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WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LGC TO 20 NNE MCN TO 25 WSW AGS. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-021-033-079-125-153-163-169-171-199-207-225-231-285-289- 293-303-319-091740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BIBB BURKE CRAWFORD GLASCOCK HOUSTON JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR MERIWETHER MONROE PEACH PIKE TROUP TWIGGS UPSON WASHINGTON WILKINSON SCC009-011-027-075-091740- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAMBERG BARNWELL CLARENDON ORANGEBURG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LGC TO 20 NNE MCN TO 25 WSW AGS. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-021-033-079-125-153-163-169-171-199-207-225-231-285-289- 293-303-319-091740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BIBB BURKE CRAWFORD GLASCOCK HOUSTON JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR MERIWETHER MONROE PEACH PIKE TROUP TWIGGS UPSON WASHINGTON WILKINSON SCC009-011-027-075-091740- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAMBERG BARNWELL CLARENDON ORANGEBURG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LGC TO 20 NNE MCN TO 25 WSW AGS. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-021-033-079-125-153-163-169-171-199-207-225-231-285-289- 293-303-319-091740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BIBB BURKE CRAWFORD GLASCOCK HOUSTON JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR MERIWETHER MONROE PEACH PIKE TROUP TWIGGS UPSON WASHINGTON WILKINSON SCC009-011-027-075-091740- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAMBERG BARNWELL CLARENDON ORANGEBURG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LGC TO 20 NNE MCN TO 25 WSW AGS. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-021-033-079-125-153-163-169-171-199-207-225-231-285-289- 293-303-319-091740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BIBB BURKE CRAWFORD GLASCOCK HOUSTON JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR MERIWETHER MONROE PEACH PIKE TROUP TWIGGS UPSON WASHINGTON WILKINSON SCC009-011-027-075-091740- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAMBERG BARNWELL CLARENDON ORANGEBURG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LGC TO 20 NNE MCN TO 25 WSW AGS. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-021-033-079-125-153-163-169-171-199-207-225-231-285-289- 293-303-319-091740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BIBB BURKE CRAWFORD GLASCOCK HOUSTON JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR MERIWETHER MONROE PEACH PIKE TROUP TWIGGS UPSON WASHINGTON WILKINSON SCC009-011-027-075-091740- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAMBERG BARNWELL CLARENDON ORANGEBURG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 216 TORNADO GA NC TN 090945Z - 091700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 216 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 545 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and central Georgia Extreme western North Carolina Extreme southeastern Tennessee * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 545 AM until 100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...An organizing complex of severe thunderstorms is expected to move southeastward astride an outflow boundary from prior activity. This will focus a corridor of damaging-wind potential, with a few tornadoes and isolated severe hail possible through the rest of the morning. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles either side of a line from 45 miles north of Rome GA to 55 miles east northeast of Macon GA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 215... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 31035. ...Edwards Read more

WW 0217 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 217 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-007-011-015-017-021-027-029-037-047-051-065-073-081- 085-087-091-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-091740- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB BULLOCK CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DALLAS ELMORE HALE JEFFERSON LEE LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA GAC023-053-081-091-093-107-145-167-175-193-197-209-215-235-249- 259-261-263-269-271-279-283-307-309-315-091740- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLECKLEY CHATTAHOOCHEE CRISP DODGE DOOLY EMANUEL Read more

MD 0728 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 216...217... FOR CENTRAL/EASTERN SC...CENTRAL/SOUTH GA...SOUTHEAST AL
Mesoscale Discussion 0728 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Areas affected...central/eastern SC...central/south GA...southeast AL Concerning...Tornado Watch 216...217... Valid 091439Z - 091615Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 216, 217 continues. SUMMARY...Leading convective line across the Savannah Valley may necessitate an additional downstream watch issuance into the coastal plain of South Carolina and Georgia in the near-term. Greater severe potential is expected to evolve from upstream clusters and lines shifting east-southeast from eastern Alabama, with likely watch issuance into south Georgia. DISCUSSION...A leading line of storms across parts of the Savannah Valley into the SC Midlands has struggled to intensify with measured gusts holding below 30 mph. However, full boundary-layer heating is underway downstream to the coast. This coupled with a favorable low to deep-layer shear environment per CAE VWP data will support probable intensification of this line as it approaches the coastal plain through early afternoon. An increase in damaging wind potential, as well as brief embedded tornadoes may occur. More prominent severe potential should emanate out of initially semi-discrete supercells across parts of south AL spreading east of the Chattahoochee River into GA, as well as an organized linear cluster moving southeast from east-central AL. It appears likely that further upscale growth will occur into this afternoon, yielding a broader linear cluster/QLCS pushing southeast across much of central and south GA. ..Grams.. 05/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX... LAT...LON 34028110 33908025 33977974 33857919 33557909 33157926 31708116 31078167 30868350 30988488 31518587 32598617 33098591 33388499 33248352 33478229 34028110 Read more

WW 0218 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0218 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0216 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W ATL TO 40 E ATL TO 35 SSE AHN TO 30 N AGS. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC009-021-033-035-045-063-073-077-079-113-125-141-149-151-153- 159-163-169-171-189-199-207-225-231-237-245-255-285-289-293-301- 303-319-091640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN BIBB BURKE BUTTS CARROLL CLAYTON COLUMBIA COWETA CRAWFORD FAYETTE GLASCOCK HANCOCK HEARD HENRY HOUSTON JASPER JEFFERSON JONES LAMAR MCDUFFIE MERIWETHER MONROE PEACH PIKE PUTNAM RICHMOND SPALDING TROUP TWIGGS UPSON WARREN WASHINGTON WILKINSON SCC003-009-011-017-027-037-063-075-079-081-085-091640- SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0217 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 217 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..05/09/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 217 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-005-007-011-015-017-021-027-029-037-047-051-065-073-081- 085-087-091-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-091640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB BULLOCK CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DALLAS ELMORE HALE JEFFERSON LEE LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA GAC023-053-081-091-093-107-145-167-175-193-197-209-215-235-249- 259-261-263-269-271-279-283-307-309-315-091640- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLECKLEY CHATTAHOOCHEE CRISP DODGE DOOLY EMANUEL Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z An Elevated risk area is introduced to portions of southern NM into far southwest TX. 15 UTC surface observations show low morning RH values (in the teens to low 20s) across the region with around 15% RH observed in the residual layer of the 12 UTC EPZ sounding. RH values should fall into the single digits by late afternoon as southwest winds increase to 15-20 mph in the wake of a passing mid-level disturbance. Additionally, latest ensemble guidance has shown better agreement in at least a few hours of elevated fire weather conditions across southern NM/southwest TX where ERCs are in the 80-90th percentile. ..Moore.. 05/09/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1239 AM CDT Thu May 09 2024/ ...Synopsis... The elongated upper trough will evolve into a closed low over the Great Basin today. Farther east, the primary upper trough will move into parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. At the surface, a cold front will push south into the Southern Plains and cooler air will push up against the southern Rockies. Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Southwest. Winds outside of terrain-favored areas will reach 15-20 mph with RH falling to 10-20%. Fuels in Arizona still do not support a large fire threat. Fuels into New Mexico are drier, but the duration of any elevated conditions appears too limited to support highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more