Severe Storms

MD 0552 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 169... FOR SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0552 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...Southeastern Colorado into Western Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169... Valid 250113Z - 250245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 169 continues. SUMMARY...The severe weather threat across WW 169 continues into the evening, with large hail and damaging winds the primary hazards. Some downstream watch extensions may be necessary as a linear convective segment matures moving into western Kansas. DISCUSSION...The severe weather threat for WW 169 continues this evening, particularly across northern portions of the watch area in southeastern Colorado, as thunderstorm clusters have begun to loosely organize into a linear convective segment. While the overall coverage of severe storms has been low thus far, SPC surface mesoanalysis data show MUCAPE increasing with eastward extent, coupled with deep-layer bulk shear of 40-45 kts. This should support continued organization of the linear convective complex as it moves into western Kansas, shifting gradually from a hail/wind threat to a primarily damaging wind threat later into the evening. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 38870450 39100437 39180382 39350345 39510309 39840281 39810216 39730181 39440154 39160138 38880137 38700140 38460154 38100177 37930204 37780235 37660270 37660310 37820363 38200410 38490434 38870450 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 170 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 242155Z - 250500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 455 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest and South-Central Kansas Far Northern Oklahoma * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Storms will persist with additional development along the Kansas-Oklahoma border vicinity, as well as other parts of west-central Kansas through early evening. Additional storms may eventually move into the region from eastern Colorado, while MCS development could occur along the Kansas/Oklahoma border vicinity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west of Garden City KS to 35 miles northeast of Medicine Lodge KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168...WW 169... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 169 SEVERE TSTM CO 242140Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 440 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Colorado * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Additional strong/severe storm development is expected to occur through late afternoon, especially across east-central/southeast Colorado. This will include a combo of multicells and a few supercells with large hail expected to be the most probable severe hazard. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Pueblo CO to 35 miles east of Lamar CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29025. ...Guyer Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL Read more

WW 167 TORNADO OK TX 242035Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 167 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Oklahoma Panhandle Texas Panhandle and South Plains * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are forecast to rapidly develop this afternoon into the early evening. Environmental shear and buoyancy combinations strongly favor intense, discrete supercells. Large to giant hail will be probable with any supercell. The tornado risk will likely focus for a few hours during the early evening near a residual outflow boundary draped over parts of the Watch area. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of Guymon OK to 60 miles southeast of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29015. ...Smith Read more

MD 0551 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 167... FOR PARTS OF THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0551 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0744 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...Parts of the TX South Plains Concerning...Tornado Watch 167... Valid 250044Z - 250215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 167 continues. SUMMARY...A localized threat of potentially strong tornadoes has evolved to the east/northeast of Lubbock, with very large to giant hail also possible. DISCUSSION...An intense supercell over Floyd and Motley Counties in Texas has propagated southeastward into an increasingly moist boundary layer, accompanied by a notable increase in low-level mesocyclone strength. Rotational velocity and environmental characteristics suggest a strong tornado may have occurred within the last 15-30 minutes. The presence of strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE greater than 3000 J/kg per the modified 00Z AMA sounding), favorable deep-layer shear, and enlarging low-level hodographs suggest a localized threat for strong tornadoes may continue with this cell, and also potentially with an intense supercell currently over Crosby County. Greater than 4 inch hail has also been reported in Floyd County, and a threat for very large to giant hail will likely persist for as long as the ongoing supercells remain semi-discrete this evening. ..Dean.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB... LAT...LON 33640149 34110096 34170029 33770008 33370038 33080068 33060144 33640149 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN Read more

WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-041-061-063-071-073-089-099-101-250240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

MD 0550 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0550 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0707 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...Northwest Oklahoma into far southern Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170... Valid 250007Z - 250130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 continues. SUMMARY...The severe weather threat for all hazards (hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two) continues across WW 170, particularly where supercells have developed and begun to move east-southeast across portions of northern Oklahoma. This threat will continue into the early evening hours. DISCUSSION...Supercells along the Kansas/Oklahoma border have taken on an east-southeast storm motion as mid and low-level mesocyclones have matured. These storms are capable of all hazards, having already produced 2.5" hail and a tornado. VAD wind profiles from KDDC and KVNX don't show an overall abundance of storm-relative helicity, but do indicate some curvature of the hodograph in the lowest levels. Additionally, current surface mesoanalysis indicates these storms exist within an area of locally enhanced surface vorticity. With the onset of the nocturnal low-level jet, in addition to the observed southeastward storm motion, SRH is expected to increase into the early evening and support a continued threat for all hazards, including tornadoes. The greatest short-term threat for continued tornado development will be with the southeastern-most storm, with unimpeded inflow and a favorable storm motion vector. The tornado threat will diminish into the evening hours as the nocturnal boundary layer stabilizes, but all supercells will be capable of 2.0+" hail and 65-85 MPH wind gusts. ..Halbert.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 37090027 37300009 37359983 37309940 37199886 37029838 36819810 36649811 36429820 36229839 36179865 36159905 36229940 36369964 36619994 36760014 36930027 37090027 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 0549 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 168... FOR TX PERMIAN BASIN/TRANS-PECOS REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 0549 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...TX Permian Basin/Trans-Pecos region Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168... Valid 242356Z - 250130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells with large to very large hail remain possible this evening. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing at 2345 UTC across the TX Permian Basin vicinity. Despite generally modest large-scale forcing, strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg) and moderate deep-layer shear will continue to support splitting supercells within the weakly capped environment through early evening. Large to very large hail will likely be the primary hazard, especially with any persistent left-movers, while strong to locally severe outflow winds will also be possible in the vicinity of the strongest cells. Increasing MLCINH should result in a gradual decrease in the severe threat later this evening. ..Dean.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 31510158 30000222 29290319 29480348 29810354 30190351 31720303 32870252 32940190 32890166 32470149 31610153 31510158 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more

WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM Read more