Severe Storms

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW FSI TO 25 NNW ADM TO 20 E OKC TO 20 SSE END TO 20 SSE PNC. ..HART..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC031-033-049-067-081-083-103-109-119-125-133-137-050540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN JEFFERSON LINCOLN LOGAN NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW FSI TO 25 NNW ADM TO 20 E OKC TO 20 SSE END TO 20 SSE PNC. ..HART..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC031-033-049-067-081-083-103-109-119-125-133-137-050540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN JEFFERSON LINCOLN LOGAN NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW FSI TO 25 NNW ADM TO 20 E OKC TO 20 SSE END TO 20 SSE PNC. ..HART..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC031-033-049-067-081-083-103-109-119-125-133-137-050540- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN JEFFERSON LINCOLN LOGAN NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 392 SEVERE TSTM OK 042155Z - 050500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 392 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 455 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Central Oklahoma * Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to rapidly intensify late this afternoon across west central Oklahoma and track east-southeastward across the watch area. Supercell storms capable of very large hail and damaging winds are the main concern. An isolated tornado or two is also possible with the strongest cells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west southwest of Enid OK to 60 miles south southeast of Chandler OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 389...WW 390...WW 391... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Hart Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE LTS TO 15 WSW CHK TO 30 NNW CHK TO 40 SW AVK. ..BROYLES..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC011-017-027-031-033-047-049-051-053-067-071-073-081-083-087- 093-103-109-119-125-133-137-050440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAINE CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 393 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC011-021-037-050440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD MOC011-097-119-145-217-050440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTON JASPER MCDONALD NEWTON VERNON OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-077-079- 085-091-095-097-099-101-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-127-131- 135-143-145-147-050440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW Read more

MD 1170 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA FAR SOUTHEAST KS EXTREME SOUTHWEST MO AND NORTHWESTERN AR.
Mesoscale Discussion 1170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0902 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Areas affected...parts of northeastern Oklahoma far southeast KS extreme southwest MO and northwestern AR. Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 050202Z - 050330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Intensifying bowing segments moving out of southern KS should persist with a risk for damaging gusts and isolated hail over parts of OK, AR and MO. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed soon. DISCUSSION...As of 0155 UTC, regional radar imagery showed several intensifying bowing structures were located over parts of southeastern KS. These storms have produced several measured severe and damaging gusts over the last couple of hours. Storms are expected to continue propagating southeastward along a buoyancy gradient near the OK/AR border into this evening. Additional development along the southwest flank is also possible into parts of north-central OK with time supporting further upscale growth. The moderate MLCAPE (2000-3000 J/kg) will continue to support robust updrafts with the potential for severe gusts and occasional hail. A further complicating factor is a second cluster of storms currently over central OK. These storms are likely to persist and may eventually merge with the cluster moving out of KS. While there remains some uncertainty on storm evolution, the severe risk is expected to increase over eastern OK this evening. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely needed soon. ..Lyons/Hart.. 06/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...ICT...OUN... LAT...LON 36889404 37189403 37569420 37679436 37719463 37339527 37099604 36919672 36739695 36529693 36239676 35029620 34439584 34029560 33979526 33959490 33949466 34159440 34409427 34849411 36179408 36459407 36889404 Read more

WW 0393 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0393 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-047-049-051- 053-063-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-109- 119-123-125-133-137-149-050240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BLAINE BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS WASHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0392 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 392 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 392 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-047-049-051- 053-063-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-109- 119-123-125-133-137-149-050240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BLAINE BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY GRANT HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS WASHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0390 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE P28 TO 10 ENE HUT TO 45 NNE ICT TO 15 NNE EMP. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC003-015-017-031-035-049-073-077-079-173-191-050240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE COFFEY COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY SEDGWICK SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0390 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE P28 TO 10 ENE HUT TO 45 NNE ICT TO 15 NNE EMP. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC003-015-017-031-035-049-073-077-079-173-191-050240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE COFFEY COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY SEDGWICK SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0390 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE P28 TO 10 ENE HUT TO 45 NNE ICT TO 15 NNE EMP. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC003-015-017-031-035-049-073-077-079-173-191-050240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE COFFEY COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY SEDGWICK SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0390 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE P28 TO 10 ENE HUT TO 45 NNE ICT TO 15 NNE EMP. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC003-015-017-031-035-049-073-077-079-173-191-050240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE COFFEY COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY SEDGWICK SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0390 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE P28 TO 10 ENE HUT TO 45 NNE ICT TO 15 NNE EMP. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC003-015-017-031-035-049-073-077-079-173-191-050240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE COFFEY COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY SEDGWICK SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0390 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE P28 TO 10 ENE HUT TO 45 NNE ICT TO 15 NNE EMP. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 390 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC003-015-017-031-035-049-073-077-079-173-191-050240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE COFFEY COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY SEDGWICK SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 390 SEVERE TSTM KS 041925Z - 050200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 390 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 225 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Northeast Kansas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...A broken band of thunderstorms will probably continue to pose a risk for large hail and severe gusts across parts of central Kansas through the afternoon. As this activity moves east, a severe threat will possibly move into northeast portions of Kansas. Additional isolated thunderstorms over south-central Kansas may develop later this afternoon into the evening and yield a threat for large hail and severe gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Manhattan KS to 10 miles southwest of Wichita KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 389... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Smith Read more

MD 1168 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1168 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0616 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 042316Z - 050115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat, with a potential for hail and strong wind gusts, may continue for a few more hours across the eastern Texas Panhandle. At this time, convective coverage is expected to decrease in the mid to late evening. If it appears that the convection will last longer than expected, then watch issuance would need to be considered. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Amarillo shows a widely-spaced line of strong thunderstorms over the central and eastern Texas Panhandle. The convection is being supported by lift just ahead of a vorticity max moving southeastward across the Oklahoma Panhandle. The latest surface analysis has a 996 mb low over northwest Texas with northerly flow located across much of the Texas Panhandle. A corridor of locally higher surface dewpoints extends westward into the northern Texas Panhandle, where the RAP is estimating MLCAPE in the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. In addition to the instability, forecast soundings across the northeastern Texas Panhandle have 700-500 mb lapse rates near 7.5 C/km, which could be enough for a hail threat with the stronger cells. A few strong wind gusts will also be possible. Cells are expected to persist for a few more hours, but that the cap is expected to re-build into the eastern Texas Panhandle by mid evening, causing convective coverage to decrease. ..Broyles/Hart.. 06/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 35390184 35740183 36050146 36330083 36300038 36130002 35749994 34939996 34440005 34370052 34510090 35070129 35390184 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more