Aggregator

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0202 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0202 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 202 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 081150Z - 081900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 202 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 650 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Extreme eastern Kansas Western and central Missouri * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 650 AM until 200 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Initially elevated thunderstorms erupting near the KS/MO line will pose a threat for large to very large hail through midday as individual cells move northeastward to eastward. A portion of this activity may organize into an eastward- to southeastward-moving, upscale-growing cluster with increasing damaging-wind potential. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west southwest of Olathe KS to Vichy MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Edwards Read more

No watches are valid as of Wed May 8 11:17:02 UTC 2024.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed May 8 11:06:02 UTC 2024.

MD 0691 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 200... FOR ARKANSAS...FAR NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...FAR SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE
Mesoscale Discussion 0691 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0323 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Areas affected...Arkansas...Far Northwest Mississippi...Far Southwest Tennessee Concerning...Tornado Watch 200... Valid 080823Z - 081030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 200 continues. SUMMARY...A tornado and wind-damage threat may continue for a few more hours across WW 200. The threat may affect parts of far northwest Mississippi and far southwest Tennessee later this morning. A watch extension has been done to account for this possibility. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Little Rock, AR shows a cluster of strong thunderstorms located about 30 statute miles to the east of Little Rock. A supercell is embedded toward the eastern edge of the cluster. The RAP is analyzing moderate instability across eastern Arkansas, with MLCAPE generally ranging from 2000 to 2500 J/kg. This will help to maintain convective development as the cluster moves eastward over the next few hours. In addition, the Little Rock WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear near 45 knots, with 0-1 km storm-relative helicity just above 100 m2/s2. This should continue to support an isolated tornado threat with supercells. A wind-damage threat may also accompany any cells that remain organized. ..Broyles.. 05/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV... LAT...LON 34889181 34239304 33699333 33389241 33649130 34658993 35138935 35628917 35938947 35968998 35259116 34889181 Read more

WW 0200 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W PBF TO 20 NE LIT TO 30 ESE BVX TO 40 S CGI. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-031-035-037-077-085-093-095-107-111-117-123-147-081040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS WOODRUFF MSC033-137-143-081040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DESOTO TATE TUNICA MOC155-081040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0200 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W PBF TO 20 NE LIT TO 30 ESE BVX TO 40 S CGI. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-031-035-037-077-085-093-095-107-111-117-123-147-081040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS WOODRUFF MSC033-137-143-081040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DESOTO TATE TUNICA MOC155-081040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0200 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W PBF TO 20 NE LIT TO 30 ESE BVX TO 40 S CGI. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-031-035-037-077-085-093-095-107-111-117-123-147-081040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS WOODRUFF MSC033-137-143-081040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DESOTO TATE TUNICA MOC155-081040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0200 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W PBF TO 20 NE LIT TO 30 ESE BVX TO 40 S CGI. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 200 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC001-031-035-037-077-085-093-095-107-111-117-123-147-081040- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARKANSAS CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS WOODRUFF MSC033-137-143-081040- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DESOTO TATE TUNICA MOC155-081040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 200 TORNADO AR MO OK TN TX 080555Z - 081100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 200 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1255 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwestern, central and northeastern Arkansas Missouri Bootheel Extreme southeastern Oklahoma Northwestern Tennessee Extreme northeast Texas * Effective this Wednesday morning from 1255 AM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercells (including one already underway southwest of Little Rock) will post a threat for a couple tornadoes, as well as large to very large hail and isolated severe gusts, during the remainder of the overnight hours. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles southwest of De Queen AR to 65 miles east northeast of Jonesboro AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 198...WW 199... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Edwards Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW DYR TO 25 ESE PAH TO 25 NE BWG. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC035-047-075-083-105-141-157-213-219-221-227-081040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LOGAN MARSHALL SIMPSON TODD TRIGG WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW DYR TO 25 ESE PAH TO 25 NE BWG. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC035-047-075-083-105-141-157-213-219-221-227-081040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LOGAN MARSHALL SIMPSON TODD TRIGG WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW DYR TO 25 ESE PAH TO 25 NE BWG. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC035-047-075-083-105-141-157-213-219-221-227-081040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LOGAN MARSHALL SIMPSON TODD TRIGG WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW DYR TO 25 ESE PAH TO 25 NE BWG. ..BROYLES..05/08/24 ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 201 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC035-047-075-083-105-141-157-213-219-221-227-081040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN LOGAN MARSHALL SIMPSON TODD TRIGG WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 201 TORNADO IL KY MO 080655Z - 081100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 201 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 155 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Extreme southern Illinois Western and west-central Kentucky Extreme southeastern Missouri * Effective this Wednesday morning from 155 AM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A few more hours of severe-thunderstorm threat remains across this region in a favorable environment for damaging gusts and tornado potential, but messy storm modes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Paducah KY to 20 miles north northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado watch number 198. Watch number 198 will not be in effect after 155 AM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 199...WW 200... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Edwards Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential on Day 4/Saturday should remain rather limited across the CONUS, as a cold front continues southward over the FL Peninsula. Still, post-frontal low-level easterly flow should occur across parts of northern Mexico into south TX. With steep mid-level lapse rates and strong deep-layer shear present over this region, any thunderstorm that can form and move off the higher terrain of northern Mexico could some hail and gusty winds. Even so, the overall severe threat currently appears too limited/isolated to add a 15% severe area across south TX. From Day 5/Sunday into early next week, a weak upper trough/low should progress slowly eastward from the Southwest across the southern/central Plains, and eventually the MS Valley. Weak low-level mass response ahead of this feature should encourage a northward return of rich low-level moisture over parts of the southern Plains and lower MS Valley/Southeast. Some severe risk may exist each day across these regions. But, differences in evolution of the upper trough, along with uncertainty in how far inland the rich/moist low-level airmass will be able to advance, suggest predictability remains too low to include any severe areas. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential on Day 4/Saturday should remain rather limited across the CONUS, as a cold front continues southward over the FL Peninsula. Still, post-frontal low-level easterly flow should occur across parts of northern Mexico into south TX. With steep mid-level lapse rates and strong deep-layer shear present over this region, any thunderstorm that can form and move off the higher terrain of northern Mexico could some hail and gusty winds. Even so, the overall severe threat currently appears too limited/isolated to add a 15% severe area across south TX. From Day 5/Sunday into early next week, a weak upper trough/low should progress slowly eastward from the Southwest across the southern/central Plains, and eventually the MS Valley. Weak low-level mass response ahead of this feature should encourage a northward return of rich low-level moisture over parts of the southern Plains and lower MS Valley/Southeast. Some severe risk may exist each day across these regions. But, differences in evolution of the upper trough, along with uncertainty in how far inland the rich/moist low-level airmass will be able to advance, suggest predictability remains too low to include any severe areas. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential on Day 4/Saturday should remain rather limited across the CONUS, as a cold front continues southward over the FL Peninsula. Still, post-frontal low-level easterly flow should occur across parts of northern Mexico into south TX. With steep mid-level lapse rates and strong deep-layer shear present over this region, any thunderstorm that can form and move off the higher terrain of northern Mexico could some hail and gusty winds. Even so, the overall severe threat currently appears too limited/isolated to add a 15% severe area across south TX. From Day 5/Sunday into early next week, a weak upper trough/low should progress slowly eastward from the Southwest across the southern/central Plains, and eventually the MS Valley. Weak low-level mass response ahead of this feature should encourage a northward return of rich low-level moisture over parts of the southern Plains and lower MS Valley/Southeast. Some severe risk may exist each day across these regions. But, differences in evolution of the upper trough, along with uncertainty in how far inland the rich/moist low-level airmass will be able to advance, suggest predictability remains too low to include any severe areas. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential on Day 4/Saturday should remain rather limited across the CONUS, as a cold front continues southward over the FL Peninsula. Still, post-frontal low-level easterly flow should occur across parts of northern Mexico into south TX. With steep mid-level lapse rates and strong deep-layer shear present over this region, any thunderstorm that can form and move off the higher terrain of northern Mexico could some hail and gusty winds. Even so, the overall severe threat currently appears too limited/isolated to add a 15% severe area across south TX. From Day 5/Sunday into early next week, a weak upper trough/low should progress slowly eastward from the Southwest across the southern/central Plains, and eventually the MS Valley. Weak low-level mass response ahead of this feature should encourage a northward return of rich low-level moisture over parts of the southern Plains and lower MS Valley/Southeast. Some severe risk may exist each day across these regions. But, differences in evolution of the upper trough, along with uncertainty in how far inland the rich/moist low-level airmass will be able to advance, suggest predictability remains too low to include any severe areas. Read more