Severe Storms

WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE IML TO 15 E BBW TO 15 NW OFK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1196 ..THORNTON..06/08/24 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC011-019-041-047-063-077-079-081-085-093-119-121-125-141-143- 163-175-185-080140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE BUFFALO CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HAYES HOWARD MADISON MERRICK NANCE PLATTE POLK SHERMAN VALLEY YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE IML TO 15 E BBW TO 15 NW OFK. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1196 ..THORNTON..06/08/24 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC011-019-041-047-063-077-079-081-085-093-119-121-125-141-143- 163-175-185-080140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE BUFFALO CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HAYES HOWARD MADISON MERRICK NANCE PLATTE POLK SHERMAN VALLEY YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 395 SEVERE TSTM NE 071855Z - 080200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 395 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Nebraska * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and increase through mid/late afternoon, initially across north-central Nebraska. This includes the potential for supercells capable of very large hail, and possibly some tornado risk. Over time, storms will merge, with a broader complex of southeastward-moving storms likely evolving regionally by early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Ainsworth NE to 5 miles west southwest of Kearney NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29035. ...Guyer Read more

MD 1194 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL ND AND NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL SD
Mesoscale Discussion 1194 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0616 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southwest/south-central ND and northwest/north-central SD Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 072316Z - 080045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A localized strong to severe storm capable of marginally severe hail and locally strong/damaging winds is possible during the next couple hours. DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorm development is underway over southwest ND into northwest SD -- generally focused along a weak east/west-oriented stationary boundary. This activity is developing along the northern edge of a plume of weak surface-based instability, and this weak instability is the main mitigating factor for a more robust severe-storm risk. However, proximity forecast soundings indicate strong deep-layer shear (around 60 kt of effective shear) -- characterized by a long/straight hodograph. This wind profile may support brief updraft organization (with transient midlevel rotation) -- capable of producing marginally severe hail (up to 1 inch) and locally strong/damaging winds (45-60 mph) for the next couple hours. Overall, the weak instability should limit the severe threat. ..Weinman/Majchrowski/Bunting.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR... LAT...LON 45680266 45950261 46270240 46430217 46530162 46460076 46170000 45519981 44970025 44850105 45040208 45310256 45680266 Read more

MD 1193 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396... FOR SOUTHEAST CO AND EXTREME NORTHEAST NM INTO THE OK/NORTHERN TX PANHANDLES AND SOUTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1193 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Southeast CO and extreme northeast NM into the OK/northern TX Panhandles and southwest KS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396... Valid 072254Z - 080030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for isolated damaging wind and hail will spread eastward into this evening. DISCUSSION...Multiple loosely organized storm clusters are ongoing late this afternoon across parts of southeast CO, extreme northeast NM, and southwest KS. Convection is ongoing within a favorably sheared and rather hot and well-mixed environment, which will favor the potential for at least isolated severe gusts (as evidenced by a recent 55 kt gust in Clayton, NM) as storms spread eastward into the evening. The environment into southwest KS is somewhat more moist and unstable, and some isolated hail will be possible with the strongest storms in this region. CINH increases with eastward extent into eastern portions of the TX/OK Panhandles and southwest KS, so some uncertainty remains regarding how far east the severe threat will spread into the early evening. However, a short-term threat for isolated severe wind/hail remains evident across extreme southwest KS into the western/central TX/OK Panhandles and northeast NM. ..Dean.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 35820213 35490351 35340447 35800456 37390216 37779996 37059980 36330042 35820213 Read more

MD 1195 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396...397... FOR NORTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1195 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Northwest KS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396...397... Valid 072330Z - 080100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396, 397 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will spread eastward this evening. DISCUSSION...A longer-lived supercell that earlier developed across southwest NE is currently moving into northwest KS, with additional development noted to its south along a surface confluence zone. Moderate to strong buoyancy (MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg) and favorable deep-layer shear (with effective shear of around 50 kt) will continue to support supercell potential into the early evening as convection spreads eastward. Large hail (possibly golfball to baseball size) may remain the most prominent severe hazard in the short term, given the supercell mode and favorable midlevel lapse rates and buoyancy, though isolated severe gusts will also be possible. In addition, some increase in low-level flow has been noted in the KUEX and KDDC VWP, with backed surface winds and some increase in low-level moisture noted downstream of the ongoing supercells. This could support a brief tornado threat as well. With the ongoing increase in storm coverage and some continued strengthening of the low-level jet expected this evening, some upscale growth of this storm cluster will be possible with time, which would potentially be accompanied by an increasing severe-wind threat. ..Dean.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 39930065 39949970 39559902 39189904 38819969 38910107 39130135 39450099 39590091 39930065 Read more

MD 1194 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL ND AND NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL SD
Mesoscale Discussion 1194 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0616 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southwest/south-central ND and northwest/north-central SD Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 072316Z - 080045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A localized strong to severe storm capable of marginally severe hail and locally strong/damaging winds is possible during the next couple hours. DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorm development is underway over southwest ND into northwest SD -- generally focused along a weak east/west-oriented stationary boundary. This activity is developing along the northern edge of a plume of weak surface-based instability, and this weak instability is the main mitigating factor for a more robust severe-storm risk. However, proximity forecast soundings indicate strong deep-layer shear (around 60 kt of effective shear) -- characterized by a long/straight hodograph. This wind profile may support brief updraft organization (with transient midlevel rotation) -- capable of producing marginally severe hail (up to 1 inch) and locally strong/damaging winds (45-60 mph) for the next couple hours. Overall, the weak instability should limit the severe threat. ..Weinman/Majchrowski/Bunting.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR... LAT...LON 45680266 45950261 46270240 46430217 46530162 46460076 46170000 45519981 44970025 44850105 45040208 45310256 45680266 Read more

MD 1193 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396... FOR SOUTHEAST CO AND EXTREME NORTHEAST NM INTO THE OK/NORTHERN TX PANHANDLES AND SOUTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1193 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Southeast CO and extreme northeast NM into the OK/northern TX Panhandles and southwest KS Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396... Valid 072254Z - 080030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for isolated damaging wind and hail will spread eastward into this evening. DISCUSSION...Multiple loosely organized storm clusters are ongoing late this afternoon across parts of southeast CO, extreme northeast NM, and southwest KS. Convection is ongoing within a favorably sheared and rather hot and well-mixed environment, which will favor the potential for at least isolated severe gusts (as evidenced by a recent 55 kt gust in Clayton, NM) as storms spread eastward into the evening. The environment into southwest KS is somewhat more moist and unstable, and some isolated hail will be possible with the strongest storms in this region. CINH increases with eastward extent into eastern portions of the TX/OK Panhandles and southwest KS, so some uncertainty remains regarding how far east the severe threat will spread into the early evening. However, a short-term threat for isolated severe wind/hail remains evident across extreme southwest KS into the western/central TX/OK Panhandles and northeast NM. ..Dean.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 35820213 35490351 35340447 35800456 37390216 37779996 37059980 36330042 35820213 Read more

MD 1192 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NE...NORTHEAST KS...AND FAR NORTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 1192 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southeast NE...northeast KS...and far northwest MO Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 072202Z - 080000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued for portions of the area in the next hour or so. Primary concerns are large hail (some 2+ inches) and damaging winds (some 75+ mph). DISCUSSION...Several intense semi-discrete supercells are tracking southeastward across central NE this afternoon. These storms are evolving in an environment characterized by moderate surface-based instability and 45-55 kt of deep-layer shear (with ample clockwise hodograph curvature) per regional VWP data. Over the next several hours, this activity will generally continue tracking southeastward along the eastern edge of a northwest/southeast-oriented instability gradient. While downstream cloud coverage has stunted diurnal heating in some areas, temperatures have generally warmed into the mid/upper 80s amid middle 60s dewpoints. This should continue to support surface-based inflow as storms continue southeastward into tonight. Given the aforementioned wind profile, a semi-discrete supercell mode may persist initially, with large hail (some 2+ inches) and damaging winds possible. With time, a strengthening low-level jet may encourage upscale growth into severe larger supercell clusters and/or bowing segments, with an increasing risk of damaging winds (some 75+ mph). Evolution into a consolidated MCS is still unclear at this time, though this scenario would yield a greater wind risk. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued for parts of the area to cover this risk. ..Weinman/Bunting.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 39919977 40389973 40899917 41189815 41319711 41109622 40469527 39999476 39119458 38259524 38049619 38049767 38299839 38969918 39919977 Read more

WW 0397 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 397 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/07/24 ATTN...WFO...OAX...EAX...ICT...TOP...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 397 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC071-080040- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FREMONT KSC005-009-013-017-027-029-041-043-053-061-085-087-089-105-111- 113-115-117-123-127-131-139-141-143-147-149-157-159-161-163-167- 169-177-183-197-201-080040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATCHISON BARTON BROWN CHASE CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON DONIPHAN ELLSWORTH GEARY JACKSON JEFFERSON JEWELL LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE OSBORNE OTTAWA PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC RICE RILEY ROOKS RUSSELL SALINE SHAWNEE Read more

WW 397 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 072250Z - 080400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 397 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Extreme Southwest Iowa Central and Northeast Kansas Northwest Missouri South central and Southeast Nebraska * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage while moving southeast across the watch area this evening. Damaging winds will become an increasing concern, with isolated gusts of up to 75 mph possible. Large hail, possibly up to 2.5 inches in diameter, may occur with the strongest storms. A tornado or two will also be possible within bowing segments as storms organize into a line. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north of Russell KS to 15 miles south of Falls City NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 395...WW 396... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 30035. ...Bunting Read more

WW 0396 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 396 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/07/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 396 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-017-061-099-080040- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA PROWERS KSC007-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081- 083-093-097-101-109-119-129-135-137-145-151-153-165-171-175-179- 185-187-189-193-195-199-203-080040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER CLARK COMANCHE DECATUR EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY FORD GOVE GRAHAM GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE LOGAN MEADE MORTON NESS NORTON PAWNEE PRATT RAWLINS RUSH SCOTT SEWARD Read more

WW 396 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 072105Z - 080300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 396 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 405 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Colorado Western and Central Kansas Northeast New Mexico Northwest Oklahoma Texas Panhandle * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...High-based thunderstorms will increase and spread generally eastward through the evening with damaging winds and hail possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of Springfield CO to 55 miles east of Dodge City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 395... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW LBF TO 25 NE LBF TO 20 SSW ANW TO 40 NNE ANW. ..THORNTON..06/07/24 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC003-009-011-015-017-019-041-047-063-071-077-079-081-085-089- 093-103-111-115-119-121-125-139-141-143-149-163-175-183-185- 080040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE BOYD BROWN BUFFALO CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER GARFIELD GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HAYES HOLT HOWARD KEYA PAHA LINCOLN LOUP MADISON MERRICK NANCE PIERCE PLATTE POLK ROCK SHERMAN VALLEY WHEELER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 395 SEVERE TSTM NE 071855Z - 080200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 395 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Nebraska * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and increase through mid/late afternoon, initially across north-central Nebraska. This includes the potential for supercells capable of very large hail, and possibly some tornado risk. Over time, storms will merge, with a broader complex of southeastward-moving storms likely evolving regionally by early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north northeast of Ainsworth NE to 5 miles west southwest of Kearney NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29035. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0397 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0397 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0396 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 396 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/07/24 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 396 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-017-061-099-072340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA PROWERS KSC007-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081- 083-093-097-101-109-119-129-135-137-145-151-153-165-171-175-179- 185-187-189-193-195-199-203-072340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER CLARK COMANCHE DECATUR EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY FORD GOVE GRAHAM GRANT GRAY GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA LANE LOGAN MEADE MORTON NESS NORTON PAWNEE PRATT RAWLINS RUSH SCOTT SEWARD Read more

WW 0395 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW MHN TO 35 ESE MHN TO 40 NNE ANW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1191 ..THORNTON..06/07/24 ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 395 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC003-009-011-015-017-019-041-047-063-071-077-079-081-085-089- 093-103-107-111-113-115-117-119-121-125-139-141-143-149-163-175- 183-185-072340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE BOYD BROWN BUFFALO CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER GARFIELD GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HAYES HOLT HOWARD KEYA PAHA KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON MADISON MERRICK NANCE PIERCE PLATTE POLK ROCK SHERMAN VALLEY WHEELER YORK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

MD 1191 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395... FOR CENTRAL NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1191 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...central Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395... Valid 072043Z - 072245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395 continues. SUMMARY...Discrete ongoing supercell development is likely to persist through 5-7 PM CDT, with the risk for large hail in excess of 2 inches in diameter, perhaps a couple of brief tornadoes, then strong to severe wind gusts with at least one storm approaching the Broken Bow vicinity. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong thunderstorms continue to develop, including one increasingly prominent supercell now turning southeastward, to the southeast and south of Thedford. This cell appears most likely to maintain inflow of moist boundary-layer air characterized by CAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg, and substantive further intensification appears likely as it propagates southeastward toward the Broken Bow vicinity through 22-00Z. This may be aided by strengthening deep-layer shear associated with a vigorous upstream mid-level jet streak digging east-southeast of the Nebraska Panhandle. The potential for large, damaging hail seems likely to continue to increase. Tornado potential is more unclear, given sizable boundary-layer temperature/dew point spreads. But a couple of brief tornadoes may be possible, before strong to severe surface gusts become a more prominent threat with strengthening outflow by early evening. ..Kerr.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF... LAT...LON 41950073 42229980 41219871 40829937 40809992 41430063 41950073 Read more

MD 1190 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NM...SOUTHEAST CO...SOUTHWEST KS...AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES
Mesoscale Discussion 1190 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Portions of northeast NM...southeast CO...southwest KS...and the OK/TX Panhandles Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 072040Z - 072245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms posing a threat for severe winds and hail may prompt watch issuance this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Convection has recently increased in coverage and intensity across the southern/central High Plains along/near a surface trough. A rather hot and well-mixed airmass is present along/ahead of this activity, as robust daytime heating has allowed surface temperatures to reach into the 90s and lower 100s. Severe/damaging winds will probably be the main threat with this activity as it spreads east-southeastward through the rest of the afternoon, and continuing into the early evening. Some of these wind gusts could be significant (75+ mph) given very large temperature-dewpoint spreads from recent surface observations and near-dry adiabatic lapse rates through low/mid levels. Stronger deep-layer shear over southeast CO into southwest KS may support some threat for a supercell or two, with associated risk for large hail in addition to the severe/damaging wind threat. Given current observational trends, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be needed to address this increasing severe risk. ..Gleason/Guyer.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 36650475 37430301 38070174 38070034 37330017 36410061 35760301 35930429 36210476 36650475 Read more