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SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds are possible, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening, from southern Texas across the Southeast and into the Lower Mid-Atlantic States. ...Synopsis... An elongated trough from the Northeast into the Southwest will shift eastward on Thursday. Areas of moderate mid-level winds will support some potential for strong to severe storms across a very broad region from the Trans-Pecos into the Mid-South/Southeast and the southern Mid-Atlantic. As the trough will be highly positively tilted, the surface pattern will be rather nebulous and mid-level ascent will be weak. A weak surface boundary is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic. Outlook refinement is possible as greater details of potential mesoscale severe risk corridors become more evident. ...Mid-South... A weak surface front may help to focus convective development during the afternoon. Given the orientation of the upper trough, mid-level ascent will be rather weak. Still, temperatures will be cold aloft and shear on the southern periphery of the weak upper low will be sufficient for isolated organized cells capable of large hail and damaging winds. Storm coverage and timing remain a bit uncertain as some cloud cover (some with the upper low and other influence from convection farther south) could hinder surface heating. These uncertainties preclude higher hail probabilities. ...Trans-Pecos into Rio Grande Valley... A modest shortwave trough in northern Mexico will slide eastward into the Trans-Pecos by early afternoon. Storms are expected to initiate within the Davis Mountains and move southeastward into low 60s F dewpoints. Temperatures aloft will not be overly cold, but 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE can be expected as the storms move into richer moisture. It is possible that this activity grows upscale and moves along the Rio Grande Valley into South Texas late evening into early Friday morning. Given the timing of this activity, some boundary layer cooling will have occurred and marginally warmer air aloft in forecast soundings may limit a more organized severe threat. ...Southern Mid-Atlantic... Modest mid-level forcing should promote convection along the Appalachians/Blue Ridge. A well-mixed boundary layer with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35-40 kts of effective shear will allow for a few organized storms during the afternoon. Damaging winds and isolated marginally severe hail may occur. ...Southern Atlantic Coast... Though models differ on the placement of the stronger core of mid-level winds, sufficient westerly flow aloft is probable for a few organized storms along the sea breeze boundary. Temperatures should remain cold enough aloft to support a large hail threat. Damaging winds are also possible. ..Wendt.. 05/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds are possible, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening, from southern Texas across the Southeast and into the Lower Mid-Atlantic States. ...Synopsis... An elongated trough from the Northeast into the Southwest will shift eastward on Thursday. Areas of moderate mid-level winds will support some potential for strong to severe storms across a very broad region from the Trans-Pecos into the Mid-South/Southeast and the southern Mid-Atlantic. As the trough will be highly positively tilted, the surface pattern will be rather nebulous and mid-level ascent will be weak. A weak surface boundary is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic. Outlook refinement is possible as greater details of potential mesoscale severe risk corridors become more evident. ...Mid-South... A weak surface front may help to focus convective development during the afternoon. Given the orientation of the upper trough, mid-level ascent will be rather weak. Still, temperatures will be cold aloft and shear on the southern periphery of the weak upper low will be sufficient for isolated organized cells capable of large hail and damaging winds. Storm coverage and timing remain a bit uncertain as some cloud cover (some with the upper low and other influence from convection farther south) could hinder surface heating. These uncertainties preclude higher hail probabilities. ...Trans-Pecos into Rio Grande Valley... A modest shortwave trough in northern Mexico will slide eastward into the Trans-Pecos by early afternoon. Storms are expected to initiate within the Davis Mountains and move southeastward into low 60s F dewpoints. Temperatures aloft will not be overly cold, but 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE can be expected as the storms move into richer moisture. It is possible that this activity grows upscale and moves along the Rio Grande Valley into South Texas late evening into early Friday morning. Given the timing of this activity, some boundary layer cooling will have occurred and marginally warmer air aloft in forecast soundings may limit a more organized severe threat. ...Southern Mid-Atlantic... Modest mid-level forcing should promote convection along the Appalachians/Blue Ridge. A well-mixed boundary layer with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35-40 kts of effective shear will allow for a few organized storms during the afternoon. Damaging winds and isolated marginally severe hail may occur. ...Southern Atlantic Coast... Though models differ on the placement of the stronger core of mid-level winds, sufficient westerly flow aloft is probable for a few organized storms along the sea breeze boundary. Temperatures should remain cold enough aloft to support a large hail threat. Damaging winds are also possible. ..Wendt.. 05/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds are possible, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening, from southern Texas across the Southeast and into the Lower Mid-Atlantic States. ...Synopsis... An elongated trough from the Northeast into the Southwest will shift eastward on Thursday. Areas of moderate mid-level winds will support some potential for strong to severe storms across a very broad region from the Trans-Pecos into the Mid-South/Southeast and the southern Mid-Atlantic. As the trough will be highly positively tilted, the surface pattern will be rather nebulous and mid-level ascent will be weak. A weak surface boundary is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic. Outlook refinement is possible as greater details of potential mesoscale severe risk corridors become more evident. ...Mid-South... A weak surface front may help to focus convective development during the afternoon. Given the orientation of the upper trough, mid-level ascent will be rather weak. Still, temperatures will be cold aloft and shear on the southern periphery of the weak upper low will be sufficient for isolated organized cells capable of large hail and damaging winds. Storm coverage and timing remain a bit uncertain as some cloud cover (some with the upper low and other influence from convection farther south) could hinder surface heating. These uncertainties preclude higher hail probabilities. ...Trans-Pecos into Rio Grande Valley... A modest shortwave trough in northern Mexico will slide eastward into the Trans-Pecos by early afternoon. Storms are expected to initiate within the Davis Mountains and move southeastward into low 60s F dewpoints. Temperatures aloft will not be overly cold, but 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE can be expected as the storms move into richer moisture. It is possible that this activity grows upscale and moves along the Rio Grande Valley into South Texas late evening into early Friday morning. Given the timing of this activity, some boundary layer cooling will have occurred and marginally warmer air aloft in forecast soundings may limit a more organized severe threat. ...Southern Mid-Atlantic... Modest mid-level forcing should promote convection along the Appalachians/Blue Ridge. A well-mixed boundary layer with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35-40 kts of effective shear will allow for a few organized storms during the afternoon. Damaging winds and isolated marginally severe hail may occur. ...Southern Atlantic Coast... Though models differ on the placement of the stronger core of mid-level winds, sufficient westerly flow aloft is probable for a few organized storms along the sea breeze boundary. Temperatures should remain cold enough aloft to support a large hail threat. Damaging winds are also possible. ..Wendt.. 05/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds are possible, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening, from southern Texas across the Southeast and into the Lower Mid-Atlantic States. ...Synopsis... An elongated trough from the Northeast into the Southwest will shift eastward on Thursday. Areas of moderate mid-level winds will support some potential for strong to severe storms across a very broad region from the Trans-Pecos into the Mid-South/Southeast and the southern Mid-Atlantic. As the trough will be highly positively tilted, the surface pattern will be rather nebulous and mid-level ascent will be weak. A weak surface boundary is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic. Outlook refinement is possible as greater details of potential mesoscale severe risk corridors become more evident. ...Mid-South... A weak surface front may help to focus convective development during the afternoon. Given the orientation of the upper trough, mid-level ascent will be rather weak. Still, temperatures will be cold aloft and shear on the southern periphery of the weak upper low will be sufficient for isolated organized cells capable of large hail and damaging winds. Storm coverage and timing remain a bit uncertain as some cloud cover (some with the upper low and other influence from convection farther south) could hinder surface heating. These uncertainties preclude higher hail probabilities. ...Trans-Pecos into Rio Grande Valley... A modest shortwave trough in northern Mexico will slide eastward into the Trans-Pecos by early afternoon. Storms are expected to initiate within the Davis Mountains and move southeastward into low 60s F dewpoints. Temperatures aloft will not be overly cold, but 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE can be expected as the storms move into richer moisture. It is possible that this activity grows upscale and moves along the Rio Grande Valley into South Texas late evening into early Friday morning. Given the timing of this activity, some boundary layer cooling will have occurred and marginally warmer air aloft in forecast soundings may limit a more organized severe threat. ...Southern Mid-Atlantic... Modest mid-level forcing should promote convection along the Appalachians/Blue Ridge. A well-mixed boundary layer with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35-40 kts of effective shear will allow for a few organized storms during the afternoon. Damaging winds and isolated marginally severe hail may occur. ...Southern Atlantic Coast... Though models differ on the placement of the stronger core of mid-level winds, sufficient westerly flow aloft is probable for a few organized storms along the sea breeze boundary. Temperatures should remain cold enough aloft to support a large hail threat. Damaging winds are also possible. ..Wendt.. 05/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds are possible, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening, from southern Texas across the Southeast and into the Lower Mid-Atlantic States. ...Synopsis... An elongated trough from the Northeast into the Southwest will shift eastward on Thursday. Areas of moderate mid-level winds will support some potential for strong to severe storms across a very broad region from the Trans-Pecos into the Mid-South/Southeast and the southern Mid-Atlantic. As the trough will be highly positively tilted, the surface pattern will be rather nebulous and mid-level ascent will be weak. A weak surface boundary is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic. Outlook refinement is possible as greater details of potential mesoscale severe risk corridors become more evident. ...Mid-South... A weak surface front may help to focus convective development during the afternoon. Given the orientation of the upper trough, mid-level ascent will be rather weak. Still, temperatures will be cold aloft and shear on the southern periphery of the weak upper low will be sufficient for isolated organized cells capable of large hail and damaging winds. Storm coverage and timing remain a bit uncertain as some cloud cover (some with the upper low and other influence from convection farther south) could hinder surface heating. These uncertainties preclude higher hail probabilities. ...Trans-Pecos into Rio Grande Valley... A modest shortwave trough in northern Mexico will slide eastward into the Trans-Pecos by early afternoon. Storms are expected to initiate within the Davis Mountains and move southeastward into low 60s F dewpoints. Temperatures aloft will not be overly cold, but 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE can be expected as the storms move into richer moisture. It is possible that this activity grows upscale and moves along the Rio Grande Valley into South Texas late evening into early Friday morning. Given the timing of this activity, some boundary layer cooling will have occurred and marginally warmer air aloft in forecast soundings may limit a more organized severe threat. ...Southern Mid-Atlantic... Modest mid-level forcing should promote convection along the Appalachians/Blue Ridge. A well-mixed boundary layer with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35-40 kts of effective shear will allow for a few organized storms during the afternoon. Damaging winds and isolated marginally severe hail may occur. ...Southern Atlantic Coast... Though models differ on the placement of the stronger core of mid-level winds, sufficient westerly flow aloft is probable for a few organized storms along the sea breeze boundary. Temperatures should remain cold enough aloft to support a large hail threat. Damaging winds are also possible. ..Wendt.. 05/07/2025 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds are possible, mainly Thursday afternoon and evening, from southern Texas across the Southeast and into the Lower Mid-Atlantic States. ...Synopsis... An elongated trough from the Northeast into the Southwest will shift eastward on Thursday. Areas of moderate mid-level winds will support some potential for strong to severe storms across a very broad region from the Trans-Pecos into the Mid-South/Southeast and the southern Mid-Atlantic. As the trough will be highly positively tilted, the surface pattern will be rather nebulous and mid-level ascent will be weak. A weak surface boundary is expected from parts of the southern Plains into the Mid Atlantic. Outlook refinement is possible as greater details of potential mesoscale severe risk corridors become more evident. ...Mid-South... A weak surface front may help to focus convective development during the afternoon. Given the orientation of the upper trough, mid-level ascent will be rather weak. Still, temperatures will be cold aloft and shear on the southern periphery of the weak upper low will be sufficient for isolated organized cells capable of large hail and damaging winds. Storm coverage and timing remain a bit uncertain as some cloud cover (some with the upper low and other influence from convection farther south) could hinder surface heating. These uncertainties preclude higher hail probabilities. ...Trans-Pecos into Rio Grande Valley... A modest shortwave trough in northern Mexico will slide eastward into the Trans-Pecos by early afternoon. Storms are expected to initiate within the Davis Mountains and move southeastward into low 60s F dewpoints. Temperatures aloft will not be overly cold, but 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE can be expected as the storms move into richer moisture. It is possible that this activity grows upscale and moves along the Rio Grande Valley into South Texas late evening into early Friday morning. Given the timing of this activity, some boundary layer cooling will have occurred and marginally warmer air aloft in forecast soundings may limit a more organized severe threat. ...Southern Mid-Atlantic... Modest mid-level forcing should promote convection along the Appalachians/Blue Ridge. A well-mixed boundary layer with 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 35-40 kts of effective shear will allow for a few organized storms during the afternoon. Damaging winds and isolated marginally severe hail may occur. ...Southern Atlantic Coast... Though models differ on the placement of the stronger core of mid-level winds, sufficient westerly flow aloft is probable for a few organized storms along the sea breeze boundary. Temperatures should remain cold enough aloft to support a large hail threat. Damaging winds are also possible. ..Wendt.. 05/07/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential will generally be limited for much of the country on Thursday, though regional concerns will likely emerge for parts of western North Dakota during the afternoon hours. A cold front associated with a clipper low migrating across the Canadian Prairies is forecast to push across central and eastern MT during the day. Pre-frontal southerly flow is forecast to increase to 15-20 mph across western ND by late afternoon. A combination of temperatures warming into the low 80s with deep boundary-layer mixing should yield RH values in the low to mid 20s. Much of western ND has remained dry over the past few days, and residual dead grasses have supported a couple of large fires over the past week. While the fire weather threat is not expected to be particularly widespread, the potential for elevated fire weather conditions over a receptive fuel landscape warrants highlights. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain limited for today across the country. An upper trough over the central/southern Plains will slowly drift east through the day. A secondary shortwave trough is noted in water-vapor imagery over the Southwest. Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of both of these features will limit fire concerns for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Although receptive fuels and dry conditions remain across parts of West TX, gradient winds are forecast to remain relatively weak. Localized fire weather conditions may emerge across parts of eastern MT where southerly winds are forecast to increase to 15-20 mph by late afternoon. However, relative humidity values should generally remain above 30% for most areas. ..Moore.. 05/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more