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2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...Synopsis...
Shortwave troughing over the northern US is forecast to move
eastward as sub-tropical ridging begins to build over the West. A
weak cold front will move south shifting winds to northwesterly over
the Rockies and northern Plains. While weaker than the preceding
days, lingering flow aloft will still aid in sustaining breezy
northwest winds of 15-20 mph across the Interstate 80 corridor in
southwest WY. The winds overlapping with relative humidity in the
15-20 percent range amid very dry fuels will support elevated fire
weather conditions across southwest WY.
..Lyons.. 06/29/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...Synopsis...
Shortwave troughing over the northern US is forecast to move
eastward as sub-tropical ridging begins to build over the West. A
weak cold front will move south shifting winds to northwesterly over
the Rockies and northern Plains. While weaker than the preceding
days, lingering flow aloft will still aid in sustaining breezy
northwest winds of 15-20 mph across the Interstate 80 corridor in
southwest WY. The winds overlapping with relative humidity in the
15-20 percent range amid very dry fuels will support elevated fire
weather conditions across southwest WY.
..Lyons.. 06/29/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...Synopsis...
Shortwave troughing over the northern US is forecast to move
eastward as sub-tropical ridging begins to build over the West. A
weak cold front will move south shifting winds to northwesterly over
the Rockies and northern Plains. While weaker than the preceding
days, lingering flow aloft will still aid in sustaining breezy
northwest winds of 15-20 mph across the Interstate 80 corridor in
southwest WY. The winds overlapping with relative humidity in the
15-20 percent range amid very dry fuels will support elevated fire
weather conditions across southwest WY.
..Lyons.. 06/29/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...Synopsis...
Shortwave troughing over the northern US is forecast to move
eastward as sub-tropical ridging begins to build over the West. A
weak cold front will move south shifting winds to northwesterly over
the Rockies and northern Plains. While weaker than the preceding
days, lingering flow aloft will still aid in sustaining breezy
northwest winds of 15-20 mph across the Interstate 80 corridor in
southwest WY. The winds overlapping with relative humidity in the
15-20 percent range amid very dry fuels will support elevated fire
weather conditions across southwest WY.
..Lyons.. 06/29/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...Synopsis...
Shortwave troughing over the northern US is forecast to move
eastward as sub-tropical ridging begins to build over the West. A
weak cold front will move south shifting winds to northwesterly over
the Rockies and northern Plains. While weaker than the preceding
days, lingering flow aloft will still aid in sustaining breezy
northwest winds of 15-20 mph across the Interstate 80 corridor in
southwest WY. The winds overlapping with relative humidity in the
15-20 percent range amid very dry fuels will support elevated fire
weather conditions across southwest WY.
..Lyons.. 06/29/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0475 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 475
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 475
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC059-119-141-143-167-290740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA SIOUX
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
NEC003-015-027-089-107-139-149-290740-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD CEDAR
HOLT KNOX PIERCE
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0475 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 475
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 475
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC059-119-141-143-167-290740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA SIOUX
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
NEC003-015-027-089-107-139-149-290740-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD CEDAR
HOLT KNOX PIERCE
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0475 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 475
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 475
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC059-119-141-143-167-290740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKINSON LYON O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA SIOUX
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
NEC003-015-027-089-107-139-149-290740-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD CEDAR
HOLT KNOX PIERCE
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0476 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE RWF
TO 20 SSW MSP TO 60 NE MSP TO 60 NNW EAU TO 35 SW ASX.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...DLH...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-037-039-043-047-049-079-091-109-131-147-157-161-163-165-
290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN GOODHUE
LE SUEUR MARTIN OLMSTED
RICE STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WIC005-011-017-033-035-091-093-095-099-107-109-113-119-290740-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
DUNN EAU CLAIRE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX SAWYER
TAYLOR
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0476 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE RWF
TO 20 SSW MSP TO 60 NE MSP TO 60 NNW EAU TO 35 SW ASX.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...DLH...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-037-039-043-047-049-079-091-109-131-147-157-161-163-165-
290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN GOODHUE
LE SUEUR MARTIN OLMSTED
RICE STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WIC005-011-017-033-035-091-093-095-099-107-109-113-119-290740-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
DUNN EAU CLAIRE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX SAWYER
TAYLOR
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0476 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE RWF
TO 20 SSW MSP TO 60 NE MSP TO 60 NNW EAU TO 35 SW ASX.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...DLH...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-037-039-043-047-049-079-091-109-131-147-157-161-163-165-
290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN GOODHUE
LE SUEUR MARTIN OLMSTED
RICE STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WIC005-011-017-033-035-091-093-095-099-107-109-113-119-290740-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
DUNN EAU CLAIRE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX SAWYER
TAYLOR
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 0476 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE RWF
TO 20 SSW MSP TO 60 NE MSP TO 60 NNW EAU TO 35 SW ASX.
..BROYLES..06/29/25
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...DLH...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 476
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-037-039-043-047-049-079-091-109-131-147-157-161-163-165-
290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FREEBORN GOODHUE
LE SUEUR MARTIN OLMSTED
RICE STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WIC005-011-017-033-035-091-093-095-099-107-109-113-119-290740-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
DUNN EAU CLAIRE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX SAWYER
TAYLOR
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
WW 476 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 290430Z - 291000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 476
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Eastern Minnesota
Western and Northwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 1130 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An expanding/organizing quasi-linear convective complex
will continue to pose mainly a damaging wind threat overnight from
southern/eastern Minnesota into western/northwest Wisconsin.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles northeast of
Eau Claire WI to 30 miles west of Mankato MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 474...WW 475...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Guyer
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
2 months 1 week ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MIDWEST
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts
of the Ohio Valley, Midwest and the Mid-Atlantic on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify as it moves into the Great Lakes on
Monday with a persistent ridge across the western CONUS and a closed
low off the California coast. At the surface, a cold front will move
through the Midwest and Great Lakes.
...Midwest into the Great Lakes...
Moderate instability is forecast to develop ahead of a cold front
across the western Great Lakes/Midwest Monday afternoon as
temperatures warm into the low 80s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Mid-level lapse rates will not be that steep, but instability and
forcing should be sufficient to support some strong updrafts. 30 to
40 knots of mid-level flow across the warm sector will lead to
modest shear which could result in multicell clusters capable of
damaging wind gusts. 00Z CAM guidance suggest the potential for
storms ahead of and along the front with some post-frontal storms
also possible across Wisconsin beneath the colder air aloft. This
cooler air aloft may result in isolated large hail from the
post-frontal storms.
...Mid Atlantic...
Despite weak deep-layer flow/shear, a few wet microbursts will be
possible east of the Appalachians during the afternoon, where steep
low-level lapse rates will develop amid deep/rich tropospheric
moisture (PW around 2 inches).
..Bentley.. 06/29/2025
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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