Aggregator

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day 3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow, especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida and the Deep South through the Carolinas. ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper Midwest... Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels entering or already in there spring dip. There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include probabilities at this time. ...Great Basin into the Southwest... As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions increase. ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

The D.C. Water and Sewer Authority asked residents to use water wisely and even conserve as the Potomac River Basin remained in drought for almost a year with the river nearing record lows. WJLA 24/7 News (Washington, D.C.), May 7, 2025

Most of the Panhandle counties received rainfall, from light showers to several inches and some hail. While the moisture was needed and should improve planting conditions, the hail had a negative impact on headed wheat. Growers continued to make progress planting corn. A few cotton fields were planted as soil temperatures continued to climb. Early harvest of wheat and triticale silage was underway. Rangelands and pastures continued to green up. The recent precipitation benefited topsoil moisture levels, but additional rainfall was needed to improve deeper soil profiles throughout the district. Overall soil moisture levels were short to adequate. Pasture and rangeland conditions were fair to good. Overall crop conditions were fair to good. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 6, 2025

MD 0745 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0745 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Areas affected...south-central Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 081914Z - 082115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage to increase into the afternoon/evening with potential for damaging winds and large to very large hail. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity has been ongoing across the border in Mexico as well as across portions of far western Texas this afternoon. The activity in west Texas has been slowly advancing south and eastward near the Rio Grande. Activity across Mexico has slowly begun to spread eastward into Texas as well. It is likely that storms will move out of Mexico across the Rio Grande Valley into portions of south-central Texas and into the south Texas Brush Country. The air mass across this region is very moist and unstable, with MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg. Deep layer shear around 40-50 kts will support maintenance of supercells, capable of large to very large hail (2-2.5 in) and damaging wind through the evening. This area is being monitored for possible watch issuance this afternoon. ..Thornton/Gleason.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO... LAT...LON 29600144 29760168 29940171 30060171 30230158 30230111 30220024 29959945 29719904 29309854 27579806 27149815 26939852 26729904 26959947 27459959 28390044 28910078 29240091 29600144 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 0744 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 238...239... FOR SOUTHERN KENTUCKY...MIDDLE TENNESSEE...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA
Mesoscale Discussion 0744 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025 Areas affected...southern Kentucky...middle Tennessee...northeast Mississippi and northwest Alabama Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238...239... Valid 081903Z - 082030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238, 239 continues. SUMMARY...Supercell development/intensification underway. Large hail and damaging wind gusts remain the primary threat. DISCUSSION...Several supercells have developed across northern Tennessee into central Kentucky. These storms have a history of 1 to 1.75 inch hail thus far. The environment downstream of these supercells continues to destabilize which will maintain the threat through the afternoon and evening. Farther south, additional storms have started to develop from southern Tennessee into northeast Mississippi. Temperatures are not as cold aloft, but temperatures are warmer (upper 70s to low 80s) which has sufficiently compensated to support 1500+ J/kg MLCAPE (per SPC mesoanalysis). Given the stronger deep-layer shear across this region (~40 knots) beneath the mid-level jet core, expect these storms to become supercellular with a large hail and damaging wind threat. These storms may have the greatest threat for isolated 2+ inch hail given the more favorable wind profile. Severe thunderstorm watch 238 was expanded into northeast Mississippi and severe thunderstorm watch 239 was recently issued across northern Alabama to address this threat farther south. ..Bentley/Gleason.. 05/08/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN... LAT...LON 33548933 34438901 35568901 36528864 37698737 37668499 37078467 34788628 33708732 33228845 33228880 33548933 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more