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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains. To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains, Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy conditions to emerge over the western US. ...Northern Plains/Rockies... As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Great Basin and Southwest... The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing potential for fire-weather conditions. Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the forecast period. ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0379 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0379 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

MD 1152 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 377... FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
Mesoscale Discussion 1152 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Kentucky Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377... Valid 062047Z - 062145Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377 continues. SUMMARY...The wind-damage threat appears to be diminishing, and the watch may be canceled prior to 23z. DISCUSSION...The earlier convective band has shown consistent signs of weakening, with reduced echo tops, reflectivity and lightning flash rates. Though moderate buoyancy persists downstream from the storms into eastern KY, the lack of additional surface heating (clouds and later afternoon sun angle) and relatively weak vertical shear suggest that any substantial/sustained uptick in storm intensity is unlikely. Thus, if recent trends persist, the watch could be canceled prior to the 23z expiration. ..Thompson.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JKL... LAT...LON 37088303 36678360 36798397 37218360 37568333 37788272 37598258 37088303 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH Read more

MD 1150 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN TENNESSEE...NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 1150 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee...northeast Alabama and far northwest Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 062010Z - 062145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms with isolated wind damage and/or marginally severe hail will persist for the next few hours, but the need for a watch is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have formed in the unstable warm sector from northern AL into middle and eastern TN. This area of convection is removed to the east-southeast of the remnant MCV over southeast MO, and local VWPs show correspondingly weak flow/vertical shear. Some loose clustering of storms may occur with outflow mergers through late afternoon/evening, but it is not clear that any organized clusters will emerge from the storm mergers. Thus, it is not clear that a severe thunderstorm watch is necessary. ..Thompson/Smith.. 06/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN... LAT...LON 36578365 36128362 35578402 35208453 34858508 34608563 34548621 34608659 35058680 35838651 36268619 36518577 36608534 36578365 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more