SPC Feb 18, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Discussion... In the wake of a cold front exiting the Florida Peninsula, strong surface high pressure (1040+ mb) and an Arctic air mass will settle over much of the CONUS on Thursday. Prevalent cold and stable conditions are expected to considerably limit thunderstorm potential. ..Guyer.. 02/18/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across coastal portions of TX and LA, as indicated by 19Z mesoanalysis. Current thinking is that the low-level warm-air/moisture advection will continue to increase and boost elevated CAPE to 1000 J/kg along the coast with the approach of a mid-level impulse currently situated over NM. Elevated thunderstorms should develop later this evening. Mainly hail is expected given elongated hodographs. However, if any supercellular structure can materialize along the southeast LA coast and become rooted in the boundary layer tonight, a damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Southeast Texas into Southern Louisiana... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave trough moving into northern AZ from the Great Basin. This upper feature will move east-southeast during the period reaching northern LA/southern AR by daybreak Wednesday. Surface analysis this morning delineates an arctic cold front from the Concho Valley northeastward into north TX. This boundary will continue to surge south-southeastward to the TX coast tonight. A modifying airmass over the northwest Gulf Basin will aid in destabilization this afternoon/evening over southeast TX. Thunderstorms should eventually form by this evening across parts of southeast TX as large-scale ascent increases. Forecast soundings continue to indicate this thunderstorm activity will likely remain elevated with around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. This activity will spread eastward across portions of southern LA late this evening and overnight while posing mainly an isolated hail threat. The surface-based thunderstorm probabilities are greatest near the south-central and southeast LA coast. However, low-level lapse rates in a deep/saturated environment will be modest, likely limiting tornado potential. Nonetheless, if a couple of storms can become near-surface based in the coastal parishes, a risk for severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms. Read more

SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across coastal portions of TX and LA, as indicated by 19Z mesoanalysis. Current thinking is that the low-level warm-air/moisture advection will continue to increase and boost elevated CAPE to 1000 J/kg along the coast with the approach of a mid-level impulse currently situated over NM. Elevated thunderstorms should develop later this evening. Mainly hail is expected given elongated hodographs. However, if any supercellular structure can materialize along the southeast LA coast and become rooted in the boundary layer tonight, a damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Southeast Texas into Southern Louisiana... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave trough moving into northern AZ from the Great Basin. This upper feature will move east-southeast during the period reaching northern LA/southern AR by daybreak Wednesday. Surface analysis this morning delineates an arctic cold front from the Concho Valley northeastward into north TX. This boundary will continue to surge south-southeastward to the TX coast tonight. A modifying airmass over the northwest Gulf Basin will aid in destabilization this afternoon/evening over southeast TX. Thunderstorms should eventually form by this evening across parts of southeast TX as large-scale ascent increases. Forecast soundings continue to indicate this thunderstorm activity will likely remain elevated with around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. This activity will spread eastward across portions of southern LA late this evening and overnight while posing mainly an isolated hail threat. The surface-based thunderstorm probabilities are greatest near the south-central and southeast LA coast. However, low-level lapse rates in a deep/saturated environment will be modest, likely limiting tornado potential. Nonetheless, if a couple of storms can become near-surface based in the coastal parishes, a risk for severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms. Read more

SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across coastal portions of TX and LA, as indicated by 19Z mesoanalysis. Current thinking is that the low-level warm-air/moisture advection will continue to increase and boost elevated CAPE to 1000 J/kg along the coast with the approach of a mid-level impulse currently situated over NM. Elevated thunderstorms should develop later this evening. Mainly hail is expected given elongated hodographs. However, if any supercellular structure can materialize along the southeast LA coast and become rooted in the boundary layer tonight, a damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Southeast Texas into Southern Louisiana... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave trough moving into northern AZ from the Great Basin. This upper feature will move east-southeast during the period reaching northern LA/southern AR by daybreak Wednesday. Surface analysis this morning delineates an arctic cold front from the Concho Valley northeastward into north TX. This boundary will continue to surge south-southeastward to the TX coast tonight. A modifying airmass over the northwest Gulf Basin will aid in destabilization this afternoon/evening over southeast TX. Thunderstorms should eventually form by this evening across parts of southeast TX as large-scale ascent increases. Forecast soundings continue to indicate this thunderstorm activity will likely remain elevated with around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. This activity will spread eastward across portions of southern LA late this evening and overnight while posing mainly an isolated hail threat. The surface-based thunderstorm probabilities are greatest near the south-central and southeast LA coast. However, low-level lapse rates in a deep/saturated environment will be modest, likely limiting tornado potential. Nonetheless, if a couple of storms can become near-surface based in the coastal parishes, a risk for severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms. Read more

SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across coastal portions of TX and LA, as indicated by 19Z mesoanalysis. Current thinking is that the low-level warm-air/moisture advection will continue to increase and boost elevated CAPE to 1000 J/kg along the coast with the approach of a mid-level impulse currently situated over NM. Elevated thunderstorms should develop later this evening. Mainly hail is expected given elongated hodographs. However, if any supercellular structure can materialize along the southeast LA coast and become rooted in the boundary layer tonight, a damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Southeast Texas into Southern Louisiana... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave trough moving into northern AZ from the Great Basin. This upper feature will move east-southeast during the period reaching northern LA/southern AR by daybreak Wednesday. Surface analysis this morning delineates an arctic cold front from the Concho Valley northeastward into north TX. This boundary will continue to surge south-southeastward to the TX coast tonight. A modifying airmass over the northwest Gulf Basin will aid in destabilization this afternoon/evening over southeast TX. Thunderstorms should eventually form by this evening across parts of southeast TX as large-scale ascent increases. Forecast soundings continue to indicate this thunderstorm activity will likely remain elevated with around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. This activity will spread eastward across portions of southern LA late this evening and overnight while posing mainly an isolated hail threat. The surface-based thunderstorm probabilities are greatest near the south-central and southeast LA coast. However, low-level lapse rates in a deep/saturated environment will be modest, likely limiting tornado potential. Nonetheless, if a couple of storms can become near-surface based in the coastal parishes, a risk for severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms. Read more

SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across coastal portions of TX and LA, as indicated by 19Z mesoanalysis. Current thinking is that the low-level warm-air/moisture advection will continue to increase and boost elevated CAPE to 1000 J/kg along the coast with the approach of a mid-level impulse currently situated over NM. Elevated thunderstorms should develop later this evening. Mainly hail is expected given elongated hodographs. However, if any supercellular structure can materialize along the southeast LA coast and become rooted in the boundary layer tonight, a damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Southeast Texas into Southern Louisiana... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave trough moving into northern AZ from the Great Basin. This upper feature will move east-southeast during the period reaching northern LA/southern AR by daybreak Wednesday. Surface analysis this morning delineates an arctic cold front from the Concho Valley northeastward into north TX. This boundary will continue to surge south-southeastward to the TX coast tonight. A modifying airmass over the northwest Gulf Basin will aid in destabilization this afternoon/evening over southeast TX. Thunderstorms should eventually form by this evening across parts of southeast TX as large-scale ascent increases. Forecast soundings continue to indicate this thunderstorm activity will likely remain elevated with around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. This activity will spread eastward across portions of southern LA late this evening and overnight while posing mainly an isolated hail threat. The surface-based thunderstorm probabilities are greatest near the south-central and southeast LA coast. However, low-level lapse rates in a deep/saturated environment will be modest, likely limiting tornado potential. Nonetheless, if a couple of storms can become near-surface based in the coastal parishes, a risk for severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms. Read more

SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 months ago
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across coastal portions of TX and LA, as indicated by 19Z mesoanalysis. Current thinking is that the low-level warm-air/moisture advection will continue to increase and boost elevated CAPE to 1000 J/kg along the coast with the approach of a mid-level impulse currently situated over NM. Elevated thunderstorms should develop later this evening. Mainly hail is expected given elongated hodographs. However, if any supercellular structure can materialize along the southeast LA coast and become rooted in the boundary layer tonight, a damaging gust or tornado cannot be ruled out. ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Southeast Texas into Southern Louisiana... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave trough moving into northern AZ from the Great Basin. This upper feature will move east-southeast during the period reaching northern LA/southern AR by daybreak Wednesday. Surface analysis this morning delineates an arctic cold front from the Concho Valley northeastward into north TX. This boundary will continue to surge south-southeastward to the TX coast tonight. A modifying airmass over the northwest Gulf Basin will aid in destabilization this afternoon/evening over southeast TX. Thunderstorms should eventually form by this evening across parts of southeast TX as large-scale ascent increases. Forecast soundings continue to indicate this thunderstorm activity will likely remain elevated with around 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. This activity will spread eastward across portions of southern LA late this evening and overnight while posing mainly an isolated hail threat. The surface-based thunderstorm probabilities are greatest near the south-central and southeast LA coast. However, low-level lapse rates in a deep/saturated environment will be modest, likely limiting tornado potential. Nonetheless, if a couple of storms can become near-surface based in the coastal parishes, a risk for severe gusts may accompany the stronger storms. Read more

SPC MD 115

5 months ago
MD 0115 CONCERNING WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION FOR EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0115 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Areas affected...East-central Oklahoma into central Arkansas Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 181833Z - 182230Z SUMMARY...Freezing rain and sleet are possible from east-central Oklahoma into portions of central Arkansas. Deeper cold air will push into the region by this evening and a transition to primarily snow is expected at that time. DISCUSSION...A band of precipitation driven by warm advection continues to increase along and near a low-level boundary. The 18Z observed LZK sounding showed a small increase in the strength of the warm nose near 800 mb as compared to the observed 12Z sounding. Some low-level dry air remains, but this should saturate with time. Given the depth of the cold air, some mix of sleet and freezing rain appear possible. Sleet will be more likely with any more convective elements as steeper mid-level lapse rates were noted on the observed soundings. Into southeast Oklahoma into southern Arkansas, temperatures are above freezing currently. Some locations could see temperatures at or below freezing as precipitation starts and diabatically cools the profile. By evening, colder air should push into the region and a transition to primarily snow will likely occur. ..Wendt.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA... LAT...LON 34469189 34349212 34409294 34499327 34619402 34939517 35039546 35199587 35559600 35889608 36179583 35779386 35339200 35159161 34829141 34469189 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Fire weather concerns will remain limited across the country for the extended period. An arctic air mass over central portions of the country and widespread recent rainfall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to limit fuel status for most locations east of the Rockies. Long-range ensembles shows limited potential for widespread precipitation across southern AZ/NM and into the southern High Plains, which may result in some drying/curing of fine fuels through the end of the work week. Periods of localized elevated conditions appear possible as a weak upper disturbance passes over the region later this week, but, weak signals for 20+ mph winds coincident with dry conditions in both deterministic and ensemble solutions suggests limited potential for critical fire weather conditions. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed; fire weather concerns appear minimal for Wednesday across the country. See the discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Synopsis... Height rises and building high pressure across the western US and southern/central Rockies will result in lighter winds where dry conditions are expected. Across the Plains, an arctic air mass will settle in, with cool and wet conditions across much of the southern and central Plains. Less precipitation is forecast across western Texas, but light winds and higher relative humidity is expected. Overall, fire weather concerns will be minimal owing to cool conditions and lighter wind speeds where the driest conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed; fire weather concerns appear minimal for Wednesday across the country. See the discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Synopsis... Height rises and building high pressure across the western US and southern/central Rockies will result in lighter winds where dry conditions are expected. Across the Plains, an arctic air mass will settle in, with cool and wet conditions across much of the southern and central Plains. Less precipitation is forecast across western Texas, but light winds and higher relative humidity is expected. Overall, fire weather concerns will be minimal owing to cool conditions and lighter wind speeds where the driest conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed; fire weather concerns appear minimal for Wednesday across the country. See the discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Synopsis... Height rises and building high pressure across the western US and southern/central Rockies will result in lighter winds where dry conditions are expected. Across the Plains, an arctic air mass will settle in, with cool and wet conditions across much of the southern and central Plains. Less precipitation is forecast across western Texas, but light winds and higher relative humidity is expected. Overall, fire weather concerns will be minimal owing to cool conditions and lighter wind speeds where the driest conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed; fire weather concerns appear minimal for Wednesday across the country. See the discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Synopsis... Height rises and building high pressure across the western US and southern/central Rockies will result in lighter winds where dry conditions are expected. Across the Plains, an arctic air mass will settle in, with cool and wet conditions across much of the southern and central Plains. Less precipitation is forecast across western Texas, but light winds and higher relative humidity is expected. Overall, fire weather concerns will be minimal owing to cool conditions and lighter wind speeds where the driest conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

5 months ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes needed; fire weather concerns appear minimal for Wednesday across the country. See the discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 02/18/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025/ ...Synopsis... Height rises and building high pressure across the western US and southern/central Rockies will result in lighter winds where dry conditions are expected. Across the Plains, an arctic air mass will settle in, with cool and wet conditions across much of the southern and central Plains. Less precipitation is forecast across western Texas, but light winds and higher relative humidity is expected. Overall, fire weather concerns will be minimal owing to cool conditions and lighter wind speeds where the driest conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more
Checked
5 years 9 months ago
Severe Storms
Storm Prediction Center
Subscribe to Severe Storms feed