Severe Storms

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... An upper low will drop south off the West Coast, with moderate southwest winds aloft from CA into the Great Basin and Rockies. To the east, height rises will occur over the Plains, with 500 mb temperatures about 2 C warmer than on Thursday. East of there, a weak midlevel trough will proceed across the MS/OH/TN Valleys, supporting scattered daytime thunderstorms from Lake Erie to MS. At the surface, high pressure will build south into the northern and central Plains, with a quasi-stationary front near the latitude of the Red River at 00Z. South of this boundary, a moist and unstable air mass will remain, and backed low-level winds will maintain westward moisture transport into the heated high Plains. The result will likely be cluster of slow-moving severe storms over a relatively concentrated area over West Texas. ...Extreme eastern NM...West TX...southwest OK... Linger storms may be ongoing over parts of KS and OK early in the day, but a weakening trend is anticipated as the driving warm advection out of the southwest dwindles. Then, strong heating will occur over much of West TX and NM, with the large-scale boundary roughly along I-40. Easterly surface winds will maintain 60s F dewpoints, and by late afternoon, MUCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg is forecast. Storms are likely to develop both along this boundary, and farther west near the NM/TX border. Although midlevel winds will be a bit weaker than on Thursday, slow-moving storms, including isolated supercells, are expected. Localized significant hail, damaging outflows, and a brief tornado will all be possible through early evening. Cluster of storms with heavy rain and strong gusts may persist overnight into portions of northwest TX as well. ..Jewell/Halbert.. 04/25/2025 Read more

MD 0554 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0554 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...Northwest into central OK Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170... Valid 250335Z - 250500Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170 continues. SUMMARY...Some severe threat will spread east/southeast late tonight, though the longevity of the threat is uncertain. DISCUSSION...After being confined to northwest OK for much of the evening, an long-lived storm cluster has shown some east-southeastward acceleration over the last hour. In the short term, this cluster may continue to pose a threat of hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado, as it moves through a moderately unstable and favorably sheared environment. However, increasing MLCINH with time and southeastward extent renders uncertainty regarding the longevity of the severe threat into the overnight hours. There may be some tendency for the ongoing cluster to propagate eastward along a weakly confluent surface boundary, with some potential for redevelopment of convection along/behind the trailing outflow. There is also some potential for ongoing convection in the TX Panhandle to eventually spread eastward into west-central/northwest OK, with at least an isolated severe threat. ..Dean.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 36389957 36849814 36839746 36589707 36059714 35599765 35489826 35439880 35339944 35319976 35479992 35629996 35919993 36149995 36389957 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0171 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS Read more

MD 0553 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 167... FOR OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0553 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0851 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Areas affected...OK/TX Panhandles into the TX South Plains Concerning...Tornado Watch 167... Valid 250151Z - 250315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 167 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells with very large hail and a tornado threat may continue into late evening. DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells with a history of producing very large hail is ongoing at 0145 UTC across the northeast TX Panhandle. While MLCINH is gradually increasing, some rightward motion has recently been noted with these cells, indicative of some increase in cell organization. Some tornado threat may yet evolve with these cells, given the presence of strong instability and modestly enlarged low-level hodographs per the KAMA VWP. Otherwise, large to very large hail and localized severe gusts will remain possible with the strongest of these cells as they propagate southeastward. Farther south, a cell with notable deviant rightward motion is moving southward into Garza County. This cell has a history of producing tornadoes and is likely producing very large to giant hail. An imminent collision with a northeastward-moving left-mover may disrupt this cell, though the cell/outflow interaction may briefly lead to an uptick in tornado potential. The long-lived cell over southern Motley County may also continue to pose a threat of all severe hazards over the next 1-2 hours. Eventually, increasing MLCINH should lead to weakening of ongoing discrete storms, though some threat may still persist to near or after the 11 PM CDT expiration time of WW 167. ..Dean.. 04/25/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF... LAT...LON 33730046 32960074 32670122 32690165 32860194 33070199 35060154 36800116 36920047 36400014 35600009 34070039 33730046 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN Read more