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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES NORTHWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and large hail are possible across the Southeast States. ...Synopsis... Upper troughiness will extend from the Northeast southwestward into TX, with upper lows in both locales. The low/trough over the Mid Atlantic and New England will deepen through the period, with the base of this wave sweeping across VA and NC. To the south, cool midlevel temperatures will remain over the Gulf Coast states as a positive tilt trough develops over the western Gulf. At the surface, weak low pressure will develop from the Mid Atlantic Coast to the eastern Carolinas, ahead of a cold front. Sufficient moisture will exist ahead of the front, from far southeast VA toward the Gulf Coast and FL, to support scattered strong and isolated severe daytime storms. ...Southeastern States... Although the Gulf Coast portion of the front will be weak, moderate instability due to strong heating should lead to scattered storms by late afternoon in an east-west zone from southern MS into southern GA. Forecast soundings depict weak shear but a steep lapse rate environment favorable for diurnal hail. Cold downdrafts may also yield localized wind damage. To the north, storms will increase in coverage over much of the Carolinas into far southeast VA. Instability may be a bit marginal over north parts of this region due to early development. However, pockets of air mass recovery will support scattered strong storms, aided by the upper trough influence to the north. Over FL, strong heating beneath cool midlevel temperatures (500 mb around -11 C) will result in moderate instability. Isolated storms are likely to develop over the interior Peninsula, with large hail potential. Storms should move slowly given weak flow below 500 mb, and as such, the threat should remain relatively localized. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more