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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0130 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in parts of northern Florida and southern Georgia on Saturday. ...Synopsis... An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an upper low will meander about the Sabine/lower MS Valleys, providing cool air aloft. At the surface, high pressure will stretch from James Bay into the Southern Plains, with another ridge from the Carolinas into the mid MS Valley. An old front will stall roughly from far southern AL and GA into northern FL, with northerly winds across much of the western Gulf. ...Northern FL into southern GA... Storms will likely be ongoing near or just south of the northern Gulf Coast for much of the day. Some of this activity may affect parts of the coastal FL Panhandle with heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts. To the east, heating over parts of FL, and perhaps far southern GA, will contribute to around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, resulting in an uncapped air mass. Convergence near the front as well as weak warm advection from the south will lead to scattered storms. Shear will not be particularly strong, but the strongest initial cores may produce hail as temperatures aloft will be cool. Otherwise, clusters of storms or outflows could locally cause wind damage. ..Jewell.. 05/08/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0125 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... There is a chance of isolated mixed wet/dry thunderstorms in portions of southern Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin along/ahead of an approaching cold front. Fuels are in or entering the spring dip in this area and could be receptive to lightning ignition. However, precipitable water values are likely to be 0.8-1" with dewpoints in the 50s, and lightning amounts could be minimal over receptive fuels. Given the potential of hot, dry, and windy conditions emerging Sunday into early next week, this area will continue to be monitored. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track, and please see the previous discussion. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1250 AM CDT Thu May 08 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather potential appears limited for Friday across the country. The upper trough currently across the central U.S. will continue to meander east through the next 48 hours. This will bring widespread rain chances to much of the MS/OH River Valleys and the Southeast over the next two days. To the west, upper ridging will favor drier conditions, but weak low-level winds should modulate the potential for fire spread. Breezy and dry conditions may develop through the Red River Valley of the North Friday afternoon after a dry cold frontal passage, but confidence in sustained winds above elevated thresholds (15 mph) during peak heating is too low to warrant risk highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more