1 week ago
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 10 2025 ZCZC HFOTCMCP4 ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP112025
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC WED SEP 10 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 156.3W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 60SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 156.3W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 155.7W
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.4N 158.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.1N 160.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.8N 162.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.6N 164.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.2N 166.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.7N 168.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 156.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
NHC Webmaster
1 week ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 092343
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 9 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin a couple of
hundred miles east-northeast of Oahu in the Hawaiian Islands.
South of Southern and Southwestern Mexico (EP95):
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late this week as it moves west-northwestward, roughly
parallel to but offshore of the Mexican coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
NHC Webmaster
1 week 1 day ago
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Sep 09 2025 ZCZC HFOTCDCP4 ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number 39
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP112025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Sep 09 2025
Satellite images show convection associated with Kiko remains
displaced to the north of the low-level center within northerly
outer bands. Strong southwesterly wind shear and drier air continues
to limit the overall convection, especially near the center of the
system through this morning. Lastest subjective estimates from SAB
and PHFO, and objective estimates from UW-CIMSS have decreased
ranging from 25 to 43 kt. Using these estimates and the latest
satellite trends, the initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt.
Kiko continues to move west-northwestward at an estimated motion of
290/13 kt. The system has become a more shallow vortex and is
forecast to continue moving west-northwestward throughout the
forecast period, steered by the subtropical ridge. The official
forecast track was nudged slightly left, and lies near the latest
consensus aids.
The cyclone remains is forecast to remain within a high shear
environment over the next 18 h or so, afterwards shear subsides for
about a day or so. When the shear subsides Kiko will remain over
warm ocean temperatures and global model simulated infrared imagery
show that the system could regain convection. However, it remains to
be seen if the convection will be organized enough to classify the
system as a tropical cyclone. By 48-60h, moderate to strong shear
returns, and the system should continue to weaken, lose all
convection, and eventually open into a trough dissipating by the
end of the forecast period. The latest NHC forecast follows these
weakening trends, and lies near the consensus intensity aids. It is
noted that if Kiko does not produce organized convection soon as
models show, the system may become post-tropical earlier than
officially forecast.
Key Messages:
1. Kiko is forecast to pass north of the Hawaiian Islands today
and Wednesday. Additional weakening is expected, and the threat of
direct impacts on the islands continues to diminish, though
interests should still monitor Kiko's progress and the latest
forecasts.
2. Swells generated by Kiko are gradually building from east to west
across the exposed Hawaiian waters and are forecast to peak
today through Wednesday, potentially producing life-threatening
surf and rip currents. Refer to the latest updates and forecasts
issued from the National Weather Service in Honolulu, Hawaii.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 09/2100Z 22.9N 154.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 23.4N 156.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 23.9N 159.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 24.7N 161.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 25.6N 163.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 12/0600Z 26.3N 165.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 12/1800Z 26.9N 167.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNNN
NHC Webmaster
1 week 1 day ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091737
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 9 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin a few hundred miles
north-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
South of Southern and Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located south of the southern coast of Guatemala is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are favorable for development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this
week as it moves west-northwestward, roughly parallel to but
offshore of the Mexican coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 week 1 day ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091125
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 9 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin a few hundred miles
east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
South of Southern and Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located south of the southern coast of Guatemala is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are favorable for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by late this week as it moves
west-northwestward, roughly parallel to but offshore of the Mexican
coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 week 1 day ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 090520
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 8 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin a few hundred miles
east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
South of Southern and Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located around 150 miles south of the southern coast
of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are favorable for development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this
week as it moves west-northwestward, roughly parallel to but
offshore of the Mexican coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
NHC Webmaster
1 week 2 days ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082331
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Sep 8 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin several hundred miles
east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
South of Southern and Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located around 150 miles south of El Salvador is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are favorable for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by late this week as it moves
west-northwestward, roughly parallel to but offshore of the Mexican
coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
NHC Webmaster
1 week 3 days ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 072309
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Sep 7 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin well east of Hilo,
Hawaii.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NHC Webmaster
1 week 3 days ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 071710
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 7 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin well east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster
1 week 3 days ago
209
ABPZ20 KNHC 071129
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Sep 7 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin well east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii.
Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located a
few hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico is
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are expected to become increasingly unfavorable during
the next couple of days, and further development of this system is
not anticipated while it moves generally westward at around 10 to
15 mph over the open waters of the eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster
1 week 3 days ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 070516
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 6 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin well east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii.
Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the
southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a few showers and
thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while it moves generally westward at around 10 to 15 mph
over the open waters of the eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
125
ABPZ20 KNHC 062320
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Sep 6 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin well east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii.
Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a few showers and
thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while it moves generally westward around 10 to 15 mph over
the open waters of the eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
915
ABPZ20 KNHC 061714
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 6 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the central Pacific basin well east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii.
Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest
of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing a few showers and
thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system should be slow
to occur while it moves generally westward around 10 to 15 mph over
the open waters of the eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
576
ABPZ20 KNHC 061142
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Sep 6 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kiko, located in the eastern Pacific basin well east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii. Kiko is expected to cross into the central Pacific
basin soon.
Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure has formed a few hundred miles south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico. Development, if any, of this
system should be slow to occur while it moves generally westward
around 10 to 15 mph over the open waters of the eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Sep 2025 10:38:07 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Sep 2025 10:38:07 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
Issued at 1100 PM HST Fri Sep 05 2025 433
WTPZ41 KNHC 061036
TCDEP1
Hurricane Kiko Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112025
1100 PM HST Fri Sep 05 2025
Kiko has held steady this evening with only minor fluctuations in
intensity, maintaining its Category 4 strength on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. The eye remains well-defined and is mostly
surrounded by a sufficiently large light gray shade on the Dvorak BD
curve, with occasional hints of an even stronger pattern when a
nearly sufficiently large black shade surrounds the eye. The
latest subjective Dvorak current intensities varied, with TAFB at
6.5/127 kt, and SAB and HFO both at 6.0/115 kt. Objective estimates
from UW-CIMSS ranged between 115 and 122 kt. Blending the subjective
and objective data supports holding the initial intensity at 120 kt
for this advisory.
Kiko continues to move west-northwestward, or 285 degrees at 9 kt,
and will enter the Central Pacific basin within a few hours. The
cyclone remains steered by the southwestern flank of a subtropical
ridge, while an upper-level low north of Hawaii continues to
gradually erode the ridge’s western periphery. This general motion
is expected to persist through the weekend. By early to mid next
week (days 3 to 5), it is expected to turn slightly more westward
under increasing influence from the low-level steering flow, keeping
the center north of the main Hawaiian Islands. The latest forecast
track lies slightly to the right of the previous NHC forecast and
represents a blend between that solution and the consensus aids.
Kiko is expected to maintain its major hurricane intensity through
Saturday while traversing waters near 26 C and under minimal shear.
Its annular structure should allow the system to resist weakening
longer than typically observed, even as it begins to move over
cooler waters. By late this weekend, Kiko will encounter
progressively cooler waters and steadily increasing
west-southwesterly shear, which should induce weakening at a more
rapid rate as it begins to approach the Hawaiian Islands. The
official intensity forecast holds Kiko above much of the guidance
through the first half of the weekend, before trending closer to the
consensus aids late in the weekend and early next week.
Future information on Kiko can be found under Central Pacific basin
headers beginning at 500 AM HST. Future Tropical Cyclone
Discussions will be issued under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO
header WTPA44 PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the
web at hurricanes.gov.
Key Messages:
1. Kiko is forecast to approach the Hawaiian Islands during the
early to the middle portion of next week. Impacts from rain and wind
remain a possibility, but it is too soon to determine the exact
location or magnitude of these impacts, and interests there should
continue to monitor the progress of this storm.
2. Swells generated by Kiko are expected to begin reaching the Big
Island and Maui by Sunday. These swells will gradually build and are
forecast to peak along east facing exposures of the Hawaiian Islands
late Monday through midweek, potentially producing life-threatening
surf and rip currents. Listen for later advisories and possible
warnings from the National Weather Service.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0900Z 15.1N 139.7W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 06/1800Z 15.7N 141.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 07/0600Z 16.5N 142.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 07/1800Z 17.4N 144.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 08/0600Z 18.5N 146.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
60H 08/1800Z 19.6N 149.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 09/0600Z 21.0N 151.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 10/0600Z 23.1N 155.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 11/0600Z 24.9N 160.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Sep 2025 08:38:13 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Sep 2025 09:21:31 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 06 Sep 2025 08:38:13 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 06 Sep 2025 08:38:13 GMT
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
Issued at 1100 PM HST Fri Sep 05 2025 000
WTPZ41 KNHC 060836
TCDEP1
Hurricane Kiko Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112025
1100 PM HST Fri Sep 05 2025
Kiko has held steady this evening with only minor fluctuations in
intensity, maintaining its Category 4 strength on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. The eye remains well-defined and is mostly
surrounded by a sufficiently large light gray shade on the Dvorak BD
curve, with occasional hints of an even stronger pattern when a
nearly sufficiently large black shade surrounds the eye. The
latest subjective Dvorak current intensities varied, with TAFB at
6.5/127 kt, and SAB and HFO both at 6.0/115 kt. Objective estimates
from UW-CIMSS ranged between 115 and 122 kt. Blending the subjective
and objective data supports holding the initial intensity at 120 kt
for this advisory.
Kiko continues to move west-northwestward, or 285 degrees at 9 kt,
and will enter the Central Pacific basin within a few hours. The
cyclone remains steered by the southwestern flank of a subtropical
ridge, while an upper-level low north of Hawaii continues to
gradually erode the ridge’s western periphery. This general motion
is expected to persist through the weekend. By early to mid next
week (days 3 to 5), it is expected to turn slightly more westward
under increasing influence from the low-level steering flow, keeping
the center north of the main Hawaiian Islands. The latest forecast
track lies slightly to the right of the previous NHC forecast and
represents a blend between that solution and the consensus aids.
Kiko is expected to maintain its major hurricane intensity through
Saturday while traversing waters near 26 C and under minimal shear.
Its annular structure should allow the system to resist weakening
longer than typically observed, even as it begins to move over
cooler waters. By late this weekend, Kiko will encounter
progressively cooler waters and steadily increasing
west-southwesterly shear, which should induce weakening at a more
rapid rate as it begins to approach the Hawaiian Islands. The
official intensity forecast holds Kiko above much of the guidance
through the first half of the weekend, before trending closer to the
consensus aids late in the weekend and early next week.
Key Messages:
1. Kiko is forecast to approach the Hawaiian Islands during the
early to the middle portion of next week. Impacts from rain and wind
remain a possibility, but it is too soon to determine the exact
location or magnitude of these impacts, and interests there should
continue to monitor the progress of this storm.
2. Swells generated by Kiko are expected to begin reaching the Big
Island and Maui by Sunday. These swells will gradually build and are
forecast to peak along east facing exposures of the Hawaiian Islands
late Monday through midweek, potentially producing life-threatening
surf and rip currents. Listen for later advisories and possible
warnings from the National Weather Service.
Future information on Kiko can be found under Central Pacific basin
headers beginning at 500 AM HST. Future Tropical Cyclone Discussions
will be issued under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO header WTPA44
PHFO. Products will continue to be available on the web at
hurricanes.gov.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0900Z 15.1N 139.7W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 06/1800Z 15.7N 141.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
24H 07/0600Z 16.5N 142.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 07/1800Z 17.4N 144.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 08/0600Z 18.5N 146.9W 100 KT 115 MPH
60H 08/1800Z 19.6N 149.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 09/0600Z 21.0N 151.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 10/0600Z 23.1N 155.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 11/0600Z 24.9N 160.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
NHC Webmaster
1 week 4 days ago
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2025 029
FOPZ11 KNHC 060832
PWSEP1
HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112025
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120
KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 140W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 140W 50 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
15N 140W 64 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
15N 145W 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
20N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 20(33) 4(37) X(37) X(37)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 79(87) 1(88) X(88)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 56(57) 1(58) X(58)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) X(34) X(34)
25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 67(71) 2(73) X(73)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 2(34) X(34)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 1(16) X(16)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) X(20)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
25N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)
NHC Webmaster
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific
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