SPC Jun 14, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms, capable of large hail and severe wind gusts, are expected on Sunday in parts of the northern and central High Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are possible in parts of North Carolina and Virginia. ...Synopsis... An upper-level high will remain in place across the central/northern Plains into the northern Rockies on D2/Sunday. Westerly flow aloft will move across the ridge, with a few shortwave impulses rotating through the flow. Afternoon thunderstorm development is expected from the Northern Rockies southward across the dryline in the central high Plains. A surface low is expected to deepen across Wyoming through the period, lifting northward across the Dakotas. ...Central and Northern Plains... As the surface low across Wyoming deepens, east to southeasterly flow will continue across the central and northern Plains. Dew points in the low to mid 60s will be common, allowing for strong to moderate instability to develop by the afternoon. Upslope flow across the northern Rockies and forcing for ascent with shortwaves rounding the ridge will allow for scattered thunderstorm development across the high terrain spreading into the lower elevations through the later afternoon/evening. Generally straight hodograph profiles will support initial supercell modes before clustering and upscale growth occurs into the late afternoon. Given steep lapse rates and ample deep layer shear, large to very large hail (some 2-3"+) will be possible. As the surface low deepens into the afternoon, mass response will occur with an increase in a southerly low-level jet into the western Dakotas. CAM guidance shows some uncertainty in evolution of storms as they move eastward out of Montana. There is consistent signal that an MCS will travel eastward across some portions of the Dakotas, with potential for strong to significant winds (60-75+ mph). Should a more favorable corridor become established, an upgrade to higher probabilities may be needed. ...Southern/South-Central Plains into the Missouri Valley... An MCS will likely be ongoing across portions of Oklahoma into northern Texas early in the period. Residual outflow in association with this will set up across portion of north-central Texas into Missouri. Convective re-development may be somewhat inhibited due to warm air aloft and the presence of the mid-level ridge. In spite of this, some convection will be possible as low-level convergence increases during the day along pre-existing outflow boundaries. Mid-level directional shear is evident on forecast soundings. This could be sufficient for some cell organization and a severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts would be possible. ...Northern North Carolina/Southern Virginia... A subtle mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move into the southern and central Appalachians on Sunday. At the surface, a lee low is forecast to develop over central North Carolina. Scattered thunderstorm activity is expected to develop by the afternoon across northern North Carolina into southern Virginia. Sufficient deep layer and instability will allow for a few instances of severe wind and hail within stronger cores. ..Thornton.. 06/14/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 14, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms, capable of large hail and severe wind gusts, are expected on Sunday in parts of the northern and central High Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are possible in parts of North Carolina and Virginia. ...Synopsis... An upper-level high will remain in place across the central/northern Plains into the northern Rockies on D2/Sunday. Westerly flow aloft will move across the ridge, with a few shortwave impulses rotating through the flow. Afternoon thunderstorm development is expected from the Northern Rockies southward across the dryline in the central high Plains. A surface low is expected to deepen across Wyoming through the period, lifting northward across the Dakotas. ...Central and Northern Plains... As the surface low across Wyoming deepens, east to southeasterly flow will continue across the central and northern Plains. Dew points in the low to mid 60s will be common, allowing for strong to moderate instability to develop by the afternoon. Upslope flow across the northern Rockies and forcing for ascent with shortwaves rounding the ridge will allow for scattered thunderstorm development across the high terrain spreading into the lower elevations through the later afternoon/evening. Generally straight hodograph profiles will support initial supercell modes before clustering and upscale growth occurs into the late afternoon. Given steep lapse rates and ample deep layer shear, large to very large hail (some 2-3"+) will be possible. As the surface low deepens into the afternoon, mass response will occur with an increase in a southerly low-level jet into the western Dakotas. CAM guidance shows some uncertainty in evolution of storms as they move eastward out of Montana. There is consistent signal that an MCS will travel eastward across some portions of the Dakotas, with potential for strong to significant winds (60-75+ mph). Should a more favorable corridor become established, an upgrade to higher probabilities may be needed. ...Southern/South-Central Plains into the Missouri Valley... An MCS will likely be ongoing across portions of Oklahoma into northern Texas early in the period. Residual outflow in association with this will set up across portion of north-central Texas into Missouri. Convective re-development may be somewhat inhibited due to warm air aloft and the presence of the mid-level ridge. In spite of this, some convection will be possible as low-level convergence increases during the day along pre-existing outflow boundaries. Mid-level directional shear is evident on forecast soundings. This could be sufficient for some cell organization and a severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts would be possible. ...Northern North Carolina/Southern Virginia... A subtle mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move into the southern and central Appalachians on Sunday. At the surface, a lee low is forecast to develop over central North Carolina. Scattered thunderstorm activity is expected to develop by the afternoon across northern North Carolina into southern Virginia. Sufficient deep layer and instability will allow for a few instances of severe wind and hail within stronger cores. ..Thornton.. 06/14/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 14, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms, capable of large hail and severe wind gusts, are expected on Sunday in parts of the northern and central High Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are possible in parts of North Carolina and Virginia. ...Synopsis... An upper-level high will remain in place across the central/northern Plains into the northern Rockies on D2/Sunday. Westerly flow aloft will move across the ridge, with a few shortwave impulses rotating through the flow. Afternoon thunderstorm development is expected from the Northern Rockies southward across the dryline in the central high Plains. A surface low is expected to deepen across Wyoming through the period, lifting northward across the Dakotas. ...Central and Northern Plains... As the surface low across Wyoming deepens, east to southeasterly flow will continue across the central and northern Plains. Dew points in the low to mid 60s will be common, allowing for strong to moderate instability to develop by the afternoon. Upslope flow across the northern Rockies and forcing for ascent with shortwaves rounding the ridge will allow for scattered thunderstorm development across the high terrain spreading into the lower elevations through the later afternoon/evening. Generally straight hodograph profiles will support initial supercell modes before clustering and upscale growth occurs into the late afternoon. Given steep lapse rates and ample deep layer shear, large to very large hail (some 2-3"+) will be possible. As the surface low deepens into the afternoon, mass response will occur with an increase in a southerly low-level jet into the western Dakotas. CAM guidance shows some uncertainty in evolution of storms as they move eastward out of Montana. There is consistent signal that an MCS will travel eastward across some portions of the Dakotas, with potential for strong to significant winds (60-75+ mph). Should a more favorable corridor become established, an upgrade to higher probabilities may be needed. ...Southern/South-Central Plains into the Missouri Valley... An MCS will likely be ongoing across portions of Oklahoma into northern Texas early in the period. Residual outflow in association with this will set up across portion of north-central Texas into Missouri. Convective re-development may be somewhat inhibited due to warm air aloft and the presence of the mid-level ridge. In spite of this, some convection will be possible as low-level convergence increases during the day along pre-existing outflow boundaries. Mid-level directional shear is evident on forecast soundings. This could be sufficient for some cell organization and a severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts would be possible. ...Northern North Carolina/Southern Virginia... A subtle mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move into the southern and central Appalachians on Sunday. At the surface, a lee low is forecast to develop over central North Carolina. Scattered thunderstorm activity is expected to develop by the afternoon across northern North Carolina into southern Virginia. Sufficient deep layer and instability will allow for a few instances of severe wind and hail within stronger cores. ..Thornton.. 06/14/2025 Read more

SPC Jun 14, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms, capable of large hail and severe wind gusts, are expected on Sunday in parts of the northern and central High Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are possible in parts of North Carolina and Virginia. ...Synopsis... An upper-level high will remain in place across the central/northern Plains into the northern Rockies on D2/Sunday. Westerly flow aloft will move across the ridge, with a few shortwave impulses rotating through the flow. Afternoon thunderstorm development is expected from the Northern Rockies southward across the dryline in the central high Plains. A surface low is expected to deepen across Wyoming through the period, lifting northward across the Dakotas. ...Central and Northern Plains... As the surface low across Wyoming deepens, east to southeasterly flow will continue across the central and northern Plains. Dew points in the low to mid 60s will be common, allowing for strong to moderate instability to develop by the afternoon. Upslope flow across the northern Rockies and forcing for ascent with shortwaves rounding the ridge will allow for scattered thunderstorm development across the high terrain spreading into the lower elevations through the later afternoon/evening. Generally straight hodograph profiles will support initial supercell modes before clustering and upscale growth occurs into the late afternoon. Given steep lapse rates and ample deep layer shear, large to very large hail (some 2-3"+) will be possible. As the surface low deepens into the afternoon, mass response will occur with an increase in a southerly low-level jet into the western Dakotas. CAM guidance shows some uncertainty in evolution of storms as they move eastward out of Montana. There is consistent signal that an MCS will travel eastward across some portions of the Dakotas, with potential for strong to significant winds (60-75+ mph). Should a more favorable corridor become established, an upgrade to higher probabilities may be needed. ...Southern/South-Central Plains into the Missouri Valley... An MCS will likely be ongoing across portions of Oklahoma into northern Texas early in the period. Residual outflow in association with this will set up across portion of north-central Texas into Missouri. Convective re-development may be somewhat inhibited due to warm air aloft and the presence of the mid-level ridge. In spite of this, some convection will be possible as low-level convergence increases during the day along pre-existing outflow boundaries. Mid-level directional shear is evident on forecast soundings. This could be sufficient for some cell organization and a severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts would be possible. ...Northern North Carolina/Southern Virginia... A subtle mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move into the southern and central Appalachians on Sunday. At the surface, a lee low is forecast to develop over central North Carolina. Scattered thunderstorm activity is expected to develop by the afternoon across northern North Carolina into southern Virginia. Sufficient deep layer and instability will allow for a few instances of severe wind and hail within stronger cores. ..Thornton.. 06/14/2025 Read more

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
985
ABPZ20 KNHC 141702
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 14 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dalila, located in the eastern Pacific basin off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located just off the Pacific coast of Costa Rica and is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while moving
westward or west-northwestward just offshore the coasts of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Gibbs
NHC Webmaster

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

2 months 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this update. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 06/14/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025/ ...Synopsis... A seasonably modest mid-level jet will be positioned over the northern CONUS with the entrance region over the northern parts of the Great Basin. This jet will provide the focus for fire weather concerns today, with these being over northwest Nevada and in the Columbia River Valley in Washington and Oregon. In northwest Nevada, RH is expected to be near 5-15% with gusts of 20-25 mph with afternoon mixing. Fuels in the area are relatively dry. Therefore, have maintained the Elevated area in this outlook, though brief, localized Critical conditions are possible. In the Columbia Valley, RH is expected to be 10-20% with gusts to 20-25 mph and at least modestly dry fuels, so have kept the Elevated area here as well. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more