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SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Southern High Plains... An upper ridge will remain centered over the Great Plains on Saturday. However, an upper trough will shift east into the Southwestern U.S., and southwesterly flow aloft will increase across the southern Rockies/High Plains vicinity by late afternoon into the overnight hours. At the surface, a stalled front from east-central NM into central OK will lift northward through the day and south/southeasterly low-level flow will transport upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints northward across the High Plains. Midlevel lapse rates will steepen through the day, and a corridor of weak to moderate instability is expected along a sharpening dryline across eastern NM into western TX. Some forecast guidance has quite a bit of ongoing convection Saturday morning, which lends to uncertainty regarding severe potential. Nevertheless, the overall environment will support severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts. While coverage and location is uncertain, highest confidence in a few supercells is across eastern NM and perhaps into adjacent west TX. ..Leitman.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Southern High Plains... An upper ridge will remain centered over the Great Plains on Saturday. However, an upper trough will shift east into the Southwestern U.S., and southwesterly flow aloft will increase across the southern Rockies/High Plains vicinity by late afternoon into the overnight hours. At the surface, a stalled front from east-central NM into central OK will lift northward through the day and south/southeasterly low-level flow will transport upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints northward across the High Plains. Midlevel lapse rates will steepen through the day, and a corridor of weak to moderate instability is expected along a sharpening dryline across eastern NM into western TX. Some forecast guidance has quite a bit of ongoing convection Saturday morning, which lends to uncertainty regarding severe potential. Nevertheless, the overall environment will support severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts. While coverage and location is uncertain, highest confidence in a few supercells is across eastern NM and perhaps into adjacent west TX. ..Leitman.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Southern High Plains... An upper ridge will remain centered over the Great Plains on Saturday. However, an upper trough will shift east into the Southwestern U.S., and southwesterly flow aloft will increase across the southern Rockies/High Plains vicinity by late afternoon into the overnight hours. At the surface, a stalled front from east-central NM into central OK will lift northward through the day and south/southeasterly low-level flow will transport upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints northward across the High Plains. Midlevel lapse rates will steepen through the day, and a corridor of weak to moderate instability is expected along a sharpening dryline across eastern NM into western TX. Some forecast guidance has quite a bit of ongoing convection Saturday morning, which lends to uncertainty regarding severe potential. Nevertheless, the overall environment will support severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and damaging gusts. While coverage and location is uncertain, highest confidence in a few supercells is across eastern NM and perhaps into adjacent west TX. ..Leitman.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0114 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude mid-level trough will traverse New England and eject into the Atlantic as another mid-level trough amplifies along the West Coast today. Surface high pressure and overall cooler temperatures will overspread much of the northern U.S. while broad surface troughing and associated low-level moisture return becomes established from the Great Plains to the East Coast. As such, relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected over much of the U.S. today. Dry conditions will persist across the Desert Southwest, but surface wind fields should be too weak to necessitate Elevated highlights. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible across the western Florida Peninsula, where 30-40 percent RH will overlap with 10-15 mph sustained southeasterly surface winds by afternoon peak heating. Elevated highlights have been maintained in this area given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0114 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude mid-level trough will traverse New England and eject into the Atlantic as another mid-level trough amplifies along the West Coast today. Surface high pressure and overall cooler temperatures will overspread much of the northern U.S. while broad surface troughing and associated low-level moisture return becomes established from the Great Plains to the East Coast. As such, relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected over much of the U.S. today. Dry conditions will persist across the Desert Southwest, but surface wind fields should be too weak to necessitate Elevated highlights. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible across the western Florida Peninsula, where 30-40 percent RH will overlap with 10-15 mph sustained southeasterly surface winds by afternoon peak heating. Elevated highlights have been maintained in this area given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0114 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude mid-level trough will traverse New England and eject into the Atlantic as another mid-level trough amplifies along the West Coast today. Surface high pressure and overall cooler temperatures will overspread much of the northern U.S. while broad surface troughing and associated low-level moisture return becomes established from the Great Plains to the East Coast. As such, relatively quiescent fire weather conditions are expected over much of the U.S. today. Dry conditions will persist across the Desert Southwest, but surface wind fields should be too weak to necessitate Elevated highlights. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible across the western Florida Peninsula, where 30-40 percent RH will overlap with 10-15 mph sustained southeasterly surface winds by afternoon peak heating. Elevated highlights have been maintained in this area given dry fuels. ..Squitieri.. 04/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more