National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

...HECTOR STILL WEAKENING... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY... As of 5:00 PM HST Wed Aug 28 the center of Hector was located near 17.2, -134.2 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

278
ABPZ20 KNHC 282313
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hector, located about midway between the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula and the Hawaiian Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 28 Aug 2024 20:39:24 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 28 Aug 2024 21:34:41 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 282038 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 1100 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 The low-level center of Hector has completely decoupled from its deep convection today. Visible satellite images and scatterometer data indicate the center is south of previous estimates, and the circulation still appears elongated with weak winds on the south side. Additionally, much of the deep convection from earlier today has collapsed, and cloud top temperatures have warmed to the northeast of the center. Despite its degraded structure, a recent ASCAT-B pass shows Hector is still producing tropical-storm-force winds in its northern semicircle, and the initial intensity is set at 40 kt. The estimated motion of the storm is south of due west (260/8 kt). A subtropical ridge to the north of Hector should continue steering the cyclone westward during the next couple of days. There are no changes to the forecast reasoning, although the latest NHC forecast track is shifted southward based on the relocation of the center. Additional weakening is forecast given Hector's poor organization and the hostile environmental conditions it faces, namely the moderate west-southwesterly shear and dry air in the surrounding environment. Based on current satellite trends and the latest model-simulated satellite imagery, Hector is forecast to degenerate to a remnant low in 24 h and dissipate by 48 h. However, it is possible that Hector could open into a trough sooner than forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 17.6N 133.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 17.7N 135.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 17.7N 137.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0600Z 17.7N 140.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart

Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 282036 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER REINHART

Issued at 1100 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 282036 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 1100 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 ...HECTOR WEAKENS... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 133.4W ABOUT 1425 MI...2295 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 133.4 West. Hector is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Hector is expected to become a remnant low on Thursday and dissipate on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

...HECTOR WEAKENS... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY... As of 11:00 AM HST Wed Aug 28 the center of Hector was located near 17.6, -133.4 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 282035 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.4W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.4W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.7N 135.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.7N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.7N 140.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 133.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART

822
ABPZ20 KNHC 281714
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hector, located about midway between the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula and the Hawaiian Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 28 Aug 2024 14:34:31 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 28 Aug 2024 15:35:03 GMT

Issued at 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 654 WTPZ43 KNHC 281433 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 GOES-18 proxy-vis imagery shows that the low-level center of Hector is exposed to the southwest of a large area of deep convection. A 28/1040 UTC ATMS microwave pass also supports the analysis of the exposed center located to the southwest of the convection. An ASCAT-B pass from 28/0608 UTC showed wind vectors up to 38 kt to the north of the center. However, the ASCAT data also shows that the wind structure on the south side is becoming weak and elongated. Although the scatterometer data still shows some weak west winds on the south side, Hector could be close to opening up into a trough. Subjective current intensity estimates are 45 kt from both TAFB and SAB. Objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are a bit lower, ranging from 35 to 44 kt. The initial intensity is held at 45 kt for this advisory. The center of Hector is becoming a bit more ambiguous as there appears to be a couple of weak swirls, and the best estimate of the motion is westward, or 275/9 kt. The cyclone should continue moving close to due west, steered by a low- to mid-level subtropical ridge to its north. The new NHC forecast is just a tad slower than the previous official forecast and is close to the TVCE consensus aid. Moderate west-southwesterly wind shear has already caused the convective area to be displaced well to the northeast of the center. Given that Hector is expected to continue traveling within an environment of marginal SSTs, dry air, and moderate southwesterly shear, the NHC forecast will continue to show weakening, in agreement with the latest intensity consensus guidance. Simulated satellite imagery from the GFS and ECMWF models suggests that Hector should lose its convection on Thursday, and the official forecast continues to show Hector degenerating to a remnant low at that time. Most of the global models show the remnants of Hector opening up into a trough by Friday. However, given the recent deteriorating surface wind structure observed on ASCAT and GOES-18 proxy vis imagery, it would not be surprising if Hector dissipated sooner than forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 18.3N 132.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 18.5N 136.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart/Konarik

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 281433 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 135W 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN/REINHART/KONARIK

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 281432 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 132.9W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 132.9W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 132.4W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 136.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 132.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN/REINHART/KONARIK

Issued at 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 281432 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 ...HECTOR FORECAST TO WEAKEN SOON AS IT HEADS WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 132.9W ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 132.9 West. Hector is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next couple of days, and Hector is forecast to become a remnant low on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart/Konarik

...HECTOR FORECAST TO WEAKEN SOON AS IT HEADS WESTWARD... As of 5:00 AM HST Wed Aug 28 the center of Hector was located near 18.3, -132.9 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281114
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hector, located about midway between the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula and the Hawaiian Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 28 Aug 2024 08:35:32 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 28 Aug 2024 09:36:49 GMT

Issued at 1100 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 280834 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 1100 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024 Hector continues to produce a large area of deep convection, although it has become a little less organized this evening. Recent microwave imagery depicts that the system is starting to tilt due to 15-20 kt of westerly wind shear. A recent scatterometer pass of ASCAT-B depicted satellite derived winds around 38-40 kt. Subjective and objective intensity estimates have held steady for this advisory and range from 40-45 kt. Using a blend of ASCAT data and the intensity estimates, the intensity is held at 45 kt for this advisory. The tropical storm continues to move west-northwestward at 285/10 kt. The mid-level ridge ridge to the north will keep Hector on a west-northwestward to westward motion the next day or so. As the system weakens and becomes vertically shallow a more westward motion will occur as the system is steered in the low-level flow. The model guidance is in fairly good agreement and the latest NHC track forecast is very close to the previous advisory. Atmospheric and oceanic conditions near the system are not very favorable as Hector will continue to deal with westerly wind shear, drier air, and moves over sub 26C sea surface temperatures. This should cause Hector to gradually weaken over the next few days. Global models are in fairly good agreement that the system will struggle to produce organized deep convection in about 36 h, and open into a trough and dissipate in 60 h. This is reflected in the latest NHC intensity forecast, which lies near the consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0900Z 18.4N 132.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 28/1800Z 18.5N 133.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 29/0600Z 18.6N 135.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 29/1800Z 18.6N 138.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/0600Z 18.5N 141.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 280834 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082024 0900 UTC WED AUG 28 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 135W 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER KELLY

Issued at 1100 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 280833 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hector Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 1100 PM HST Tue Aug 27 2024 ...HECTOR FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 132.0W ABOUT 1460 MI...2350 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hector was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 132.0 West. Hector is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion with a turn more westward is anticipated over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated during the next few days and Hector is forecast to become a remnant low on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Kelly