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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0641 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur across the coastal Florida Panhandle later tonight. ...Discussion... Surface analysis shows a stable boundary layer over the Gulf Coast, with only 50s F dewpoints over much of the area. The exception is over far southeast LA, where lower 60s F dewpoints remain. The air mass here, as well as farther northeast into coastal MS/AL/western FL Panhandle, will experience widespread precipitation this evening and overnight due to warm advection just above the boundary layer. This will continue to be the primary mitigating factor for severe potential. Late tonight, mid 60s F dewpoints are forecast to move ashore across the FL Panhandle, as strong southwest flow ahead of the upper trough persist. Precise instability measures are difficult given expected antecedent rainfall, but 500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE may eventually materialize. Forecast soundings indicate most of this CAPE will be ineffective due to the cool boundary layer. However, uncapped SBCAPE may develop along the immediate coast, which could conditionally support isolated severe gusts or even a brief tornado. As such, low severe probabilities have been maintained over the area. ..Jewell.. 01/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0641 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur across the coastal Florida Panhandle later tonight. ...Discussion... Surface analysis shows a stable boundary layer over the Gulf Coast, with only 50s F dewpoints over much of the area. The exception is over far southeast LA, where lower 60s F dewpoints remain. The air mass here, as well as farther northeast into coastal MS/AL/western FL Panhandle, will experience widespread precipitation this evening and overnight due to warm advection just above the boundary layer. This will continue to be the primary mitigating factor for severe potential. Late tonight, mid 60s F dewpoints are forecast to move ashore across the FL Panhandle, as strong southwest flow ahead of the upper trough persist. Precise instability measures are difficult given expected antecedent rainfall, but 500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE may eventually materialize. Forecast soundings indicate most of this CAPE will be ineffective due to the cool boundary layer. However, uncapped SBCAPE may develop along the immediate coast, which could conditionally support isolated severe gusts or even a brief tornado. As such, low severe probabilities have been maintained over the area. ..Jewell.. 01/06/2024 Read more

No watches are valid as of Fri Jan 5 23:20:01 UTC 2024.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Jan 5 23:20:01 UTC 2024.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A progressive upper-level pattern is expected to continue through the end of next week and possibly into next weekend. Shortwave troughs are expected to move from the Southwest into the southern Plains and eventually the East both around Monday and again around next Friday as currently forecast. This overall pattern will favor cool/cold conditions over a broad swath of the CONUS. Furthermore, precipitation can be expected as strong surface cyclones develop along with their parent troughs. Guidance does show agreement that a minimum in precipitation is probable in parts of the Trans-Pecos extending into the Edwards Plateau and parts of the Rio Grande Valley. The driest and windiest conditions appear most likely to occur this coming Sunday as well as next Thursday, with lesser conditions possible on intervening days. Current fuel status would suggest low potential for critical fire weather in these areas. Additionally, there is the uncertainty of where and how much precipitation will occur. These areas will continue to be monitored as winds could be strong, but highlights will continue to be withheld at this time. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A progressive upper-level pattern is expected to continue through the end of next week and possibly into next weekend. Shortwave troughs are expected to move from the Southwest into the southern Plains and eventually the East both around Monday and again around next Friday as currently forecast. This overall pattern will favor cool/cold conditions over a broad swath of the CONUS. Furthermore, precipitation can be expected as strong surface cyclones develop along with their parent troughs. Guidance does show agreement that a minimum in precipitation is probable in parts of the Trans-Pecos extending into the Edwards Plateau and parts of the Rio Grande Valley. The driest and windiest conditions appear most likely to occur this coming Sunday as well as next Thursday, with lesser conditions possible on intervening days. Current fuel status would suggest low potential for critical fire weather in these areas. Additionally, there is the uncertainty of where and how much precipitation will occur. These areas will continue to be monitored as winds could be strong, but highlights will continue to be withheld at this time. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A progressive upper-level pattern is expected to continue through the end of next week and possibly into next weekend. Shortwave troughs are expected to move from the Southwest into the southern Plains and eventually the East both around Monday and again around next Friday as currently forecast. This overall pattern will favor cool/cold conditions over a broad swath of the CONUS. Furthermore, precipitation can be expected as strong surface cyclones develop along with their parent troughs. Guidance does show agreement that a minimum in precipitation is probable in parts of the Trans-Pecos extending into the Edwards Plateau and parts of the Rio Grande Valley. The driest and windiest conditions appear most likely to occur this coming Sunday as well as next Thursday, with lesser conditions possible on intervening days. Current fuel status would suggest low potential for critical fire weather in these areas. Additionally, there is the uncertainty of where and how much precipitation will occur. These areas will continue to be monitored as winds could be strong, but highlights will continue to be withheld at this time. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A progressive upper-level pattern is expected to continue through the end of next week and possibly into next weekend. Shortwave troughs are expected to move from the Southwest into the southern Plains and eventually the East both around Monday and again around next Friday as currently forecast. This overall pattern will favor cool/cold conditions over a broad swath of the CONUS. Furthermore, precipitation can be expected as strong surface cyclones develop along with their parent troughs. Guidance does show agreement that a minimum in precipitation is probable in parts of the Trans-Pecos extending into the Edwards Plateau and parts of the Rio Grande Valley. The driest and windiest conditions appear most likely to occur this coming Sunday as well as next Thursday, with lesser conditions possible on intervening days. Current fuel status would suggest low potential for critical fire weather in these areas. Additionally, there is the uncertainty of where and how much precipitation will occur. These areas will continue to be monitored as winds could be strong, but highlights will continue to be withheld at this time. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A progressive upper-level pattern is expected to continue through the end of next week and possibly into next weekend. Shortwave troughs are expected to move from the Southwest into the southern Plains and eventually the East both around Monday and again around next Friday as currently forecast. This overall pattern will favor cool/cold conditions over a broad swath of the CONUS. Furthermore, precipitation can be expected as strong surface cyclones develop along with their parent troughs. Guidance does show agreement that a minimum in precipitation is probable in parts of the Trans-Pecos extending into the Edwards Plateau and parts of the Rio Grande Valley. The driest and windiest conditions appear most likely to occur this coming Sunday as well as next Thursday, with lesser conditions possible on intervening days. Current fuel status would suggest low potential for critical fire weather in these areas. Additionally, there is the uncertainty of where and how much precipitation will occur. These areas will continue to be monitored as winds could be strong, but highlights will continue to be withheld at this time. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0254 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A progressive upper-level pattern is expected to continue through the end of next week and possibly into next weekend. Shortwave troughs are expected to move from the Southwest into the southern Plains and eventually the East both around Monday and again around next Friday as currently forecast. This overall pattern will favor cool/cold conditions over a broad swath of the CONUS. Furthermore, precipitation can be expected as strong surface cyclones develop along with their parent troughs. Guidance does show agreement that a minimum in precipitation is probable in parts of the Trans-Pecos extending into the Edwards Plateau and parts of the Rio Grande Valley. The driest and windiest conditions appear most likely to occur this coming Sunday as well as next Thursday, with lesser conditions possible on intervening days. Current fuel status would suggest low potential for critical fire weather in these areas. Additionally, there is the uncertainty of where and how much precipitation will occur. These areas will continue to be monitored as winds could be strong, but highlights will continue to be withheld at this time. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF THE LA/MS/AL/FL GULF COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur along the Gulf Coast this afternoon through tonight, including coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. ...20Z Update... The Marginal Risk and general thunderstorm areas have been trimmed from the west across parts of the TX and LA Gulf Coasts, to reflect the eastward advance of extensive convection extending from the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. Otherwise, no changes have been made. Substantial organized convection is expected to remain mostly over the Gulf of Mexico through tonight, with only very weak surface-based instability expected inland. However, some threat for a tornado or two and/or locally damaging wind could spread inland as stronger storms over the Gulf approach the coast. See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Dean.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Gulf Coast Region... Morning water vapory imagery shows a strong upper trough progressing eastward across TX/OK, with a 70-80 knot mid-level jet extending across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico. A surface low associated with this upper trough and jet is positioned just south of the Upper Texas coast, where a line of strong storms extends from the coast southward into the Gulf. Low-level trajectories have been slow to back to southerly, resulting in a limited northward transport of rich moisture/instability. Onshore thunderstorm activity is in an environment of surface dewpoints only in the 50s, and should remain elevated in nature through much of the afternoon. Visible satellite imagery shows multiple small cellular convective elements well offshore, tracking northeastward. With continued daytime heating, a few of these cells may organized/intensify and drift toward southern LA late this afternoon and evening. Shear profiles would pose a risk of supercells, but it remains unclear how far inland the risk of surface-based convection will spread. Any storms in this regime that are surface-based would represent a risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a tornado. A similar threat will persist overnight as the convective cluster moves eastward along the MS/AL/FL coast. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF THE LA/MS/AL/FL GULF COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur along the Gulf Coast this afternoon through tonight, including coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. ...20Z Update... The Marginal Risk and general thunderstorm areas have been trimmed from the west across parts of the TX and LA Gulf Coasts, to reflect the eastward advance of extensive convection extending from the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. Otherwise, no changes have been made. Substantial organized convection is expected to remain mostly over the Gulf of Mexico through tonight, with only very weak surface-based instability expected inland. However, some threat for a tornado or two and/or locally damaging wind could spread inland as stronger storms over the Gulf approach the coast. See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Dean.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Gulf Coast Region... Morning water vapory imagery shows a strong upper trough progressing eastward across TX/OK, with a 70-80 knot mid-level jet extending across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico. A surface low associated with this upper trough and jet is positioned just south of the Upper Texas coast, where a line of strong storms extends from the coast southward into the Gulf. Low-level trajectories have been slow to back to southerly, resulting in a limited northward transport of rich moisture/instability. Onshore thunderstorm activity is in an environment of surface dewpoints only in the 50s, and should remain elevated in nature through much of the afternoon. Visible satellite imagery shows multiple small cellular convective elements well offshore, tracking northeastward. With continued daytime heating, a few of these cells may organized/intensify and drift toward southern LA late this afternoon and evening. Shear profiles would pose a risk of supercells, but it remains unclear how far inland the risk of surface-based convection will spread. Any storms in this regime that are surface-based would represent a risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a tornado. A similar threat will persist overnight as the convective cluster moves eastward along the MS/AL/FL coast. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF THE LA/MS/AL/FL GULF COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur along the Gulf Coast this afternoon through tonight, including coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. ...20Z Update... The Marginal Risk and general thunderstorm areas have been trimmed from the west across parts of the TX and LA Gulf Coasts, to reflect the eastward advance of extensive convection extending from the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. Otherwise, no changes have been made. Substantial organized convection is expected to remain mostly over the Gulf of Mexico through tonight, with only very weak surface-based instability expected inland. However, some threat for a tornado or two and/or locally damaging wind could spread inland as stronger storms over the Gulf approach the coast. See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Dean.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Gulf Coast Region... Morning water vapory imagery shows a strong upper trough progressing eastward across TX/OK, with a 70-80 knot mid-level jet extending across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico. A surface low associated with this upper trough and jet is positioned just south of the Upper Texas coast, where a line of strong storms extends from the coast southward into the Gulf. Low-level trajectories have been slow to back to southerly, resulting in a limited northward transport of rich moisture/instability. Onshore thunderstorm activity is in an environment of surface dewpoints only in the 50s, and should remain elevated in nature through much of the afternoon. Visible satellite imagery shows multiple small cellular convective elements well offshore, tracking northeastward. With continued daytime heating, a few of these cells may organized/intensify and drift toward southern LA late this afternoon and evening. Shear profiles would pose a risk of supercells, but it remains unclear how far inland the risk of surface-based convection will spread. Any storms in this regime that are surface-based would represent a risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a tornado. A similar threat will persist overnight as the convective cluster moves eastward along the MS/AL/FL coast. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF THE LA/MS/AL/FL GULF COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur along the Gulf Coast this afternoon through tonight, including coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. ...20Z Update... The Marginal Risk and general thunderstorm areas have been trimmed from the west across parts of the TX and LA Gulf Coasts, to reflect the eastward advance of extensive convection extending from the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. Otherwise, no changes have been made. Substantial organized convection is expected to remain mostly over the Gulf of Mexico through tonight, with only very weak surface-based instability expected inland. However, some threat for a tornado or two and/or locally damaging wind could spread inland as stronger storms over the Gulf approach the coast. See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Dean.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Gulf Coast Region... Morning water vapory imagery shows a strong upper trough progressing eastward across TX/OK, with a 70-80 knot mid-level jet extending across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico. A surface low associated with this upper trough and jet is positioned just south of the Upper Texas coast, where a line of strong storms extends from the coast southward into the Gulf. Low-level trajectories have been slow to back to southerly, resulting in a limited northward transport of rich moisture/instability. Onshore thunderstorm activity is in an environment of surface dewpoints only in the 50s, and should remain elevated in nature through much of the afternoon. Visible satellite imagery shows multiple small cellular convective elements well offshore, tracking northeastward. With continued daytime heating, a few of these cells may organized/intensify and drift toward southern LA late this afternoon and evening. Shear profiles would pose a risk of supercells, but it remains unclear how far inland the risk of surface-based convection will spread. Any storms in this regime that are surface-based would represent a risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a tornado. A similar threat will persist overnight as the convective cluster moves eastward along the MS/AL/FL coast. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF THE LA/MS/AL/FL GULF COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur along the Gulf Coast this afternoon through tonight, including coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. ...20Z Update... The Marginal Risk and general thunderstorm areas have been trimmed from the west across parts of the TX and LA Gulf Coasts, to reflect the eastward advance of extensive convection extending from the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. Otherwise, no changes have been made. Substantial organized convection is expected to remain mostly over the Gulf of Mexico through tonight, with only very weak surface-based instability expected inland. However, some threat for a tornado or two and/or locally damaging wind could spread inland as stronger storms over the Gulf approach the coast. See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Dean.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Gulf Coast Region... Morning water vapory imagery shows a strong upper trough progressing eastward across TX/OK, with a 70-80 knot mid-level jet extending across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico. A surface low associated with this upper trough and jet is positioned just south of the Upper Texas coast, where a line of strong storms extends from the coast southward into the Gulf. Low-level trajectories have been slow to back to southerly, resulting in a limited northward transport of rich moisture/instability. Onshore thunderstorm activity is in an environment of surface dewpoints only in the 50s, and should remain elevated in nature through much of the afternoon. Visible satellite imagery shows multiple small cellular convective elements well offshore, tracking northeastward. With continued daytime heating, a few of these cells may organized/intensify and drift toward southern LA late this afternoon and evening. Shear profiles would pose a risk of supercells, but it remains unclear how far inland the risk of surface-based convection will spread. Any storms in this regime that are surface-based would represent a risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a tornado. A similar threat will persist overnight as the convective cluster moves eastward along the MS/AL/FL coast. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG PARTS OF THE LA/MS/AL/FL GULF COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms may occur along the Gulf Coast this afternoon through tonight, including coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. ...20Z Update... The Marginal Risk and general thunderstorm areas have been trimmed from the west across parts of the TX and LA Gulf Coasts, to reflect the eastward advance of extensive convection extending from the northwest Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. Otherwise, no changes have been made. Substantial organized convection is expected to remain mostly over the Gulf of Mexico through tonight, with only very weak surface-based instability expected inland. However, some threat for a tornado or two and/or locally damaging wind could spread inland as stronger storms over the Gulf approach the coast. See the previous discussion below for more information. ..Dean.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Gulf Coast Region... Morning water vapory imagery shows a strong upper trough progressing eastward across TX/OK, with a 70-80 knot mid-level jet extending across south TX into the western Gulf of Mexico. A surface low associated with this upper trough and jet is positioned just south of the Upper Texas coast, where a line of strong storms extends from the coast southward into the Gulf. Low-level trajectories have been slow to back to southerly, resulting in a limited northward transport of rich moisture/instability. Onshore thunderstorm activity is in an environment of surface dewpoints only in the 50s, and should remain elevated in nature through much of the afternoon. Visible satellite imagery shows multiple small cellular convective elements well offshore, tracking northeastward. With continued daytime heating, a few of these cells may organized/intensify and drift toward southern LA late this afternoon and evening. Shear profiles would pose a risk of supercells, but it remains unclear how far inland the risk of surface-based convection will spread. Any storms in this regime that are surface-based would represent a risk of gusty/damaging wind gusts or a tornado. A similar threat will persist overnight as the convective cluster moves eastward along the MS/AL/FL coast. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Active mid-level flow will continue over the CONUS into D2/Saturday as the eastern US shortwave trough continues to approaches the Atlantic Coast. The accompanying surface low is forecast to intensify through the forecast period, bringing widespread precipitation the Mid Atlantic and Northeast States. At the same time, a second trough will approach the Pacific coast as mid-level flow intensifies over the southern third of the CONUS. Widespread precipitation is forecast to develop over the West while a cool air mass resides over the central US. Outside of locally breezy winds across parts of the far southern Plains, dry and windy conditions are not expected to overlap with areas of dry fuels. Fire-weather concerns are low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Active mid-level flow will continue over the CONUS into D2/Saturday as the eastern US shortwave trough continues to approaches the Atlantic Coast. The accompanying surface low is forecast to intensify through the forecast period, bringing widespread precipitation the Mid Atlantic and Northeast States. At the same time, a second trough will approach the Pacific coast as mid-level flow intensifies over the southern third of the CONUS. Widespread precipitation is forecast to develop over the West while a cool air mass resides over the central US. Outside of locally breezy winds across parts of the far southern Plains, dry and windy conditions are not expected to overlap with areas of dry fuels. Fire-weather concerns are low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Active mid-level flow will continue over the CONUS into D2/Saturday as the eastern US shortwave trough continues to approaches the Atlantic Coast. The accompanying surface low is forecast to intensify through the forecast period, bringing widespread precipitation the Mid Atlantic and Northeast States. At the same time, a second trough will approach the Pacific coast as mid-level flow intensifies over the southern third of the CONUS. Widespread precipitation is forecast to develop over the West while a cool air mass resides over the central US. Outside of locally breezy winds across parts of the far southern Plains, dry and windy conditions are not expected to overlap with areas of dry fuels. Fire-weather concerns are low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CST Fri Jan 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes to the ongoing forecast. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0203 AM CST Fri Jan 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Active mid-level flow will continue over the CONUS into D2/Saturday as the eastern US shortwave trough continues to approaches the Atlantic Coast. The accompanying surface low is forecast to intensify through the forecast period, bringing widespread precipitation the Mid Atlantic and Northeast States. At the same time, a second trough will approach the Pacific coast as mid-level flow intensifies over the southern third of the CONUS. Widespread precipitation is forecast to develop over the West while a cool air mass resides over the central US. Outside of locally breezy winds across parts of the far southern Plains, dry and windy conditions are not expected to overlap with areas of dry fuels. Fire-weather concerns are low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more