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4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from
from eastern Colorado and southwest Kansas into western Oklahoma,
the Panhandles and West Texas. Very large hail is possible, along
with a few tornadoes.
...Central and southern Plains...
Scattered severe storms persist this evening over West TX including
the Panhandle, with very large/damaging hail in progress. Other
severe cells, some with tornadic circulation, persist over northwest
OK within a cluster, also with damaging hail and wind potential.
Given the uncapped air mass across most of these areas, storms
should persist for a few hours, and the increasing 850 mb winds out
of the south may favor right moving supercells. The 00Z AMA sounding
confirms the lack of inhibition, showing steep lapse rates through a
deep layer.
Isolated marginally severe storms also persist over eastern CO, and
north of the tornadic northwest OK cluster into southwest KS.
For more information, see mesoscale discussions 548, 549, 550, 551.
..Jewell.. 04/25/2025
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from
from eastern Colorado and southwest Kansas into western Oklahoma,
the Panhandles and West Texas. Very large hail is possible, along
with a few tornadoes.
...Central and southern Plains...
Scattered severe storms persist this evening over West TX including
the Panhandle, with very large/damaging hail in progress. Other
severe cells, some with tornadic circulation, persist over northwest
OK within a cluster, also with damaging hail and wind potential.
Given the uncapped air mass across most of these areas, storms
should persist for a few hours, and the increasing 850 mb winds out
of the south may favor right moving supercells. The 00Z AMA sounding
confirms the lack of inhibition, showing steep lapse rates through a
deep layer.
Isolated marginally severe storms also persist over eastern CO, and
north of the tornadic northwest OK cluster into southwest KS.
For more information, see mesoscale discussions 548, 549, 550, 551.
..Jewell.. 04/25/2025
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0550
..HALBERT..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095-
097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189-
250140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS
OKC003-059-151-250140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW COS TO
15 SW LIC TO 25 N LIC.
..HALBERT..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-041-061-063-071-073-089-099-101-250140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY EL PASO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0547 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 166... FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Areas affected...Central and Southeast Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...
Valid 242228Z - 250030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for damaging straight line winds continues
across WW 166 in portions of central and southeastern Texas. Trends
will continue to be monitored for whether or not local watch
extensions or re-issuance may be needed later this evening.
DISCUSSION...A linear bowing convective complex is ongoing across
east-central Texas, currently moving east-southeast towards the
Louisiana border and the Gulf Coast. While surface observations from
behind the convective outflow have generally remained below severe
criteria, MLCAPE of 15000-2000 and 40 kts of deep-layer shear will
continue to support storm organization and longevity into this
evening. As the convective complex reaches the edge of WW 166, local
watch extensions southeastward may be necessary. New WW issuance
could be needed if the bowing segment continues to maintain its
intensity into the evening, but this scenario remains uncertain at
this time.
..Halbert.. 04/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 30059714 30339748 30479754 30549712 30649669 30809612
31069588 31319566 31649551 31959535 32249537 32249517
32109467 32009433 31929401 31829352 31629324 31359324
30809346 30259369 30089394 29869438 29709490 29549534
29519585 29569635 29839688 30059714
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0167 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0548
..DEAN..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-139-250140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195-
211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437-
483-250140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT
KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0168 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549
..DEAN..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317-
329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY
HOWARD LAMB MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS
REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL
TERRY UPTON WARD
WINKLER YOAKUM
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0166 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL
TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0166 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL
TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0166 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL
TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0166 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL
TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0166 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL
TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 166 SEVERE TSTM TX 241955Z - 250100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 166
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central into East Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A linear cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will
likely continue east across much of the Watch area this afternoon
into the early evening. Severe gusts 60-70 mph appear to be the
primary hazard, but large hail may accompany the stronger cells on
the southwestern flank of the thunderstorm band.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Temple
TX to 25 miles east of Lufkin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Smith
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0549 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 168... FOR TX PERMIAN BASIN/TRANS-PECOS REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 0549
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Areas affected...TX Permian Basin/Trans-Pecos region
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168...
Valid 242356Z - 250130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 168
continues.
SUMMARY...Supercells with large to very large hail remain possible
this evening.
DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing at 2345
UTC across the TX Permian Basin vicinity. Despite generally modest
large-scale forcing, strong buoyancy (with MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg)
and moderate deep-layer shear will continue to support splitting
supercells within the weakly capped environment through early
evening. Large to very large hail will likely be the primary hazard,
especially with any persistent left-movers, while strong to locally
severe outflow winds will also be possible in the vicinity of the
strongest cells. Increasing MLCINH should result in a gradual
decrease in the severe threat later this evening.
..Dean.. 04/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 31510158 30000222 29290319 29480348 29810354 30190351
31720303 32870252 32940190 32890166 32470149 31610153
31510158
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0548 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 167... FOR TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0548
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0634 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Areas affected...TX/OK Panhandles into the TX South Plains
Concerning...Tornado Watch 167...
Valid 242334Z - 250100Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 167 continues.
SUMMARY...Supercells with very large hail and tornado potential may
increase into this evening.
DISCUSSION...A supercell northeast of Lubbock in Floyd County has
recently intensified and turned right, with a confirmed tornado at
around 2315 UTC. Other cells are gradually intensifying across the
TX Panhandle and South Plains, within a weakly capped and strongly
unstable (MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg) environment. The 20Z AMA
sounding was rather dry (with PW of 0.58 inches), but otherwise was
quite favorable for organized storms with steep midlevel lapse rates
and favorable deep-layer shear. Some increase in low-level moisture
quality is expected due to backing surface winds, and multiple
intense supercells may eventually evolve into early evening.
Any mature supercell within this environment will pose a threat of
very large hail (possibly baseball-size or larger), given the
favorable thermodynamic profile. A strengthening low-level jet will
also enlarge low-level hodographs, resulting in an increasing
conditional tornado threat with time, if any supercells can
propagate east-southeastward into an increasingly moist environment.
..Dean.. 04/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 33130204 34270185 34980180 35910191 36380195 36650165
36710079 35060038 34460028 33700044 33170055 33090155
33130204
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0547 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 166... FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Areas affected...Central and Southeast Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166...
Valid 242228Z - 250030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for damaging straight line winds continues
across WW 166 in portions of central and southeastern Texas. Trends
will continue to be monitored for whether or not local watch
extensions or re-issuance may be needed later this evening.
DISCUSSION...A linear bowing convective complex is ongoing across
east-central Texas, currently moving east-southeast towards the
Louisiana border and the Gulf Coast. While surface observations from
behind the convective outflow have generally remained below severe
criteria, MLCAPE of 15000-2000 and 40 kts of deep-layer shear will
continue to support storm organization and longevity into this
evening. As the convective complex reaches the edge of WW 166, local
watch extensions southeastward may be necessary. New WW issuance
could be needed if the bowing segment continues to maintain its
intensity into the evening, but this scenario remains uncertain at
this time.
..Halbert.. 04/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 30059714 30339748 30479754 30549712 30649669 30809612
31069588 31319566 31649551 31959535 32249537 32249517
32109467 32009433 31929401 31829352 31629324 31359324
30809346 30259369 30089394 29869438 29709490 29549534
29519585 29569635 29839688 30059714
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0546 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR SOUTHWEST KS INTO NORTHWEST OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0546
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0511 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Areas affected...Southwest KS into northwest OK
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170...
Valid 242211Z - 242345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms will continue into early evening,
with a primary large hail, isolated strong to severe gusts, and
possibly a tornado.
DISCUSSION...Storms have developed late this afternoon from far
northwest OK into southwest KS, in the vicinity of a northwest to
southeast oriented surface confluence zone. Deep-layer flow is
rather modest, with effective shear of less than 30 kt per objective
mesoanalyses, but the presence of ongoing supercells suggests that
shear is locally greater near the surface boundary. The
thermodynamic environment is favorable for hail production, with
relatively steep midlevel lapse rates and MLCAPE near/above 1500
J/kg. Locally strong to severe gusts will also be possible, given
the presence of a relatively well-mixed boundary layer. A tornado
cannot be ruled out, especially with any sustained supercell that
persists into the evening, when a modest increase in low-level
shear/SRH is expected across the region.
..Dean.. 04/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 36599843 36559941 37000009 37180100 37170109 37450136
37820130 38190113 38480077 38520041 38409970 37749853
37709848 37409830 36849829 36599843
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0545 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST NE INTO SOUTHWEST IA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 0545
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0435 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Areas affected...Southeast NE into southwest IA and extreme
northwest MO
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 242135Z - 242330Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms remain possible into the
early evening.
DISCUSSION...Storms have recently intensified near Omaha (with
reports of hail up to golf ball size noted), with other storms
ongoing into southeast NE. This convection has developed near a
surface front and is likely being aided by a convectively enhanced
midlevel shortwave trough currently moving across eastern NE.
Heating into the 70s F near the front has allowed for MLCAPE to
increase to near 1000 J/kg, while veering flow with height (as noted
on the KOAX VWP) will continue to support some storm organization,
including continued potential for a supercell or two.
Large hail and locally gusty winds are expected to be the most
common hazards with the strongest storms into early evening.
However, given the presence of a surface boundary and modestly
enhanced low-level shear/SRH (with 0-1 km SRH near 100 m2/s2), a
tornado also cannot be ruled out. With the threat potentially being
rather limited in coverage and duration, the need for watch issuance
is uncertain, but trends will be monitored for an uptick in coverage
of organized storms.
..Dean/Guyer.. 04/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...GID...
LAT...LON 41819421 41029407 40369564 40069745 40449759 41149639
41499602 41839518 41819421
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-071-073-089-099-101-250040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO
KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS
LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095-
097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189-
250040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS
OKC003-059-151-250040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA HARPER WOODS
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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