National Hurricane Center (NHC) Pacific Map

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 11 Aug 2025 02:32:39 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 11 Aug 2025 02:32:39 GMT

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 110231 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Ivo Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Cool waters, dry air, and northeasterly vertical wind shear are taking a toll on Ivo. Deep convection has been steadily declining over the past several hours, and the system appears to be on its way to becoming a remnant low. The initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt, making Ivo a tropical depression. Since the environment is expected to become even more hostile, Ivo is forecast to continue weakening. It is now forecast to become a remnant low early Monday and dissipate entirely in a couple of days. Ivo is moving toward the west-northwest at about 9 kt. A westward to west-northwestward motion at about the same forward speed is expected within the low-level flow until the system dissipates. Little change was made to the previous track, and this one lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 22.3N 117.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 22.6N 119.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/0000Z 22.8N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/1200Z 22.8N 123.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 11 2025 055 FOPZ14 KNHC 110231 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025 0300 UTC MON AUG 11 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 11 2025 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 110230 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025 0300 UTC MON AUG 11 2025 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 117.9W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 117.9W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 117.4W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.6N 119.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.8N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.8N 123.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 117.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 110230 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ivo Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 800 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 ...IVO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 117.9W ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ivo was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 117.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwestward and then westward motion at a similar forward speed is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Ivo is expected to become a remnant low early Monday. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

...IVO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 the center of Ivo was located near 22.3, -117.9 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

448
ABPZ20 KNHC 102307
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Henriette, located in the Central Pacific basin
several hundred miles north-northeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and
on Tropical Storm Ivo, located in the Eastern Pacific basin several
hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 20:33:17 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 21:27:21 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 20:33:17 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 20:33:17 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025 686 FOPZ14 KNHC 102031 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025 2100 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 613 WTPZ44 KNHC 102032 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Ivo Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Even over waters of 23-24 degrees Celsius, Ivo is managing to maintain a persistent area of deep convection. A recent ASCAT pass showed maximum winds of 30 kt. Accounting for the instrument's sampling limitations, and combined with satellite estimates still running around 35 kt, it is estimated that Ivo is hanging on to tropical storm status. Sea surface temperatures drop by another 2-3 degrees along Ivo's forecast track, so weakening is expected to resume tonight, and simulated satellite images from the GFS and ECMWF show that deep convection could finally be gone by Monday morning. Degeneration into a remnant low is forecast by 24 hours, followed by dissipation into a trough in 60 hours. Ivo is moving west-northwestward (285 deg) at 10 kt. This motion should continue for the next 12 hours, followed by a slight bend to the west in 24 hours as Ivo stays situated to the south of the low- to mid-level ridge. The track models are tightly clustered, and the new NHC forecast is mainly an update of the previous prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 22.1N 117.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0600Z 22.5N 118.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 11/1800Z 22.8N 120.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0600Z 22.9N 123.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1800Z 22.9N 125.3W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg

Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 826 WTPZ34 KNHC 102031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 200 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 ...IVO RESILIENTLY MAINTAINING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER COOL WATER... ...STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.1N 117.2W ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 117.2 West. Ivo is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A west-northwestward and then westward motion at a similar forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Ivo is expected to become a remnant low on Monday. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

...IVO RESILIENTLY MAINTAINING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER COOL WATER... ...STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Aug 10 the center of Ivo was located near 22.1, -117.2 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025 465 WTPZ24 KNHC 102031 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025 2100 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 117.2W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 117.2W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.5N 118.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.8N 120.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.9N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N 125.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 117.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101735
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Henriette, located in the Central Pacific basin several
hundred miles northeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical
Storm Ivo, located in the Eastern Pacific basin several hundred
miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 14:36:53 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 15:27:27 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 14:36:53 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 10 Aug 2025 14:36:53 GMT

Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 617 WTPZ44 KNHC 101435 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Ivo Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Ivo is maintaining a small cluster of deep convection, near and to the south of the low-level center. Dvorak CI numbers of 2.5 from TAFB and SAB and objective estimates from UW-CIMSS support holding the initial intensity at 35 kt for this advisory. The cyclone is moving over cooler waters and in a more stable environment, while also contending with moderate northeasterly shear, and weakening is therefore forecast during the next couple of days. Ivo should lose all its convection and become a remnant low by 24 hours, and global models show dissipation into a surface trough in 60 hours. The initial motion is a bit faster toward the west-northwest (290/9 kt). Low- to mid-level ridging to the north should keep Ivo on a westward to west-northwestward trajectory at a fairly steady speed during the next couple of days. The NHC forecast is well within the tightly packed guidance envelope, and no significant changes were made from the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 21.9N 116.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0000Z 22.5N 117.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 11/1200Z 23.0N 119.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0000Z 23.2N 121.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1200Z 23.2N 124.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 101435 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092025 1500 UTC SUN AUG 10 2025 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 101435 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 800 AM PDT Sun Aug 10 2025 ...IVO FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 116.1W ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 116.1 West. Ivo is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwest to west motion at a similar speed is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Ivo is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by early Monday. The remnant low is likely to dissipate on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg