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11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1112 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271630Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of
North Carolina and Virginia.
...Synopsis...
The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the
mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection
to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC.
Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance
indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient
rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes.
Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this
afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with
the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively
less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of
the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the
overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.
..Hart/Weinman.. 09/27/2024
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0688 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 688
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S CRE TO
10 E FAY TO 15 W RDU TO 20 W DAN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2124.
..GRAMS..09/27/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...MHX...AKQ...ILM...GSP...RNK...CAE...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 688
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-017-019-029-031-033-041-047-049-053-055-061-063-065-
069-073-077-079-083-085-091-095-101-103-107-117-127-129-131-133-
135-137-139-141-143-145-147-163-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-
271640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN
BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CARTERET
CASWELL CHOWAN COLUMBUS
CRAVEN CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GREENE HALIFAX HARNETT
HERTFORD HYDE JOHNSTON
JONES LENOIR MARTIN
NASH NEW HANOVER NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PENDER PERQUIMANS
PERSON PITT SAMPSON
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
MD 2124 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 688... FOR SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL/EASTERN NC AND SOUTHERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 2124
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0848 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Areas affected...Southern to central/eastern NC and southern VA
Concerning...Tornado Watch 688...
Valid 271348Z - 271545Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 688 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornado threat is expected to peak into early afternoon
across southern, eastern, and central North Carolina, into a part of
southern Virginia. This threat will abruptly end in the wake of
ongoing band passage associated with Tropical Storm Helene.
DISCUSSION...Several supercells are ongoing within a roughly 300-km
long convective band, with the inland portion approaching the
Raleigh-Durham Metro Area and the trailing portion to along the
NC/SC border area. Individual cells are largely transient and
progressing north at 45-55 kts. The overall band will rapidly sweep
across much of central and eastern North Carolina into midday before
entering southern VA. Low-level hodographs are currently maximized,
with 0-1 km SRH around 500-600 m2/s2 per LTX/RAX VWP data. These are
expected to shrink during the afternoon, suggesting the tornado
threat will wane later today. Boundary-layer heating will remain
limited by pervasive cloud coverage downstream, but even minor
insolation amid mid 70s surface dew points should provide enough
boost to increase daytime tornado potential. In the wake of the
band, substantial mid-level warming/drying will curtail additional
development and the threat will be confined along/ahead of the
ongoing band.
..Grams.. 09/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...
LAT...LON 35907983 36187990 36707984 37377940 37507891 37387841
37027759 35977679 35177666 34627648 33777797 33827883
35217924 35907983
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
11 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1022 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024
Valid 271700Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed. Dry
conditions are noted this morning across much of the West, but
low-level winds should remain benign for today. Locally elevated
conditions may develop in the lee of the Lewis Range and Big Belt
mountains in central MT where downslope winds may gust up to 20-30
mph with RH in the 20-25% range; however, these conditions should
remain too localized for a broader risk area.
..Moore.. 09/27/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/
...Synopsis...
On Friday an upper-level ridge will remain in place over the
Southwest and Rocky Mountains, while the remnants of Hurricane
Helene rotate over the eastern CONUS centered near TN. This pattern
will not favor widespread fire weather conditions, as any stronger
mid-level flow and associated surface winds, accompanying a high
latitude zonal jet streak, are expected to remain over the western
and central provinces of Canada. Due to a lack of appreciable
rainfall over the northern Great Plains, however, fuels will
continue to become more receptive to ignition and spread there.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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