Severe Storms

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado or two remain possible through about midday from north Florida to parts of South Carolina. Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado may also occur northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region through the afternoon. ...Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic... As an upper trough pivots northeastward from the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic today, an extensive QLCS in progress this morning will continue moving quickly eastward across north FL, southeast GA, and SC. Greater low-level moisture and related weak instability is present over parts of north FL and vicinity ahead of the line and a surface cold front. Boundary layer moisture and buoyancy quickly drop off with northward extent into GA/SC/NC. Still, very strong low-level flow remains present across these regions, with a 50-70+ kt low-level jet supporting ample 0-3 km SRH. Current expectations are for the northern portion of the line to gradually outpace appreciable surface-based instability, while the southern portion becomes increasingly displaced from the large-scale ascent associated with the departing upper trough. Even so, scattered severe/damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado or two should remain possible through about midday given the strength of the low-level flow present. See Mesoscale Discussion 108 for more near-term details. The northern portion this QLCS should remain generally elevated atop a near-surface stable layer in the lee of the Appalachians in NC to VA for the next few hours. But, it should eventually impinge on weak surface-based buoyancy later in the morning across the coastal Carolinas to southeastern VA. With very strong low-level flow/shear expected to be in place across these regions, any intensification of the thin convective line may yield occasional damaging winds and perhaps even a brief tornado. Even so, most guidance continues to suggest the overall severe threat will remain isolated/marginal from roughly NC northward into the Mid-Atlantic. ..Gleason/Broyles.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado or two remain possible through about midday from north Florida to parts of South Carolina. Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado may also occur northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region through the afternoon. ...Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic... As an upper trough pivots northeastward from the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic today, an extensive QLCS in progress this morning will continue moving quickly eastward across north FL, southeast GA, and SC. Greater low-level moisture and related weak instability is present over parts of north FL and vicinity ahead of the line and a surface cold front. Boundary layer moisture and buoyancy quickly drop off with northward extent into GA/SC/NC. Still, very strong low-level flow remains present across these regions, with a 50-70+ kt low-level jet supporting ample 0-3 km SRH. Current expectations are for the northern portion of the line to gradually outpace appreciable surface-based instability, while the southern portion becomes increasingly displaced from the large-scale ascent associated with the departing upper trough. Even so, scattered severe/damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado or two should remain possible through about midday given the strength of the low-level flow present. See Mesoscale Discussion 108 for more near-term details. The northern portion this QLCS should remain generally elevated atop a near-surface stable layer in the lee of the Appalachians in NC to VA for the next few hours. But, it should eventually impinge on weak surface-based buoyancy later in the morning across the coastal Carolinas to southeastern VA. With very strong low-level flow/shear expected to be in place across these regions, any intensification of the thin convective line may yield occasional damaging winds and perhaps even a brief tornado. Even so, most guidance continues to suggest the overall severe threat will remain isolated/marginal from roughly NC northward into the Mid-Atlantic. ..Gleason/Broyles.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado or two remain possible through about midday from north Florida to parts of South Carolina. Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado may also occur northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region through the afternoon. ...Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic... As an upper trough pivots northeastward from the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic today, an extensive QLCS in progress this morning will continue moving quickly eastward across north FL, southeast GA, and SC. Greater low-level moisture and related weak instability is present over parts of north FL and vicinity ahead of the line and a surface cold front. Boundary layer moisture and buoyancy quickly drop off with northward extent into GA/SC/NC. Still, very strong low-level flow remains present across these regions, with a 50-70+ kt low-level jet supporting ample 0-3 km SRH. Current expectations are for the northern portion of the line to gradually outpace appreciable surface-based instability, while the southern portion becomes increasingly displaced from the large-scale ascent associated with the departing upper trough. Even so, scattered severe/damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado or two should remain possible through about midday given the strength of the low-level flow present. See Mesoscale Discussion 108 for more near-term details. The northern portion this QLCS should remain generally elevated atop a near-surface stable layer in the lee of the Appalachians in NC to VA for the next few hours. But, it should eventually impinge on weak surface-based buoyancy later in the morning across the coastal Carolinas to southeastern VA. With very strong low-level flow/shear expected to be in place across these regions, any intensification of the thin convective line may yield occasional damaging winds and perhaps even a brief tornado. Even so, most guidance continues to suggest the overall severe threat will remain isolated/marginal from roughly NC northward into the Mid-Atlantic. ..Gleason/Broyles.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds and a brief tornado or two remain possible through about midday from north Florida to parts of South Carolina. Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado may also occur northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic region through the afternoon. ...Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic... As an upper trough pivots northeastward from the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic today, an extensive QLCS in progress this morning will continue moving quickly eastward across north FL, southeast GA, and SC. Greater low-level moisture and related weak instability is present over parts of north FL and vicinity ahead of the line and a surface cold front. Boundary layer moisture and buoyancy quickly drop off with northward extent into GA/SC/NC. Still, very strong low-level flow remains present across these regions, with a 50-70+ kt low-level jet supporting ample 0-3 km SRH. Current expectations are for the northern portion of the line to gradually outpace appreciable surface-based instability, while the southern portion becomes increasingly displaced from the large-scale ascent associated with the departing upper trough. Even so, scattered severe/damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado or two should remain possible through about midday given the strength of the low-level flow present. See Mesoscale Discussion 108 for more near-term details. The northern portion this QLCS should remain generally elevated atop a near-surface stable layer in the lee of the Appalachians in NC to VA for the next few hours. But, it should eventually impinge on weak surface-based buoyancy later in the morning across the coastal Carolinas to southeastern VA. With very strong low-level flow/shear expected to be in place across these regions, any intensification of the thin convective line may yield occasional damaging winds and perhaps even a brief tornado. Even so, most guidance continues to suggest the overall severe threat will remain isolated/marginal from roughly NC northward into the Mid-Atlantic. ..Gleason/Broyles.. 02/16/2025 Read more

MD 0107 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0107 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Areas affected...Northeast Georgia...South Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 161052Z - 161315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated severe gusts are expected this morning across parts western and central South Carolina. Weather watch issuance remains uncertain. DISCUSSION...Mosaic radar imagery currently shows a squall line across parts of central Georgia extending northeastward into far western South Carolina. The line is being supported by strong large-scale ascent associated with an approaching trough, and by forcing along a fast-moving cold front. Ahead of the line, instability is very weak, with surface dewpoints in the 50s F across western South Carolina and northeast Georgia. The latest WSR-88D VWP at Greenville/Spartanburg has about 85 knot of 0-6 km shear with 40 to 50 knots of south-southwesterly flow located just above the surface. An isolated wind-damage threat will be possible with the stronger cells within the line. Given the very strong low-level shear, meso-scale vorticies will be possible in the line with embedded cells that remain surface-based. However, forecast soundings in far western South Carolina have a sharp near surface temperature inversion, which should keep any severe threat isolated and localized. ..Broyles/Gleason.. 02/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC... LAT...LON 35208161 35168219 35048258 34768279 34268314 33768337 33478343 33058296 33018208 33158120 33408066 33838035 34298023 34458026 34728042 34848055 35088106 35208161 35208161 Read more

WW 0013 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0013 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO 40 NNW VDI TO 10 W AGS. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC091-107-175-209-271-279-283-309-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DODGE EMANUEL LAURENS MONTGOMERY TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WHEELER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0012 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW PFN TO 30 SSW ABY TO 45 S MCN. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC005-013-037-039-045-065-073-077-079-123-129-161340- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA GAC017-019-027-071-075-087-131-155-173-185-205-253-275-277-287- 321-161340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEN HILL BERRIEN BROOKS COLQUITT COOK DECATUR GRADY IRWIN LANIER LOWNDES MITCHELL SEMINOLE THOMAS TIFT TURNER WORTH Read more

WW 11 TORNADO GA TN 160705Z - 161400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 11 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and Western Georgia Far Southeast Tennessee * Effective this Sunday morning from 205 AM until 900 AM EST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will continue to pose a threat for a couple of tornadoes and scattered to numerous damaging winds up to 60-70 mph as it moves quickly eastward early this morning. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles north northwest of Chattanooga TN to 55 miles south southwest of Macon GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...WW 10... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 27045. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW ABY TO 35 NE MCN. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC023-081-091-093-107-125-153-163-167-175-209-235-271-279-283- 301-303-309-315-319-161240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLECKLEY CRISP DODGE DOOLY EMANUEL GLASCOCK HOUSTON JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAURENS MONTGOMERY PULASKI TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN WARREN WASHINGTON WHEELER WILCOX WILKINSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0106 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 10...11...12... FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0106 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Areas affected...Southeast Alabama...Georgia Concerning...Tornado Watch 10...11...12... Valid 160901Z - 161130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 10, 11, 12 continues. SUMMARY...A potential for severe gusts and a few tornadoes will likely continue for a few more hours over parts of southeast Alabama and western to central Georgia. DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor imagery shows a plume of mid-level moisture over the central Gulf Coast states, which is associated with a shortwave trough and ongoing squall line. The line is located from Mobile, Alabama north-northeastward to near Atlanta, Georgia and is just ahead of a fast-moving cold front. Ahead of the line, surface dewpoints are in mostly in the 60s F, with mid to upper 50s F over north-central Georgia. The RAP shows weak instability ahead of the squall line, with MUCAPE generally near or below 500 J/kg across much of southeast Alabama and western Georgia. The WSR-88D VWP ahead of the line at MXX near Auburn, Alabama shows very strong speed shear in the boundary layer with winds increasing to around 70 knots at one kilometer above ground. For this reason, it will not be hard for the more organized parts of the line to produce severe gusts. In addition, storm-relative helicity is very strong, which should enable a tornado threat to continue. However, the tornado threat will remain isolated, mainly due to weak instability and the lack of discrete cells ahead of the squall line. As the line moves eastward, a slow downtrend in the overall severe threat is expected. ..Broyles.. 02/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 32528275 33178241 33768257 34098307 34428393 34528454 34288523 33808560 33268596 33018611 32288655 31638683 31308658 31148585 31128512 31408361 32528275 Read more

WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW CSG TO 25 W AHN. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC021-023-035-053-079-081-091-093-153-159-169-171-193-197-207- 217-225-235-247-249-259-261-263-269-289-293-307-315-161140- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLECKLEY BUTTS CHATTAHOOCHEE CRAWFORD CRISP DODGE DOOLY HOUSTON JASPER JONES LAMAR MACON MARION MONROE NEWTON PEACH PULASKI ROCKDALE SCHLEY STEWART SUMTER TALBOT TAYLOR TWIGGS UPSON WEBSTER WILCOX THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0012 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 12 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-129-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-177-201- 205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-161140- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0012 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 12 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..02/16/25 ATTN...WFO...TAE... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC031-045-061-067-069-161140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COFFEE DALE GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-129-131-133-161140- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON GAC007-017-019-027-037-061-071-075-087-095-099-131-155-177-201- 205-239-243-253-273-275-277-287-321-161140- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

MD 0105 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN TENNESSEE...FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0105 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee...Far Western North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 160740Z - 160945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated severe gusts will be possible over parts of eastern Tennessee and far western North Carolina over the next couple of hours. New weather watch issuance appears unlikely. DISCUSSION...According to mosaic radar imagery, the northern end of a squall line is currently moving through middle Tennessee. Very little instability is analyzed ahead of the line. However, the latest WSR-88D VWP at Morristown has 0-6 km shear near 75 knots with 30 to 40 knots of flow in the lowest 1 km. As the squall line moves eastward into the higher terrain over the next hour or two, isolated damaging gusts will be possible along the leading edge of the line. Although a severe threat will likely persist, the threat is expected to remain too localized for weather watch issuance. ..Broyles/Gleason.. 02/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...OHX... LAT...LON 36088332 35978299 35688282 35378293 35178321 35048374 35028428 35288462 35428498 35538530 35778538 36008526 36158505 36188463 36088332 Read more