SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC MD 1585

1 month 1 week ago
MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1585 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east-central Colorado Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489... Valid 062354Z - 070100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible along and east of the I-35 corridor in Colorado -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489. A local southward extension of the watch may be warranted. DISCUSSION...A couple organized clusters/supercells are tracking slowly southeastward along and east of the I-35 corridor in CO, with a recent report of 2-inch hail. VWP and mesoanalysis data show a long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of effective shear), which combined with steep deep-layer lapse rates, should support the maintenance of these storms with southeastward extent. Large hail and severe wind gusts are the primary concerns. It is possible that the southern supercell tracks south-southeastward out of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, and a local extension of the watch may be warranted here. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316 38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC023-039-063-065-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-070140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM LOGAN NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE NEC057-087-145-070140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO. ..SPC..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA NEC069-161-070340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARDEN SHERIDAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO. ..SPC..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA NEC069-161-070340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARDEN SHERIDAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO. ..SPC..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA NEC069-161-070340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARDEN SHERIDAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW DEN TO 35 NNW AKO TO 10 ENE BFF TO 35 NW TOR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125- 070140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-165-070140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL SIOUX Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW DEN TO 35 NNW AKO TO 10 ENE BFF TO 35 NW TOR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125- 070140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-165-070140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL SIOUX Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489

1 month 1 week ago
WW 489 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 061920Z - 070200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM MDT Sun Jul 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Nebraska Panhandle Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 800 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify through the afternoon off the foothills of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming. A few severe storms are expected, capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts through the early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Torrington WY to 50 miles south southeast of Limon CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

SPC MD 1584

1 month 1 week ago
MD 1584 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489...490... FOR NORTHEAST COLORADO...NORTHWEST KS...AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1584 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Northeast Colorado...northwest KS...and southwest Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489...490... Valid 062303Z - 070030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, 490 continues. SUMMARY...A focused/favorable corridor for large hail and severe wind gusts is evident over the central High Plains for the next few hours -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 489/490. DISCUSSION...An intense, nearly stationary supercell has evolved out of a cluster of storms over far northeastern CO. Farther west, a separate cluster of storms is showing signs of upscale growth. To the southeast of this activity, a gradually stalling outflow boundary is arcing northwestward from northwest KS into northeastern CO. This outflow boundary may provide a focused mesoscale corridor for the maintenance of the supercell (and additional nearby convection) with southeastward extent into this evening. Along this corridor, around 40 kt of effective shear (locally boosted/enhanced along the boundary) and moderate surface-based instability will favor large to very large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and severe wind gusts with any established supercells/clusters. Some upscale growth may also occur with time, as the western cluster may have a tendency of merging with the downstream storms/supercells -- posing an increasing risk of severe-wind gusts into this evening. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 39890262 40070379 40310432 40510443 41030408 41510398 41740355 41700294 41480238 40730187 39900146 39630170 39610203 39710228 39890262 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 1585

1 month 1 week ago
MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1585 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east-central Colorado Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489... Valid 062354Z - 070100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible along and east of the I-35 corridor in Colorado -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489. A local southward extension of the watch may be warranted. DISCUSSION...A couple organized clusters/supercells are tracking slowly southeastward along and east of the I-35 corridor in CO, with a recent report of 2-inch hail. VWP and mesoanalysis data show a long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of effective shear), which combined with steep deep-layer lapse rates, should support the maintenance of these storms with southeastward extent. Large hail and severe wind gusts are the primary concerns. It is possible that the southern supercell tracks south-southeastward out of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, and a local extension of the watch may be warranted here. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316 38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 1584

1 month 1 week ago
MD 1584 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489...490... FOR NORTHEAST COLORADO...NORTHWEST KS...AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1584 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Northeast Colorado...northwest KS...and southwest Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489...490... Valid 062303Z - 070030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, 490 continues. SUMMARY...A focused/favorable corridor for large hail and severe wind gusts is evident over the central High Plains for the next few hours -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 489/490. DISCUSSION...An intense, nearly stationary supercell has evolved out of a cluster of storms over far northeastern CO. Farther west, a separate cluster of storms is showing signs of upscale growth. To the southeast of this activity, a gradually stalling outflow boundary is arcing northwestward from northwest KS into northeastern CO. This outflow boundary may provide a focused mesoscale corridor for the maintenance of the supercell (and additional nearby convection) with southeastward extent into this evening. Along this corridor, around 40 kt of effective shear (locally boosted/enhanced along the boundary) and moderate surface-based instability will favor large to very large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and severe wind gusts with any established supercells/clusters. Some upscale growth may also occur with time, as the western cluster may have a tendency of merging with the downstream storms/supercells -- posing an increasing risk of severe-wind gusts into this evening. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 39890262 40070379 40310432 40510443 41030408 41510398 41740355 41700294 41480238 40730187 39900146 39630170 39610203 39710228 39890262 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 1583

1 month 1 week ago
MD 1583 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN KANSAS...NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND THE FAR EASTERN TX/OK PANHANDLES
Mesoscale Discussion 1583 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of southern Kansas...northern Oklahoma...and the far eastern TX/OK Panhandles Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 062154Z - 070000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Sporadic severe wind gusts and isolated large hail are possible with the stronger storms into this evening. A watch is not currently expected, though convective trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered outflow-dominant thunderstorms are evolving along a stalled surface boundary from southern KS into northern OK. Steep midlevel lapse rates atop a warm/moist boundary layer are yielding strong surface-based buoyancy ahead of these storms. While the environment is favorable for sporadic severe downbursts and isolated large hail, generally weak deep-layer flow/shear limits confidence in storm organization/longevity. Therefore, a watch is not currently expected, though convective trends are being monitored. ..Weinman/Gleason.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 38029696 38089627 37719574 37229576 36879632 35809946 35849996 36210018 36500025 36890010 37249965 38029696 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..07/06/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC023-039-063-065-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-070040- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM LOGAN NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE NEC057-087-145-070040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490

1 month 1 week ago
WW 490 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 062140Z - 070500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 490 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 440 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Kansas Far Southwest Nebraska * Effective this Sunday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms that have developed along an outflow boundary along the Kansas/Nebraska state line should continue to pose a threat for large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter this afternoon and evening as they spread slowly southward. A cluster of thunderstorms may eventually spread eastward out of Colorado later this evening, with a threat for mainly severe/damaging winds. If this scenario occurs, peak gusts could reach up to 65-75 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west of Goodland KS to 25 miles north northeast of Hill City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 489... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30025. ...Gleason Read more

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
838
ABPZ20 KNHC 062314
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jul 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Central East Pacific (EP96):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist in association with
an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system could
still become a short-lived tropical depression before it moves
westward into unfavorable environmental conditions on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles offshore of
southwestern Mexico late this week. Some gradual development of
this system is possible thereafter while it moves generally
west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NHC Webmaster

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1584 ..WEINMAN..07/06/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-123-125- 070040- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD YUMA NEC007-033-049-069-105-123-157-070040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL GARDEN KIMBALL MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF WYC015-021-031-070040- Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489

1 month 1 week ago
WW 489 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 061920Z - 070200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM MDT Sun Jul 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Nebraska Panhandle Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 800 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify through the afternoon off the foothills of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming. A few severe storms are expected, capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts through the early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Torrington WY to 50 miles south southeast of Limon CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z ...Day 3/Tuesday... A cut off low off in the northeast Pacific will begin to push northeastward into northern CA on Day 3/Tuesday, aided by an additional mid-level trough pushing into the Pacific Northwest. Enhanced downslope winds in conjunction with increasing mid-level flow and gap winds through the Columbia River Gorge will bring a fire weather threat to much of the Columbia River Basin Tuesday. Farther south, isolated dry thunderstorms with minimal rainfall will bring a threat of new fire starts over receptive fuels across central OR. Dry and breezy conditions will elevate fire weather concerns across southern NV and far western UT as well. ...Day 4/Wednesday... The northern CA low will advance into the Great Basin region Wednesday. A corridor of enhanced mid-level winds and daytime mixing within a deep/dry boundary layer will support breezy conditions across much of NV and portions of western UT elevating wildfire spread potential within dry fuels. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... A mid-level ridge will build over the Southwestern U.S. for the latter part of the week reintroducing above normal temperatures to much of the West by the weekend (Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday). Thunderstorm threat will largely be confined to southern Arizona and along and east of the Continental Divide as the ridge builds across the region. ..Williams.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z ...Day 3/Tuesday... A cut off low off in the northeast Pacific will begin to push northeastward into northern CA on Day 3/Tuesday, aided by an additional mid-level trough pushing into the Pacific Northwest. Enhanced downslope winds in conjunction with increasing mid-level flow and gap winds through the Columbia River Gorge will bring a fire weather threat to much of the Columbia River Basin Tuesday. Farther south, isolated dry thunderstorms with minimal rainfall will bring a threat of new fire starts over receptive fuels across central OR. Dry and breezy conditions will elevate fire weather concerns across southern NV and far western UT as well. ...Day 4/Wednesday... The northern CA low will advance into the Great Basin region Wednesday. A corridor of enhanced mid-level winds and daytime mixing within a deep/dry boundary layer will support breezy conditions across much of NV and portions of western UT elevating wildfire spread potential within dry fuels. ...Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday... A mid-level ridge will build over the Southwestern U.S. for the latter part of the week reintroducing above normal temperatures to much of the West by the weekend (Days 7-8/Saturday-Sunday). Thunderstorm threat will largely be confined to southern Arizona and along and east of the Continental Divide as the ridge builds across the region. ..Williams.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more