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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025/ ...Synopsis... High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday. Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should remain too localized to include areas with this outlook. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 1641 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/CENTRAL IA INTO NORTHERN MO...WESTERN IL...AND FAR SOUTHWEST WI
Mesoscale Discussion 1641 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Areas affected...Parts of southern/central IA into northern MO...western IL...and far southwest WI Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 111718Z - 111845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected later today, with a threat of a few tornadoes, scattered damaging wind, and hail. Watch issuance is likely. DISCUSSION...Elevated convection has been ongoing this morning across parts of central/eastern IA. This convection is helping to reinforce a baroclinic zone across southern IA and northern MO, with a surface low expected to move eastward along the baroclinic zone this afternoon. As a convectively enhanced shortwave trough (with multiple embedded vorticity maxima) moves across the region, surface-based storm development is expected this afternoon within the baroclinic zone and near the surface low. Relatively strong heating of a richly moist airmass will result in moderate to strong destabilization, with MLCAPE increasing into the 1500-3000 J/kg range. Effective shear of 30-40 kt will support some initial supercell potential, with a tendency for storm clustering possible with time. Favorably veering low-level wind profiles near the surface low and baroclinic zone could support tornado potential with any initial supercell development, along with some threat for damaging wind and hail. The damaging-wind threat may increase with time in association with any notable upscale growth. Watch issuance is likely this afternoon in order to cover these threats. ..Dean/Mosier.. 07/11/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX... OAX... LAT...LON 40079261 40129363 40139517 40379529 40819530 41199521 41569442 42409187 42859055 42808978 42428927 41798917 40538955 40049020 39989068 39979113 40039205 40079261 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

WW 0506 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0506 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0506 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0506 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more