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WW 0586 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 586 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW YKN TO 20 NNW FSD TO 20 SSE RWF. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 586 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC059-119-143-010540- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DICKINSON LYON OSCEOLA MNC033-063-101-105-133-010540- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY NOBLES ROCK SDC083-099-125-010540- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LINCOLN MINNEHAHA TURNER Read more

WW 0586 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 586 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW YKN TO 20 NNW FSD TO 20 SSE RWF. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 586 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC059-119-143-010540- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DICKINSON LYON OSCEOLA MNC033-063-101-105-133-010540- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY NOBLES ROCK SDC083-099-125-010540- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LINCOLN MINNEHAHA TURNER Read more

WW 586 SEVERE TSTM IA MN SD 010020Z - 010500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 586 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 720 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Iowa Southwest Minnesota Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Wednesday night from 720 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Several discrete storms and clusters of thunderstorms are forecast to continue to intensify this evening. Severe gusts (60-75) are possible with the stronger outflow surges. A tornado is possible, especially early this evening. Large hail may accompany the stronger updrafts. Some consolidation into a linear cluster is forecast later this evening into parts of the southwest Minnesota vicinity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest of Mitchell SD to 30 miles northeast of Worthington MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 582...WW 583...WW 584...WW 585... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29015. ...Smith Read more

WW 0587 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 587 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOP TO 25 NNE MKC TO 25 SSW LWD. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 587 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC091-103-107-121-209-010540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LINN MIAMI WYANDOTTE MOC001-013-015-025-033-037-041-047-053-061-079-083-089-095-101- 107-115-117-121-141-159-175-177-185-195-197-211-010540- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR BATES BENTON CALDWELL CARROLL CASS CHARITON CLAY COOPER DAVIESS GRUNDY HENRY HOWARD JACKSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN LIVINGSTON MACON MORGAN PETTIS RANDOLPH RAY ST. CLAIR SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN Read more

MD 1779 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 585...586... FOR FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTHERN IOWA...FAR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...FAR SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN
Mesoscale Discussion 1779 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0855 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Areas affected...Far Southeast South Dakota...Northern Iowa...Far Southern Minnesota...Far Southwest Wisconsin Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585...586... Valid 010155Z - 010400Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 585, 586 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat is likely to continue across WW 585 and WW 586 over the next few hours, and may expand to areas south of the watches. If this occurs, a new watch may be considered. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows an MCS from eastern South Dakota into southwest Minnesota, with additional storms located in southeast Minnesota. Associated with the MCS, scattered severe storms are ongoing, mainly to the north of Sioux Falls. A pocket of extreme instability is located near Sioux Falls, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in the 4000 to 5000 J/kg range. The storms are located along an east-to-west instability gradient, with surface dewpoints in the 70s F from the gradient southward. Short-term model forecasts suggest that storm coverage will gradually increase southward into the moist airmass over the next 2 to 3 hours. In addition to the moisture and instability, RAP analysis has moderate deep-layer shear and steep mid-level lapse rates in place. This will support continued organized storm development, with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. As the large cluster in eastern South Dakota moves east-southeastward across southern Minnesota and northern Iowa, cold pool development will be possible. Under this scenario, the potential for severe wind gusts would increase. ..Broyles.. 08/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MKX...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD... LAT...LON 43769040 44019114 44189221 44429413 44499558 44459662 44259706 44019740 43629752 43229733 42959690 42709612 42629496 42819134 43149021 43459002 43769040 Read more

MD 1780 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 1780 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0917 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Areas affected...Portions of northeastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 010217Z - 010345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued for portions of northeastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri in the near-term. Severe storms capable of producing damaging winds will continue eastward into the area. DISCUSSION...An MCS is tracking eastward across northeastern KS at around 40 kt. These storms and related outflow have recently produced 60-70 mph wind gusts, and VWP data from KTWX recently sampled a 53 kt rear-inflow jet. Despite these storms being slightly behind the leading edge of a large outflow boundary extending across the area, extreme surface-based buoyancy (see TOP 00Z sounding) and 30 to 40 kt of deep-layer shear oblique to the line will favor continued organization and intensity with eastward extent into northwestern MO. The primary concern is 70-80 mph wind gusts. A watch will likely be issued in the near-term parts of the area. ..Weinman/Smith.. 08/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38409536 39219552 39939531 40049501 40069432 39999348 39709317 38709328 38259377 38159452 38199520 38409536 Read more

MD 1778 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 584... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL IOWA INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 1778 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0842 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Areas affected...Portions of southern and central Iowa into far north-central Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584... Valid 010142Z - 010315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584 continues. SUMMARY...The severe-wind risk continues with an eastward-moving MCS across portions of central and southern Iowa into far north-central Missouri. DISCUSSION...Latest radar data from KDMX shows a bowing MCS tracking eastward at 35 kt across parts of central/southern IA and north-central MO as of 0140Z. This MCS has been producing 60-70 mph wind gusts. Very moist east-southeasterly inflow (middle/upper 70s dewpoints) and around 35 kt of gust-front-orthogonal effective shear should support the maintenance of this MCS as it continues eastward across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584. The primary concern is severe gusts upwards of 65-75 mph. Downstream of the watch, inhibition gradually increases with eastward extent per earlier visible satellite imagery, surface observations, and the DVN 00Z observed sounding. This may yield an eventual decrease in intensity/organization, though convective trends will be monitored. ..Weinman.. 08/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX... LAT...LON 41879405 42079431 42179425 42289368 42259273 42099219 41789196 41419191 40979199 40449249 40119337 40099414 40199425 40649381 40959364 41489372 41879405 Read more

WW 0586 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 586 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 586 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC059-119-143-010340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DICKINSON LYON OSCEOLA MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-010340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN LYON MURRAY NOBLES PIPESTONE ROCK SDC009-011-023-035-043-053-061-067-079-083-087-097-099-101-125- 135-010340- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BON HOMME BROOKINGS CHARLES MIX DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY Read more

WW 0586 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 586 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 586 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC059-119-143-010340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DICKINSON LYON OSCEOLA MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-010340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN LYON MURRAY NOBLES PIPESTONE ROCK SDC009-011-023-035-043-053-061-067-079-083-087-097-099-101-125- 135-010340- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BON HOMME BROOKINGS CHARLES MIX DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY Read more

WW 0585 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 585 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N OTG TO 20 E RWF TO 20 SSW STC. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC013-015-019-037-039-043-045-047-049-055-079-085-091-099-103- 109-131-139-143-147-157-161-165-169-010340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE HOUSTON LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED RICE SCOTT SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA WASECA WATONWAN WINONA WIC011-121-010340- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0585 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 585 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N OTG TO 20 E RWF TO 20 SSW STC. ..BROYLES..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...ABR...MPX...ARX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 585 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC013-015-019-037-039-043-045-047-049-055-079-085-091-099-103- 109-131-139-143-147-157-161-165-169-010340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE HOUSTON LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED RICE SCOTT SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA WASECA WATONWAN WINONA WIC011-121-010340- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUFFALO TREMPEALEAU THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 01 Aug 2024 02:44:47 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 01 Aug 2024 03:22:57 GMT

Issued at 800 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2024 400 WTPZ43 KNHC 010242 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Carlotta Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032024 800 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2024 Carlotta continues to show signs of organization this evening. Geostationary satellite imagery has shown regular bursts of deep convection with cloud top temperatures below -80 degrees C near the center of the storm. Microwave satellite imagery from AMSR2 also revealed decent structure of the low-level center. Dvorak satellite estimates from TAFB and SAB agree Carlotta's intensity is 45 kt, and the initial intensity has been increased to match these estimates. The storm is moving west-northwestward at about 10 kt. Carlotta is expected to gradually turn more westward in about a day or so as a ridge builds over the southwestern United States. By Sunday, the storm is expected to turn back to the west-northwest and slow as it reaches a weakness in the ridge. The latest official track forecast has once again shifted slightly north from the previous forecast and has a slightly quicker along-track speed. Signs are pointing towards Carlotta rapidly intensifying over the next day or so. The storm is moving over warm waters, and the environmental shear is expected to remain weak. Statistical model guidance indices show between a 30 to 40 percent chance of rapid intensification (RI) in the next 24 h. This model guidance, paired with the latest structural information provided by satellite imagery, are the basis for now explicitly forecasting RI in the next 24 h. This period of RI could be interrupted in a day or so by an increase in vertical wind shear, though the global models differ in evolution of upper-level winds, making the intensity forecast somewhat uncertain. The latest intensity forecast lies close to the corrected consensus aid, HCCA, and the peak has been increased to 90 kt at 60 hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 16.6N 108.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 01/1200Z 17.2N 110.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 02/0000Z 17.7N 112.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 02/1200Z 18.0N 114.7W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 03/0000Z 18.0N 116.9W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 03/1200Z 18.0N 118.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 04/0000Z 18.1N 120.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 96H 05/0000Z 18.7N 122.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 06/0000Z 19.4N 124.8W 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Bucci

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 01 2024 420 FOPZ13 KNHC 010241 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024 0300 UTC THU AUG 01 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 14(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ISLA CLARION 34 X 3( 3) 81(84) 8(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 56(56) 12(68) X(68) 1(69) X(69) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 29(29) 9(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) 15N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) 10(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) X(16) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 43(50) 5(55) 1(56) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) X(16) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 17(45) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI

Issued at 800 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2024 395 WTPZ33 KNHC 010241 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032024 800 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2024 ...CARLOTTA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 108.9W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 108.9 West. Carlotta is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so followed by a turn to the west by Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Carlotta is now anticipated to become a hurricane by Thursday evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are expected to affect the coasts of west-central mainland Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula beginning Thursday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci

...CARLOTTA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY... As of 8:00 PM MST Wed Jul 31 the center of Carlotta was located near 16.6, -108.9 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 01 2024 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 010240 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024 0300 UTC THU AUG 01 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.9W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 108.9W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.4W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.2N 110.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.7N 112.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N 114.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 116.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 118.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N 120.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.7N 122.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.4N 124.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 108.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI

WW 0587 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0587 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0587 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0587 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0584 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 584 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW STJ TO 35 ENE LWD TO 20 ENE DSM TO 20 ESE FOD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1778 ..WEINMAN..08/01/24 ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 584 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC007-051-053-099-117-123-125-127-135-157-169-171-179-185- 010340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPANOOSE DAVIS DECATUR JASPER LUCAS MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL MONROE POWESHIEK STORY TAMA WAPELLO WAYNE MOC075-081-129-171-227-010340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GENTRY HARRISON MERCER PUTNAM WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more