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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHEAST KS...NORTHERN MO...WESTERN/CENTRAL IL... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening from parts of the central and southern Great Plains into the Midwest. Large to very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado or two are possible. ...Central/southern Great Plains into the Midwest... A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from northern MO into west-central IL. Strong buoyancy (MLCAPE greater than 2500 J/kg) and moderate west-northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercells within the ongoing cluster for a few hours this evening, with a threat of large to very large hail, severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Farther west, deep-layer shear is more marginal across the central Great Plains, but sufficient to support severe-storm potential in the presence of strong buoyancy. The strongest cells will remain capable of producing large hail this evening, though there may be some tendency for modest upscale growth, with a threat of severe gusts of 60-80 mph as convection moves through a very warm and well mixed environment. Between the two primary areas of convection, additional development remains possible along a front within a conditionally favorable environment from northeast KS into northwest MO. Any storms that can mature and develop in this region would also pose a threat of large to very large hail and severe gusts. ..Dean.. 06/14/2024 Read more

WW 0411 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 411 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-007-045-053-059-093-139-151-153-140140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BEAVER ELLIS GRANT HARPER MAJOR TEXAS WOODS WOODWARD TXC065-111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-375-393-421-140140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CARSON DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE OCHILTREE POTTER ROBERTS SHERMAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0410 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 410 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE SPD TO 40 NNE GCK TO 25 NNW RSL TO 30 WNW SLN TO 20 NNW MHK TO 30 WSW FNB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1254 ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 410 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-015-017-025-033-041-045-047-051-053-055-057-061-067- 069-077-079-081-083-095-097-111-113-115-119-127-135-139-145-149- 151-155-159-161-165-167-169-173-175-177-185-189-191-197- 140140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON BUTLER CHASE CLARK COMANCHE DICKINSON DOUGLAS EDWARDS ELLIS ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD GEARY GRANT GRAY HARPER HARVEY HASKELL HODGEMAN KINGMAN KIOWA LYON MCPHERSON MARION MEADE MORRIS NESS OSAGE PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE PRATT RENO RICE RILEY RUSH RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK SEWARD SHAWNEE STAFFORD Read more

WW 0408 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW MMO TO 5 NW SBN TO 10 S JXN. ..SPC..06/13/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC053-063-075-091-093-099-105-197-132340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KENDALL LA SALLE LIVINGSTON WILL INC007-017-033-039-049-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-111-113-127- 131-141-149-151-169-181-183-132340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN WABASH WHITE WHITLEY Read more

WW 0408 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW MMO TO 5 NW SBN TO 10 S JXN. ..SPC..06/13/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC053-063-075-091-093-099-105-197-132340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KENDALL LA SALLE LIVINGSTON WILL INC007-017-033-039-049-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-111-113-127- 131-141-149-151-169-181-183-132340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN WABASH WHITE WHITLEY Read more

WW 0408 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW MMO TO 5 NW SBN TO 10 S JXN. ..SPC..06/13/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC053-063-075-091-093-099-105-197-132340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KENDALL LA SALLE LIVINGSTON WILL INC007-017-033-039-049-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-111-113-127- 131-141-149-151-169-181-183-132340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN WABASH WHITE WHITLEY Read more

WW 0408 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW MMO TO 5 NW SBN TO 10 S JXN. ..SPC..06/13/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC053-063-075-091-093-099-105-197-132340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KENDALL LA SALLE LIVINGSTON WILL INC007-017-033-039-049-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-111-113-127- 131-141-149-151-169-181-183-132340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN WABASH WHITE WHITLEY Read more

WW 0408 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW MMO TO 5 NW SBN TO 10 S JXN. ..SPC..06/13/24 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 408 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC053-063-075-091-093-099-105-197-132340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KENDALL LA SALLE LIVINGSTON WILL INC007-017-033-039-049-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-111-113-127- 131-141-149-151-169-181-183-132340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON JASPER KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE STEUBEN WABASH WHITE WHITLEY Read more

WW 408 SEVERE TSTM IL IN MI OH LM 131850Z - 140100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 408 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 150 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Illinois Northern Indiana Southern and Central Lower Michigan Far Northwest Ohio Lake Michigan * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue increasing in coverage this afternoon while posing a threat for large hail around 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter. Severe/damaging winds of 60-70 mph may also occur as convection moves east-southeastward and potentially grows into one or more small clusters through the afternoon and early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles west southwest of Marseilles IL to 10 miles north of Jackson MI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29030. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0409 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 409 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SPC..06/13/24 ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...LSX...ILX...EAX...TOP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 409 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-011-017-039-057-067-071-073-095-107-109-113-123-125- 129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175-179-187-195-203- 132340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN BUREAU CASS DE WITT FULTON HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY KNOX LOGAN MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MARSHALL MASON MENARD MERCER MORGAN PEORIA PIKE PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT STARK TAZEWELL WARREN WHITESIDE WOODFORD IAC003-007-039-051-053-057-071-087-101-107-111-115-117-121-123- 125-135-139-145-159-163-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-132340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS APPANOOSE CLARKE Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Jun 13 23:45:10 UTC 2024.

MD 1252 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 409... FOR PARTS OF THE MIDWEST
Mesoscale Discussion 1252 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0518 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Areas affected...Parts of the Midwest Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 409... Valid 132218Z - 132345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 409 continues. SUMMARY...Cluster of severe thunderstorms will propagate across southeast Iowa/northeast Missouri into western Illinois. Very large hail, possibly in excess of 2 inches, can be expected with this activity. DISCUSSION...An expanding cluster of severe thunderstorms has developed over southeast IA/northeast MO early this evening. This activity is evolving along a wind shift that extends from western IL/southeast IA/northwest MO. Latest diagnostic data suggests this convection is evolving within an air mass characterized by 3000 J/kg MLCAPE and adequately sheared for sustained rotating updrafts. Numerous reports of hail in excess of 2 inches have been received with this convection. With time this cluster should grow upscale and an MCS may ultimately evolve. Severe winds may become more common if/when the MCS matures. Subsequent movement is expected across western into central IL. ..Darrow.. 06/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX... LAT...LON 40808968 39769020 39869249 40509289 41089134 40808968 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132316
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest
of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible this weekend and
early next week while the system moves slowly east-southeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch