Severe Storms

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0300 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough embedded within a larger-scale upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move across the Southeast on Day 4/Wed. At the surface, a cold front will sweep across the central Gulf coast, GA and FL. Thunderstorms will likely accompany the front, with some potential for isolated strong storms across north FL, though overall severe potential appears too limited to include probabilities at this time. After Day 4/Wed, strong surface high pressure and cold/stable conditions will prevail the remainder of the forecast period. Little thunderstorm potential is expected Day 5/Thu through the weekend. Read more

MD 0104 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 10... FOR ALABAMA...FLORIDA PANHANDLE...GEORGIA...SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE...FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0104 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Areas affected...Alabama...Florida Panhandle...Georgia...Southeast Tennessee...Far Western North Carolina Concerning...Tornado Watch 10... Valid 160651Z - 160845Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 10 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threats for wind damage and a few tornadoes will move quickly eastward across into western and northern Georgia, and across the remainder of southern and eastern Alabama during the early morning. New weather watch will be necessary ahead of the ongoing line. DISCUSSION...A mid-level trough will move quickly eastward across the lower to mid Mississippi Valley over the next few hours, as a surface low moves into the central Appalachians. An associated front is located over the central Gulf Coast states, with an organized squall line located ahead of the front. A narrow corridor of instability is analyzed ahead of the front, with surface dewpoints generally in the 60s F. In addition, RAP analysis shows a strong low to mid-level jet from eastern Mississippi northeastward into the southern Appalachians. 0-6 km shear is estimated to be in 65 to 80 knot range along this corridor and storm-relative helicity is very strong. This will continue to support a widespread severe threat over the next few hours. Severe gusts will be likely along the leading edge of the squall line and a few tornadoes also possible. ..Broyles.. 02/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB... LAT...LON 34728355 35078390 35238439 35298503 35128586 34488656 33398730 32278817 31678850 31228835 30898805 30648741 30618652 30828569 31678489 32228456 33938362 34728355 Read more

WW 0012 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0012 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more