Aggregator

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN KANSAS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO WESTERN IOWA...AND FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible Saturday from the Mid Missouri Valley into parts of Wisconsin, and from eastern Montana into parts of the western Dakotas. Wind and hail will be the primary concerns. ...Synopsis... A mean upper ridge will exist over the Southeast CONUS on Saturday, with a broad but strong upper trough from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies/Plains. Between these large-scale features, embedded disturbances associated with ongoing storms will affect parts of the Mid MS Valley during the day, moving toward the Upper Great Lakes by Sunday morning. At the surface, a cold front will push east across MT and WY and into the western Dakotas, providing a focus for afternoon/evening storms. South of this area, a warm front will lift across MO, IA, and eastern NE, with upper 60s F dewpoints likely along this boundary. The stronger instability in this region may favor large hail, areas of wind damage or a brief tornado. Isolated storms capable of locally gusts winds or marginal hail may extend as far south as western TX within the diurnal surface trough. ...Mid Missouri Valley northeastward into WI... Areas of thunderstorms appear probable early on Saturday from parts of SD into northern MO, in a zone of low-level warm advection and in association with the midlevel, convectively enhanced shortwave trough. The severe risk with this activity will be low, with perhaps small hail or gusty winds and likely weakening trend in this regime. This progressive wave will help push the warm front northward into IA through 00Z and into southern MN and western WI late. Just behind this wave, a plume of steep low-level lapse rates is forecast across KS, nosing into southeast NE and perhaps southwest IA by 00Z. The result may be a small-scale area of favorable instability and shear where the warmer air interacts with the warm front, and isolated supercells cannot be ruled out by late afternoon and into the evening from eastern NE into IA. Marginal, elevated hail may extend northeastward into MN/WI overnight with the aid of a 50 kt low-level jet. ...Northern High Plains... Strong height falls and a cold front will arrive into eastern MT during the late afternoon, supporting scattered storms. Lengthening hodographs along with the favorable large-scale lift should favor a zone of concentrated strong to severe storms by early evening from northeast MT into western ND. Cells capable of hail may occur initially, with increasing linear mode into bows with wind potential as the cold front surges late. ..Jewell.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN KANSAS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO WESTERN IOWA...AND FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible Saturday from the Mid Missouri Valley into parts of Wisconsin, and from eastern Montana into parts of the western Dakotas. Wind and hail will be the primary concerns. ...Synopsis... A mean upper ridge will exist over the Southeast CONUS on Saturday, with a broad but strong upper trough from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies/Plains. Between these large-scale features, embedded disturbances associated with ongoing storms will affect parts of the Mid MS Valley during the day, moving toward the Upper Great Lakes by Sunday morning. At the surface, a cold front will push east across MT and WY and into the western Dakotas, providing a focus for afternoon/evening storms. South of this area, a warm front will lift across MO, IA, and eastern NE, with upper 60s F dewpoints likely along this boundary. The stronger instability in this region may favor large hail, areas of wind damage or a brief tornado. Isolated storms capable of locally gusts winds or marginal hail may extend as far south as western TX within the diurnal surface trough. ...Mid Missouri Valley northeastward into WI... Areas of thunderstorms appear probable early on Saturday from parts of SD into northern MO, in a zone of low-level warm advection and in association with the midlevel, convectively enhanced shortwave trough. The severe risk with this activity will be low, with perhaps small hail or gusty winds and likely weakening trend in this regime. This progressive wave will help push the warm front northward into IA through 00Z and into southern MN and western WI late. Just behind this wave, a plume of steep low-level lapse rates is forecast across KS, nosing into southeast NE and perhaps southwest IA by 00Z. The result may be a small-scale area of favorable instability and shear where the warmer air interacts with the warm front, and isolated supercells cannot be ruled out by late afternoon and into the evening from eastern NE into IA. Marginal, elevated hail may extend northeastward into MN/WI overnight with the aid of a 50 kt low-level jet. ...Northern High Plains... Strong height falls and a cold front will arrive into eastern MT during the late afternoon, supporting scattered storms. Lengthening hodographs along with the favorable large-scale lift should favor a zone of concentrated strong to severe storms by early evening from northeast MT into western ND. Cells capable of hail may occur initially, with increasing linear mode into bows with wind potential as the cold front surges late. ..Jewell.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN KANSAS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO WESTERN IOWA...AND FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible Saturday from the Mid Missouri Valley into parts of Wisconsin, and from eastern Montana into parts of the western Dakotas. Wind and hail will be the primary concerns. ...Synopsis... A mean upper ridge will exist over the Southeast CONUS on Saturday, with a broad but strong upper trough from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies/Plains. Between these large-scale features, embedded disturbances associated with ongoing storms will affect parts of the Mid MS Valley during the day, moving toward the Upper Great Lakes by Sunday morning. At the surface, a cold front will push east across MT and WY and into the western Dakotas, providing a focus for afternoon/evening storms. South of this area, a warm front will lift across MO, IA, and eastern NE, with upper 60s F dewpoints likely along this boundary. The stronger instability in this region may favor large hail, areas of wind damage or a brief tornado. Isolated storms capable of locally gusts winds or marginal hail may extend as far south as western TX within the diurnal surface trough. ...Mid Missouri Valley northeastward into WI... Areas of thunderstorms appear probable early on Saturday from parts of SD into northern MO, in a zone of low-level warm advection and in association with the midlevel, convectively enhanced shortwave trough. The severe risk with this activity will be low, with perhaps small hail or gusty winds and likely weakening trend in this regime. This progressive wave will help push the warm front northward into IA through 00Z and into southern MN and western WI late. Just behind this wave, a plume of steep low-level lapse rates is forecast across KS, nosing into southeast NE and perhaps southwest IA by 00Z. The result may be a small-scale area of favorable instability and shear where the warmer air interacts with the warm front, and isolated supercells cannot be ruled out by late afternoon and into the evening from eastern NE into IA. Marginal, elevated hail may extend northeastward into MN/WI overnight with the aid of a 50 kt low-level jet. ...Northern High Plains... Strong height falls and a cold front will arrive into eastern MT during the late afternoon, supporting scattered storms. Lengthening hodographs along with the favorable large-scale lift should favor a zone of concentrated strong to severe storms by early evening from northeast MT into western ND. Cells capable of hail may occur initially, with increasing linear mode into bows with wind potential as the cold front surges late. ..Jewell.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL NE/KS...CENTRAL/EASTERN PA AND NORTHERN MD INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms with large hail and wind gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible from mid afternoon through the evening along the Front Range to the central Great Plains. Scattered strong storms with sporadic damaging winds and isolated hail will be possible across the Northeast States during the afternoon to early evening. ...CO/KS/NE into the northern High Plains/northern Rockies... A mid/upper-level low over the Southwest is expected to eject northeastward as a shortwave trough later today, reaching the central/southern High Plains by late afternoon into the evening. In advance of this shortwave, an outflow-reinforced front may move slowly northward through the day. Low-level easterly flow will maintain a corridor of relatively rich low-level moisture along and north of the front, with strong heating/mixing expected south of the front, and also in closer proximity to the higher terrain. Scattered to widespread thunderstorm development is expected by mid/late afternoon across parts of CO/NM, as the shortwave trough approaches the region. Moderate buoyancy and marginally favorable deep-layer shear will support a hail threat with initial discrete storm development, along with some potential for a brief tornado or two. A tendency toward more of a cluster mode is expected with time, as storm coverage increases. As this occurs, isolated to widely scattered gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible, especially in areas where stronger pre-storm heating/mixing occurs. A loosely organized MCS could eventually evolve near/north of the surface boundary, which would result in some severe-wind potential spreading eastward across a larger portion of the central Plains later tonight. Farther north, moderate diurnal destabilization will be possible near/east of a weak surface low across the northern High Plains, with modest instability extending westward across parts of the northern Rockies. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible by late afternoon into the evening, with sufficient deep-layer shear to support a few stronger storms capable of producing isolated hail and strong/severe gusts. ...PA/OH into the Mid Atlantic and New England... A mid/upper-level trough will move across the Mid Atlantic and New England later today into tonight. Weak to moderate buoyancy will develop along/ahead of a cold front, with scattered thunderstorm development expected from PA into New England, and more isolated development possible farther south into parts of the central Appalachians and Mid Atlantic. Moderate deep-layer shear will support some storm organization, and few stronger clusters and/or marginal supercells will be possible, with an attendant threat of locally damaging wind and hail. The Slight Risk has been expanded into parts of southern ME and also across a larger portion of PA, based on latest guidance regarding greater storm coverage within a somewhat favorable environment. Rather strong deep-layer shear will extend westward into parts of Ohio, but storm coverage remains more uncertain into that area. ..Dean/Thornton.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL NE/KS...CENTRAL/EASTERN PA AND NORTHERN MD INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms with large hail and wind gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible from mid afternoon through the evening along the Front Range to the central Great Plains. Scattered strong storms with sporadic damaging winds and isolated hail will be possible across the Northeast States during the afternoon to early evening. ...CO/KS/NE into the northern High Plains/northern Rockies... A mid/upper-level low over the Southwest is expected to eject northeastward as a shortwave trough later today, reaching the central/southern High Plains by late afternoon into the evening. In advance of this shortwave, an outflow-reinforced front may move slowly northward through the day. Low-level easterly flow will maintain a corridor of relatively rich low-level moisture along and north of the front, with strong heating/mixing expected south of the front, and also in closer proximity to the higher terrain. Scattered to widespread thunderstorm development is expected by mid/late afternoon across parts of CO/NM, as the shortwave trough approaches the region. Moderate buoyancy and marginally favorable deep-layer shear will support a hail threat with initial discrete storm development, along with some potential for a brief tornado or two. A tendency toward more of a cluster mode is expected with time, as storm coverage increases. As this occurs, isolated to widely scattered gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible, especially in areas where stronger pre-storm heating/mixing occurs. A loosely organized MCS could eventually evolve near/north of the surface boundary, which would result in some severe-wind potential spreading eastward across a larger portion of the central Plains later tonight. Farther north, moderate diurnal destabilization will be possible near/east of a weak surface low across the northern High Plains, with modest instability extending westward across parts of the northern Rockies. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible by late afternoon into the evening, with sufficient deep-layer shear to support a few stronger storms capable of producing isolated hail and strong/severe gusts. ...PA/OH into the Mid Atlantic and New England... A mid/upper-level trough will move across the Mid Atlantic and New England later today into tonight. Weak to moderate buoyancy will develop along/ahead of a cold front, with scattered thunderstorm development expected from PA into New England, and more isolated development possible farther south into parts of the central Appalachians and Mid Atlantic. Moderate deep-layer shear will support some storm organization, and few stronger clusters and/or marginal supercells will be possible, with an attendant threat of locally damaging wind and hail. The Slight Risk has been expanded into parts of southern ME and also across a larger portion of PA, based on latest guidance regarding greater storm coverage within a somewhat favorable environment. Rather strong deep-layer shear will extend westward into parts of Ohio, but storm coverage remains more uncertain into that area. ..Dean/Thornton.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL NE/KS...CENTRAL/EASTERN PA AND NORTHERN MD INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms with large hail and wind gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible from mid afternoon through the evening along the Front Range to the central Great Plains. Scattered strong storms with sporadic damaging winds and isolated hail will be possible across the Northeast States during the afternoon to early evening. ...CO/KS/NE into the northern High Plains/northern Rockies... A mid/upper-level low over the Southwest is expected to eject northeastward as a shortwave trough later today, reaching the central/southern High Plains by late afternoon into the evening. In advance of this shortwave, an outflow-reinforced front may move slowly northward through the day. Low-level easterly flow will maintain a corridor of relatively rich low-level moisture along and north of the front, with strong heating/mixing expected south of the front, and also in closer proximity to the higher terrain. Scattered to widespread thunderstorm development is expected by mid/late afternoon across parts of CO/NM, as the shortwave trough approaches the region. Moderate buoyancy and marginally favorable deep-layer shear will support a hail threat with initial discrete storm development, along with some potential for a brief tornado or two. A tendency toward more of a cluster mode is expected with time, as storm coverage increases. As this occurs, isolated to widely scattered gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible, especially in areas where stronger pre-storm heating/mixing occurs. A loosely organized MCS could eventually evolve near/north of the surface boundary, which would result in some severe-wind potential spreading eastward across a larger portion of the central Plains later tonight. Farther north, moderate diurnal destabilization will be possible near/east of a weak surface low across the northern High Plains, with modest instability extending westward across parts of the northern Rockies. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible by late afternoon into the evening, with sufficient deep-layer shear to support a few stronger storms capable of producing isolated hail and strong/severe gusts. ...PA/OH into the Mid Atlantic and New England... A mid/upper-level trough will move across the Mid Atlantic and New England later today into tonight. Weak to moderate buoyancy will develop along/ahead of a cold front, with scattered thunderstorm development expected from PA into New England, and more isolated development possible farther south into parts of the central Appalachians and Mid Atlantic. Moderate deep-layer shear will support some storm organization, and few stronger clusters and/or marginal supercells will be possible, with an attendant threat of locally damaging wind and hail. The Slight Risk has been expanded into parts of southern ME and also across a larger portion of PA, based on latest guidance regarding greater storm coverage within a somewhat favorable environment. Rather strong deep-layer shear will extend westward into parts of Ohio, but storm coverage remains more uncertain into that area. ..Dean/Thornton.. 06/14/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN CO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL NE/KS...CENTRAL/EASTERN PA AND NORTHERN MD INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms with large hail and wind gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible from mid afternoon through the evening along the Front Range to the central Great Plains. Scattered strong storms with sporadic damaging winds and isolated hail will be possible across the Northeast States during the afternoon to early evening. ...CO/KS/NE into the northern High Plains/northern Rockies... A mid/upper-level low over the Southwest is expected to eject northeastward as a shortwave trough later today, reaching the central/southern High Plains by late afternoon into the evening. In advance of this shortwave, an outflow-reinforced front may move slowly northward through the day. Low-level easterly flow will maintain a corridor of relatively rich low-level moisture along and north of the front, with strong heating/mixing expected south of the front, and also in closer proximity to the higher terrain. Scattered to widespread thunderstorm development is expected by mid/late afternoon across parts of CO/NM, as the shortwave trough approaches the region. Moderate buoyancy and marginally favorable deep-layer shear will support a hail threat with initial discrete storm development, along with some potential for a brief tornado or two. A tendency toward more of a cluster mode is expected with time, as storm coverage increases. As this occurs, isolated to widely scattered gusts of 60-80 mph will be possible, especially in areas where stronger pre-storm heating/mixing occurs. A loosely organized MCS could eventually evolve near/north of the surface boundary, which would result in some severe-wind potential spreading eastward across a larger portion of the central Plains later tonight. Farther north, moderate diurnal destabilization will be possible near/east of a weak surface low across the northern High Plains, with modest instability extending westward across parts of the northern Rockies. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible by late afternoon into the evening, with sufficient deep-layer shear to support a few stronger storms capable of producing isolated hail and strong/severe gusts. ...PA/OH into the Mid Atlantic and New England... A mid/upper-level trough will move across the Mid Atlantic and New England later today into tonight. Weak to moderate buoyancy will develop along/ahead of a cold front, with scattered thunderstorm development expected from PA into New England, and more isolated development possible farther south into parts of the central Appalachians and Mid Atlantic. Moderate deep-layer shear will support some storm organization, and few stronger clusters and/or marginal supercells will be possible, with an attendant threat of locally damaging wind and hail. The Slight Risk has been expanded into parts of southern ME and also across a larger portion of PA, based on latest guidance regarding greater storm coverage within a somewhat favorable environment. Rather strong deep-layer shear will extend westward into parts of Ohio, but storm coverage remains more uncertain into that area. ..Dean/Thornton.. 06/14/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140510
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing limited shower and
thunderstorm activity. Some slow development is possible this
weekend and early next week while the system moves slowly
east-southeastward and interacts with a broader circulation that is
forecast to develop offshore of southern Mexico and Central
America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

MD 1256 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 412... FOR MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 1256 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1012 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Areas affected...Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 412... Valid 140312Z - 140445Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 412 continues. SUMMARY...Gusty winds and hail may accompany convection as it propagates south late this evening. DISCUSSION...Western flank of early-evening MCS lingers across western/central MO. Latest radar data continues to suggest hail near golf ball size, at times, in the strongest updrafts. Locally damaging winds and hail will continue to be observed with this convection as it propagates south over the next few hours. However, this activity is migrating through the primary instability axis and nocturnal cooling may lead to increasingly elevated updrafts. ..Darrow.. 06/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX... LAT...LON 39809445 38969119 37989122 38429324 39199498 39809445 Read more

WW 0412 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 412 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE CDJ TO 25 WSW STL. ..SPC..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 412 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC019-027-051-053-071-073-135-139-151-159-219-140440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CALLAWAY COLE COOPER FRANKLIN GASCONADE MONITEAU MONTGOMERY OSAGE PETTIS WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0412 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 412 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE CDJ TO 25 WSW STL. ..SPC..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 412 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC019-027-051-053-071-073-135-139-151-159-219-140440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CALLAWAY COLE COOPER FRANKLIN GASCONADE MONITEAU MONTGOMERY OSAGE PETTIS WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0412 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 412 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE CDJ TO 25 WSW STL. ..SPC..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 412 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC019-027-051-053-071-073-135-139-151-159-219-140440- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CALLAWAY COLE COOPER FRANKLIN GASCONADE MONITEAU MONTGOMERY OSAGE PETTIS WARREN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 412 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 140110Z - 140600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 412 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 810 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central Illinois Central and Eastern Missouri * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 810 PM until 100 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A broken linear cluster of thunderstorms will gradually move into the Watch area this evening. Some of the more intense thunderstorms will be capable of a risk for large to very large hail (1-2 inches in diameter) and severe gusts (60-75 mph). The severe risk may linger into portions of central and east-central Missouri into the early overnight hours. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west of Columbia MO to 10 miles north northeast of Mattoon IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 409...WW 410...WW 411... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 31025. ...Smith Read more

WW 0411 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AMA TO 10 ENE LBL. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-007-045-053-059-093-151-153-140340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BEAVER ELLIS GRANT HARPER MAJOR WOODS WOODWARD TXC211-295-357-393-140340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE ROBERTS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0411 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AMA TO 10 ENE LBL. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-007-045-053-059-093-151-153-140340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BEAVER ELLIS GRANT HARPER MAJOR WOODS WOODWARD TXC211-295-357-393-140340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE ROBERTS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0411 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AMA TO 10 ENE LBL. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-007-045-053-059-093-151-153-140340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BEAVER ELLIS GRANT HARPER MAJOR WOODS WOODWARD TXC211-295-357-393-140340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE ROBERTS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0411 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AMA TO 10 ENE LBL. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 411 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC003-007-045-053-059-093-151-153-140340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA BEAVER ELLIS GRANT HARPER MAJOR WOODS WOODWARD TXC211-295-357-393-140340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB OCHILTREE ROBERTS THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 411 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 132240Z - 140400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 411 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 540 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Oklahoma and the Panhandle Texas Panhandle * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 540 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...A few clusters of thunderstorms will likely evolve through the evening across the Watch area. Evaporatively cooled downdrafts with the stronger thunderstorm cores will pose a risk for severe outflow winds. Peak gusts with this thunderstorm activity will probably range between 60-75 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of Dalhart TX to 15 miles south of Alva OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 408...WW 409...WW 410... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 32020. ...Smith Read more

WW 0410 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 410 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE LBL TO 25 WNW P28 TO 15 E ICT TO 35 ENE EMP. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 410 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-015-033-045-077-139-177-191-140340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BUTLER COMANCHE DOUGLAS HARPER OSAGE SHAWNEE SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0410 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 410 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE LBL TO 25 WNW P28 TO 15 E ICT TO 35 ENE EMP. ..THORNTON..06/14/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 410 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-015-033-045-077-139-177-191-140340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BUTLER COMANCHE DOUGLAS HARPER OSAGE SHAWNEE SUMNER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more