and AI guidance. Global models are in good agreement that the remnant low will open up into a trough by day 4 (Wednesday) northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 19.5N 132.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 20.3N 134.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 04/0000Z 21.1N 137.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 04/1200Z 21.7N 140.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/0000Z 22.0N 142.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 05/1200Z 22.2N 145.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 06/0000Z 22.6N 148.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
NHC Webmaster