Severe Storms

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are probable across central and southern Oklahoma this evening. Large to very large hail will be possible this evening, before severe outflow winds of 60-85 mph potentially accompany the more intense downdrafts this evening into tonight across southern Oklahoma and north Texas. ...Southern Kansas into far southeast Missouri... A cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas will continue south through the evening toward increasing buoyancy through the evening. These storms will continue to pose a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts as they drift south. There is some uncertainty how far south the eventual MCS may continue to pose a severe threat, which will be related to the expansiveness of the central/southeast Oklahoma convection. ...Southwest/Central/Southern Oklahoma... Multiple storm attempts have occurred across southwest Oklahoma over the past few hours and have seemingly struggled to overcome the warm temperatures on the 00Z OUN RAOB. However, temperatures aloft are cooling rapidly as the mid-level trough across western Oklahoma drift east. Therefore, expect storms to eventually develop and become supercellular amid 34 knots of effective shear (per 00Z OUN RAOB. Initially, storms will have a threat for large to very large hail amid strong buoyancy and initial more discrete mode before growing upscale later this evening with an increasing severe wind threat into southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. ...Midwest to the Upper Midwest... Storms have mostly weakened from Iowa into Wisconsin and Minnesota. However, a few stronger storms are possible with a threat for hail or isolated damaging wind gusts. ...Central Gulf Coast... Storms across southeast Mississippi may pose a damaging wind threat for another 1 to 2 hours before weakening after sunset. ..Bentley.. 06/05/2024 Read more

MD 1167 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 390... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1167 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0614 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Areas affected...portions of central and southeastern KS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 390... Valid 042314Z - 050045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 390 continues. SUMMARY...Upscale growth of ongoing thunderstorms appears likely this evening. Damaging winds and isolated hail are possible. A new downstream watch or an extension of WW390 will likely be needed in a couple of hours. DISCUSSION...As of 23UTC, a cluster of severe thunderstorms was ongoing over central KS with additional development occurring along the cold front to the west. The environment ahead of these storms remains favorable for damaging winds and hail with a broad warm sector, large buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear for storm organization. Thus far, storms have remained ahead of the front, but with the front starting to surge southeast, additional development and upscale growth appears likely over the next couple of hours. Large precipitable water values above 1.5 inches will support strong water and hail loaded downdrafts as storms merge. Several measured severe gusts have already occurred suggesting the environment is likely to remain favorable for damaging gusts this evening, especially as stronger cold pools develop. Hi-res guidance shows upscale growth into one or more clusters and eventually a line is likely as storms move east/southeast toward the OK border. As the severe threat is likely to persist into this evening, a new downstream watch or extension of WW390 may need to be considered in the next couple of hours. ..Lyons/Hart.. 06/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC... LAT...LON 37089892 38369839 39079810 39409789 39589759 39589700 39349643 39109609 38639534 38239500 37819483 37469487 37179497 37009502 36939550 36999800 37089892 Read more

MD 1169 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 390...392... FOR OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 PM CDT Tue Jun 04 2024 Areas affected...Oklahoma and Southern Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 390...392... Valid 042346Z - 050045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 390, 392 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat is likely to develop across parts of southern Kansas and Oklahoma over the next one to two hours. Large hail and severe gusts will be possible, and a tornado or two will be possible. DISCUSSION...The latest visible satellite imagery shows several cumulus towers forming immediately to the west of Oklahoma City and further southwest toward Lawton. The cumulus towers are located within a very moist and unstable airmass. The latest RAP analysis has a corridor of extreme instability from north Texas into southern and west-central Oklahoma, where the RAP has MLCAPE in the 4000 to 5000 J/kg range. This airmass, along with increasing large-scale ascent, associated with a vorticity max moving southeastward into Oklahoma, will likely result in rapid cell initiation across parts of southwest and west-central Oklahoma over the next hour. RAP forecast soundings around 00Z from near and to the west of Oklahoma City southwestward along the I-44 corridor, have 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 35 knot range, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity around 250 m2/s2. This will likely support supercell development, with a threat for large hail, severe wind gusts and a tornado or two. Convective coverage is expected to rapidly increase over the next couple of hours. Further to the north across southern Kansas, a strongly unstable airmass is also in place, with the RAP showing MLCAPE in the 2500 to 3500 J/kg range. As the cluster of storms in south-central Kansas moves southward toward the Oklahoma state line over the next couple of hours, the severe threat is expected to increase. Isolated large hail and wind damage will be possible with these storms. ..Broyles.. 06/04/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC... LAT...LON 34069737 34299820 34649864 35299908 36219916 36809902 37599871 37849830 37879778 37739726 37259700 36649700 35569670 34779629 34299642 34119667 34069737 Read more

WW 0389 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MKT TO 55 N ELO. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC017-115-050140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARLTON PINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0389 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MKT TO 55 N ELO. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC017-115-050140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARLTON PINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0389 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MKT TO 55 N ELO. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC017-115-050140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARLTON PINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0389 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MKT TO 55 N ELO. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC017-115-050140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARLTON PINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0389 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MKT TO 55 N ELO. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC017-115-050140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARLTON PINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0389 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MKT TO 55 N ELO. ..LYONS..06/05/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC017-115-050140- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARLTON PINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more