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5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KENTUCKY TO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible along a
corridor from Kentucky-Tennessee-Arkansas-southwest Texas. Storms
across Texas will develop later tonight.
...01z Update...
While heights are broadly rising across much of the CONUS this
evening, the back edge of a weak disturbance is ejecting across AR.
Water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well, and deepest
convective updrafts are noted across eastern AR into the TN Valley.
LLJ will translate downstream ahead of this feature, focusing across
KY by midnight, then gradual weakening is expected as the
aforementioned disturbance lifts northeast. Storms have struggled to
develop south of the synoptic front, thus elevated thunderstorms
should be the primary concern the rest of the period. Even so, 00z
sounding from SHV was quite impressive with SBCAPE on the order of
4000 J/kg and strong deep-layer shear. While elevated convection
should be the primary storm mode, if supercells can evolve
near/south of the front environmental parameters favor very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The primary concern across the
near-frontal warm sector is storm coverage due to relatively weak
low-level convergence.
Later tonight, LLJ will once again increase across the Edwards
Plateau of TX and a 50kt jet should evolve by sunrise as the next
minor short wave approaches. Surface front will not retreat much
west of I35 across TX so robust elevated convection is expected to
generate hail.
..Darrow.. 04/04/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KENTUCKY TO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible along a
corridor from Kentucky-Tennessee-Arkansas-southwest Texas. Storms
across Texas will develop later tonight.
...01z Update...
While heights are broadly rising across much of the CONUS this
evening, the back edge of a weak disturbance is ejecting across AR.
Water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well, and deepest
convective updrafts are noted across eastern AR into the TN Valley.
LLJ will translate downstream ahead of this feature, focusing across
KY by midnight, then gradual weakening is expected as the
aforementioned disturbance lifts northeast. Storms have struggled to
develop south of the synoptic front, thus elevated thunderstorms
should be the primary concern the rest of the period. Even so, 00z
sounding from SHV was quite impressive with SBCAPE on the order of
4000 J/kg and strong deep-layer shear. While elevated convection
should be the primary storm mode, if supercells can evolve
near/south of the front environmental parameters favor very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The primary concern across the
near-frontal warm sector is storm coverage due to relatively weak
low-level convergence.
Later tonight, LLJ will once again increase across the Edwards
Plateau of TX and a 50kt jet should evolve by sunrise as the next
minor short wave approaches. Surface front will not retreat much
west of I35 across TX so robust elevated convection is expected to
generate hail.
..Darrow.. 04/04/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KENTUCKY TO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible along a
corridor from Kentucky-Tennessee-Arkansas-southwest Texas. Storms
across Texas will develop later tonight.
...01z Update...
While heights are broadly rising across much of the CONUS this
evening, the back edge of a weak disturbance is ejecting across AR.
Water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well, and deepest
convective updrafts are noted across eastern AR into the TN Valley.
LLJ will translate downstream ahead of this feature, focusing across
KY by midnight, then gradual weakening is expected as the
aforementioned disturbance lifts northeast. Storms have struggled to
develop south of the synoptic front, thus elevated thunderstorms
should be the primary concern the rest of the period. Even so, 00z
sounding from SHV was quite impressive with SBCAPE on the order of
4000 J/kg and strong deep-layer shear. While elevated convection
should be the primary storm mode, if supercells can evolve
near/south of the front environmental parameters favor very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The primary concern across the
near-frontal warm sector is storm coverage due to relatively weak
low-level convergence.
Later tonight, LLJ will once again increase across the Edwards
Plateau of TX and a 50kt jet should evolve by sunrise as the next
minor short wave approaches. Surface front will not retreat much
west of I35 across TX so robust elevated convection is expected to
generate hail.
..Darrow.. 04/04/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KENTUCKY TO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible along a
corridor from Kentucky-Tennessee-Arkansas-southwest Texas. Storms
across Texas will develop later tonight.
...01z Update...
While heights are broadly rising across much of the CONUS this
evening, the back edge of a weak disturbance is ejecting across AR.
Water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well, and deepest
convective updrafts are noted across eastern AR into the TN Valley.
LLJ will translate downstream ahead of this feature, focusing across
KY by midnight, then gradual weakening is expected as the
aforementioned disturbance lifts northeast. Storms have struggled to
develop south of the synoptic front, thus elevated thunderstorms
should be the primary concern the rest of the period. Even so, 00z
sounding from SHV was quite impressive with SBCAPE on the order of
4000 J/kg and strong deep-layer shear. While elevated convection
should be the primary storm mode, if supercells can evolve
near/south of the front environmental parameters favor very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The primary concern across the
near-frontal warm sector is storm coverage due to relatively weak
low-level convergence.
Later tonight, LLJ will once again increase across the Edwards
Plateau of TX and a 50kt jet should evolve by sunrise as the next
minor short wave approaches. Surface front will not retreat much
west of I35 across TX so robust elevated convection is expected to
generate hail.
..Darrow.. 04/04/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KENTUCKY TO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible along a
corridor from Kentucky-Tennessee-Arkansas-southwest Texas. Storms
across Texas will develop later tonight.
...01z Update...
While heights are broadly rising across much of the CONUS this
evening, the back edge of a weak disturbance is ejecting across AR.
Water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well, and deepest
convective updrafts are noted across eastern AR into the TN Valley.
LLJ will translate downstream ahead of this feature, focusing across
KY by midnight, then gradual weakening is expected as the
aforementioned disturbance lifts northeast. Storms have struggled to
develop south of the synoptic front, thus elevated thunderstorms
should be the primary concern the rest of the period. Even so, 00z
sounding from SHV was quite impressive with SBCAPE on the order of
4000 J/kg and strong deep-layer shear. While elevated convection
should be the primary storm mode, if supercells can evolve
near/south of the front environmental parameters favor very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The primary concern across the
near-frontal warm sector is storm coverage due to relatively weak
low-level convergence.
Later tonight, LLJ will once again increase across the Edwards
Plateau of TX and a 50kt jet should evolve by sunrise as the next
minor short wave approaches. Surface front will not retreat much
west of I35 across TX so robust elevated convection is expected to
generate hail.
..Darrow.. 04/04/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Valid 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM KENTUCKY TO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible along a
corridor from Kentucky-Tennessee-Arkansas-southwest Texas. Storms
across Texas will develop later tonight.
...01z Update...
While heights are broadly rising across much of the CONUS this
evening, the back edge of a weak disturbance is ejecting across AR.
Water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well, and deepest
convective updrafts are noted across eastern AR into the TN Valley.
LLJ will translate downstream ahead of this feature, focusing across
KY by midnight, then gradual weakening is expected as the
aforementioned disturbance lifts northeast. Storms have struggled to
develop south of the synoptic front, thus elevated thunderstorms
should be the primary concern the rest of the period. Even so, 00z
sounding from SHV was quite impressive with SBCAPE on the order of
4000 J/kg and strong deep-layer shear. While elevated convection
should be the primary storm mode, if supercells can evolve
near/south of the front environmental parameters favor very large
hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The primary concern across the
near-frontal warm sector is storm coverage due to relatively weak
low-level convergence.
Later tonight, LLJ will once again increase across the Edwards
Plateau of TX and a 50kt jet should evolve by sunrise as the next
minor short wave approaches. Surface front will not retreat much
west of I35 across TX so robust elevated convection is expected to
generate hail.
..Darrow.. 04/04/2025
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0107 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 107
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW MEM
TO 45 ENE MKL TO 40 ESE JKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0384
..SUPINIE..04/04/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...OHX...MRX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 107
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC077-107-040140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE PHILLIPS
KYC013-095-121-131-133-147-231-235-040140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL HARLAN KNOX
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
WAYNE WHITLEY
MSC003-009-013-027-033-071-081-093-107-115-117-119-135-137-139-
141-143-145-161-040140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0384
..WEINMAN..04/04/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 109
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-057-069-073-079-081-
091-095-099-103-139-040140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER
MILLER MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA UNION
LAC015-017-027-111-119-040140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
UNION WEBSTER
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0108 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N TYR TO
20 SSW FLP.
..WEINMAN..04/04/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-023-029-045-051-053-059-061-063-067-085-097-105-109-115-
117-119-125-129-137-141-145-147-149-040140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLEBURNE CONWAY
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON LONOKE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PIKE POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SEARCY STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
MD 0384 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 107...109... FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND FAR SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE
Mesoscale Discussion 0384
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...Southeast Arkansas. northwest Mississippi...and far
southwest Tennessee
Concerning...Tornado Watch 107...109...
Valid 032339Z - 040115Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 107, 109 continues.
SUMMARY...The primary risk appears to be large hail. While much less
likely, damaging winds and/or a brief tornado cannot be entirely
ruled out on a very localized basis.
DISCUSSION...Several elevated supercell clusters are tracking
northeastward across portions of southern AR and northwest MS -- to
the north of a stationary boundary draped across northern MS into
far southern AR. The LZK/NQA VWPs continue to sample a very
elongated/straight hodograph, with around 60-70 kt of effective
shear north of the boundary. This, along with steep midlevel lapse
rates atop a cool/stable boundary layer (yielding 2500-3000 J/kg
MUCAPE), will continue to favor elevated supercell structures
capable of producing large hail (generally upwards of 2 inches in
diameter).
Given the elevated nature of these storms, and limited potential for
northward movement of the boundary and related warm sector, the
tornado and damaging-wind risks appears low. With that said, if
these storms can intercept any localized pockets of surface-based
instability north of the boundary, large low-level streamwise
vorticity would support a tornado risk.
..Weinman.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...
LAT...LON 34169246 34889111 35449017 35538974 35448937 35118910
34738929 34109045 33449220 33529259 33849263 34169246
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
MD 0383 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 107... FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Mesoscale Discussion 0383
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0607 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...portions of middle Tennessee
Concerning...Tornado Watch 107...
Valid 032307Z - 040000Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 107 continues.
SUMMARY...Enhanced tornado potential over the next 1-2 hours across
portions of middle Tennessee.
DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells is ongoing across portions of
middle Tennessee, and both of these cells are along a synoptic
stationary boundary draped generally east-northeast to
west-southwest across the area. These storms are likely
surface-based with air ahead of the boundary sufficiently unstable
(1000 J/kg MLCAPE per mesoanalysis) and with strong low-level shear
(20 kts of 0-1 km shear per regional VWPs). Additionally, the
southern of these storms has a history of producing tornadoes and
significant (2"+) hail. Thus, these storms have enhanced tornado
potential over the next 1-2 hours. Surface moisture decreases to the
east, and this may limit the eastward extent of the tornado risk
with these storms.
..Supinie.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...
LAT...LON 35518559 35138635 34868732 34908758 35088772 35398779
35778790 36008769 36308706 36468627 36318581 35988547
35518559
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0107 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 107
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0383
..SUPINIE..04/03/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...OHX...MRX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 107
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC077-107-040040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE PHILLIPS
KYC013-095-121-131-133-147-231-235-040040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL HARLAN KNOX
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
WAYNE WHITLEY
MSC003-009-013-027-033-071-081-093-107-115-117-119-135-137-139-
141-143-145-161-040040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 107 TORNADO AR KY MS TN 031750Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 107
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
South-central and Southeast Kentucky
Northern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells are expected to develop
this afternoon near a boundary that extends generally
southwest-to-northeast across the region. A moist environment and
strong low-level shear will support tornado potential aside from
damaging winds and hail. The severe/tornado risk could persist well
through the evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles southwest of Memphis TN to
15 miles southeast of Jackson KY. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Guyer
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Apr 3 23:01:02 UTC 2025.
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..04/03/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 109
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-057-069-073-079-081-
091-095-099-103-139-040040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER
MILLER MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA UNION
LAC015-017-027-111-119-040040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
UNION WEBSTER
MSC011-133-151-040040-
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..04/03/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 109
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-039-041-043-057-069-073-079-081-
091-095-099-103-139-040040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER
MILLER MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA UNION
LAC015-017-027-111-119-040040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
UNION WEBSTER
MSC011-133-151-040040-
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 109 TORNADO AR LA MS TX 031910Z - 040300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 109
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northwest Mississippi
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...As the atmosphere continues to destabilize, severe storms
including supercells are expected to develop near a frontal boundary
that extends generally southwest-northeast across the region. Any
storms that develop near/south of the boundary could pose a tornado
risk, aside from large hail and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles south of Tyler TX to 50
miles north of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 107...WW 108...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Guyer
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
MD 0381 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0331 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025
Areas affected...Portions of West Virginia and northern Virginia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032031Z - 032300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Storms moving into West Virginia may pose a threat of
severe weather this afternoon and evening. Convective trends will
continue to be monitored, although a watch appears unlikely at this
time.
DISCUSSION...Despite midlevel height rises across the area,
low-level warm-air advection continues to support thunderstorm
development across eastern Kentucky. The storms are expected to
continue moving eastward across West Virginia, though high clouds
and poorer boundary-layer moisture (per 18Z RNK sounding) have
limited destabilization. With low-level flow (and attendant warm
advection) forecast to increase into the evening, there is a threat
for the convection to persist. Given the sufficient low-level and
deep-layer shear across the area, these storms will have the
potential to produce damaging winds, hail, and a tornado. Trends
will be monitored through the evening, but a watch appears to be
unlikely at this time.
..Jirak/Guyer.. 04/03/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...RLX...JKL...
LAT...LON 37968246 38258201 38258094 38437951 39007785 38357744
37577755 37427861 37207996 37208091 37158158 37408235
37968246
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0108 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 108
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..04/03/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-023-029-045-051-053-059-061-063-067-071-083-085-097-101-
105-109-113-115-117-119-125-127-129-133-137-141-145-147-149-
032340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLEBURNE CONWAY
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON JOHNSON LOGAN
LONOKE MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEVIER STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
OKC089-032340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
Read more
5 months 1 week ago
WW 0108 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 108
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..04/03/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 108
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-023-029-045-051-053-059-061-063-067-071-083-085-097-101-
105-109-113-115-117-119-125-127-129-133-137-141-145-147-149-
032340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLEBURNE CONWAY
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON JOHNSON LOGAN
LONOKE MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEVIER STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
OKC089-032340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
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5 years 11 months ago
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