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MD 1651 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510... FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
Mesoscale Discussion 1651 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0922 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Areas affected...eastern New Mexico into the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 510... Valid 120222Z - 120345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 510 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind threat is increasing within WW510. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms in eastern New Mexico have shown better organization along outflow over the last 20-30 minutes. In addition, cloud top cooling is noted on infrared satellite indicating some uptick in intensity. As this line advances into the Texas Panhandle, the damaging wind risk may increase over the next couple of hours. The downstream environment remains favorable unstable. The 00z RAOB from AMA shows steep low level lapse rates and ample MLCAPE. While diurnal heating has ended and MLCIN is increasing, this line segment will likely be able to maintain intensity for the next couple of hours as it tracks southeastward aided by modest south easterlies around 20-25 kts noted from KAMA. In addition, new development has occurred ahead of the main line of storms which may pose a risk for severe hail. Local expansion of WW510 may be needed into the OK/TX Panhandles. ..Thornton.. 07/12/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 35790107 35270114 35060136 34860168 34760253 34820342 34840365 35190442 35460460 35770473 35880457 36080407 36160351 36410309 36700279 36940285 37100284 37320247 37080188 36590136 36390125 36190112 35910104 35790107 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0510 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 510 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW LVS TO 40 SSW CAO TO 25 NNE EHA. ..THORNTON..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 510 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC071-120440- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LAS ANIMAS NMC009-011-019-037-041-120440- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY DE BACA GUADALUPE QUAY ROOSEVELT OKC025-120440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON Read more

WW 0509 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW LIC TO 35 NW IML TO 50 SW MHN. ..THORNTON..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC095-121-125-120440- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PHILLIPS WASHINGTON YUMA KSC023-039-153-120440- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS NEC029-057-063-085-087-101-111-135-145-120440- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHASE DUNDY FRONTIER HAYES HITCHCOCK KEITH LINCOLN PERKINS RED WILLOW Read more

MD 1650 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 509... FOR SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING...NORTHEASTERN COLORADO...WESTERN NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1650 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0832 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Areas affected...southeastern Wyoming...northeastern Colorado...western Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509... Valid 120132Z - 120300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for large hail and damaging wind continues in WW509. DISCUSSION...Outflow interactions from storms moving off of the high terrain has led to a steady increase in thunderstorm activity across northeastern Colorado into western Nebraska. Initial supercells have been efficient at producing 1-1.5 (occasionally 2") hail. As storms further congeal along outflow, the damaging wind risk may increase through the evening across eastern Colorado into northwest Kansas. Mode remains somewhat disorganized for now, with much of the activity north of the front. For now, more discrete convection will continue to pose a risk for large hail. ..Thornton.. 07/12/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 40850527 41460502 41570467 41680346 41690255 41620210 41430170 41350154 41130127 40210135 39730186 39670304 40090483 40100496 40850527 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0507 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W SZL TO 5 S IRK TO 40 SE BRL. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 507 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 12/03Z. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-149-120300- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN PIKE MOC007-019-041-053-089-101-103-111-121-127-137-159-163-173-175- 195-205-120300- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUDRAIN BOONE CHARITON COOPER HOWARD JOHNSON KNOX LEWIS MACON MARION MONROE PETTIS PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0507 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W SZL TO 5 S IRK TO 40 SE BRL. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 507 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 12/03Z. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-149-120300- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN PIKE MOC007-019-041-053-089-101-103-111-121-127-137-159-163-173-175- 195-205-120300- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUDRAIN BOONE CHARITON COOPER HOWARD JOHNSON KNOX LEWIS MACON MARION MONROE PETTIS PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0507 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W SZL TO 5 S IRK TO 40 SE BRL. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 507 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 12/03Z. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-149-120300- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN PIKE MOC007-019-041-053-089-101-103-111-121-127-137-159-163-173-175- 195-205-120300- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUDRAIN BOONE CHARITON COOPER HOWARD JOHNSON KNOX LEWIS MACON MARION MONROE PETTIS PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0507 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W SZL TO 5 S IRK TO 40 SE BRL. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 507 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 12/03Z. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-149-120300- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN PIKE MOC007-019-041-053-089-101-103-111-121-127-137-159-163-173-175- 195-205-120300- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUDRAIN BOONE CHARITON COOPER HOWARD JOHNSON KNOX LEWIS MACON MARION MONROE PETTIS PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 507 SEVERE TSTM IL KS MO 111920Z - 120300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 507 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 220 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far West-Central Illinois Extreme Northeast Kansas Northern Missouri * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage and intensity is forecast to increase from northeast KS across northern MO and into west-central IL this afternoon. Strong to extreme buoyancy is in place across the region, supporting the potential for robust updrafts. Vertical shear is weak, which could limit storm organization, but the intense updrafts and related water loading could result in numerous strong downbursts. A few instances of hail could occur as well, but warm temperatures should preclude a greater hail threat. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from Leavenworth KS to 35 miles east southeast of Quincy IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 505...WW 506... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Mosier Read more

WW 0509 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW DEN TO 35 S BFF TO 35 SE AIA. ..THORNTON..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC075-087-095-115-121-123-125-120340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD YUMA KSC023-039-153-120340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS NEC029-033-049-057-063-069-085-087-101-105-111-135-145-120340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHASE CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY FRONTIER GARDEN Read more

WW 0508 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MMO TO 35 WNW VPZ. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-120340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0508 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MMO TO 35 WNW VPZ. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-120340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0508 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MMO TO 35 WNW VPZ. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-120340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0508 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MMO TO 35 WNW VPZ. REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-120340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 508 TORNADO IL WI 112150Z - 120400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 508 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Illinois Southern Wisconsin * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 450 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A small but intense bow will move quickly eastward this evening while posing a threat for a few tornadoes and scattered to numerous severe/damaging winds. Peak gusts may reach up to 65-75 mph. Isolated large hail may also occur. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast of Madison WI to 55 miles south southeast of Rockford IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 505...WW 506...WW 507... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27045. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0510 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 510 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E SAF TO 35 SE RTN TO 40 E ALS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1651 ..THORNTON..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 510 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-071-120340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA LAS ANIMAS NMC009-011-019-021-037-041-047-059-120340- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CURRY DE BACA GUADALUPE HARDING QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL UNION OKC025-120340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0510 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 510 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 510 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-071-120240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA LAS ANIMAS NMC007-009-011-019-021-033-037-041-047-059-120240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLFAX CURRY DE BACA GUADALUPE HARDING MORA QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL UNION OKC025-120240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON Read more

WW 0509 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW FCL TO 40 SSE DGW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1650 ..THORNTON..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC075-087-095-115-121-123-125-120240- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD YUMA KSC023-039-153-120240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS NEC007-029-033-049-057-063-069-085-087-101-105-111-123-135-145- 120240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0507 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE OJC TO 10 NNW IRK. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 507 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-009-149-120240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BROWN PIKE MOC001-007-019-033-037-041-053-089-101-103-107-111-115-121-127- 137-159-163-173-175-195-205-120240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR AUDRAIN BOONE CARROLL CASS CHARITON COOPER HOWARD JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS LINN MACON MARION MONROE PETTIS PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0508 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW MMO TO 30 ESE RFD TO 20 WSW RAC TO 25 NW MKE. ..KERR..07/12/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-037-043-063-089-093-097-099-103-111-197-120240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK DE KALB DUPAGE GRUNDY KANE KENDALL LAKE LA SALLE LEE MCHENRY WILL WIC059-079-101-133-120240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENOSHA MILWAUKEE RACINE WAUKESHA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more