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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...AND FROM PARTS OF MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds will be possible across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States on Sunday. Hail and damaging winds may also occur from eastern Montana into western North Dakota. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will proceed eastward from the upper Great Lakes into the Northeast, with a primary midlevel speed max sweeping across northern New England during the day. Behind this initial feature, a positive tile wave will push southeastward toward the Mid Atlantic, with most of the height falls occurring late. A surface low will likely be over Maine, with a trough/wind shift extending southwestward across eastern PA/NJ, VA/Delmarva, and into the Carolinas. Behind that trough, high pressure will be centered over the upper MS valley, with an east-west oriented boundary sinking south across the OH/TN Valleys, becoming stationary over the central Plains. Southeast surface winds will maintain moisture into the central and northern High Plains, in advance of a shortwave trough moving across the Great Basin and northern Rockies. This system will induce low pressure over southern MT into northern WY, with increasing ascent into that area late in the day. ...Much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic... The initial midlevel wave will move across NY and into northern New England, providing strong mid and high level wind fields/shear. Instability by midday over this area will gradually increase, with an environment favoring a few supercells developing across northern New England. Hail and perhaps a couple tornadoes will be possible near the surface low into Maine and where the air mass can recover sufficiently from the southwest. Farther south, scattered rain and storms will be ongoing along the length of the front early in the day across PA/WV/KY, with the primary ramp up in intensity occurring after 18Z and as the convection crosses int MD/VA. At that time, heating of the moist air mass will maximize instability with over 3000 J/kg MUCAPE possible. Low-level wind fields will be rather weak, but modest westerlies and the progressive trough will keep storms moving, while the uncapped/warmed boundary layer favors widespread outflow winds, some damaging and locally severe. ...MT into ND... Relatively cool southeast winds will maintain stable conditions for much of the day, but by late afternoon/early evening the air mass near the surface low should become heat and uncapped, with storms forming from southwest into central MT initially. Ascent with the developing cold front and progressive upper wave should then aid further storm development during the evening across much of eastern MT, with storms into ND after 03Z. It is expected that sufficient cold pools will develop to maintain at least isolated strong to severe storms despite potential capping. Damaging gusts should be the primary severe mode. ..Jewell.. 06/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...AND FROM PARTS OF MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds will be possible across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States on Sunday. Hail and damaging winds may also occur from eastern Montana into western North Dakota. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will proceed eastward from the upper Great Lakes into the Northeast, with a primary midlevel speed max sweeping across northern New England during the day. Behind this initial feature, a positive tile wave will push southeastward toward the Mid Atlantic, with most of the height falls occurring late. A surface low will likely be over Maine, with a trough/wind shift extending southwestward across eastern PA/NJ, VA/Delmarva, and into the Carolinas. Behind that trough, high pressure will be centered over the upper MS valley, with an east-west oriented boundary sinking south across the OH/TN Valleys, becoming stationary over the central Plains. Southeast surface winds will maintain moisture into the central and northern High Plains, in advance of a shortwave trough moving across the Great Basin and northern Rockies. This system will induce low pressure over southern MT into northern WY, with increasing ascent into that area late in the day. ...Much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic... The initial midlevel wave will move across NY and into northern New England, providing strong mid and high level wind fields/shear. Instability by midday over this area will gradually increase, with an environment favoring a few supercells developing across northern New England. Hail and perhaps a couple tornadoes will be possible near the surface low into Maine and where the air mass can recover sufficiently from the southwest. Farther south, scattered rain and storms will be ongoing along the length of the front early in the day across PA/WV/KY, with the primary ramp up in intensity occurring after 18Z and as the convection crosses int MD/VA. At that time, heating of the moist air mass will maximize instability with over 3000 J/kg MUCAPE possible. Low-level wind fields will be rather weak, but modest westerlies and the progressive trough will keep storms moving, while the uncapped/warmed boundary layer favors widespread outflow winds, some damaging and locally severe. ...MT into ND... Relatively cool southeast winds will maintain stable conditions for much of the day, but by late afternoon/early evening the air mass near the surface low should become heat and uncapped, with storms forming from southwest into central MT initially. Ascent with the developing cold front and progressive upper wave should then aid further storm development during the evening across much of eastern MT, with storms into ND after 03Z. It is expected that sufficient cold pools will develop to maintain at least isolated strong to severe storms despite potential capping. Damaging gusts should be the primary severe mode. ..Jewell.. 06/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...AND FROM PARTS OF MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds will be possible across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States on Sunday. Hail and damaging winds may also occur from eastern Montana into western North Dakota. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will proceed eastward from the upper Great Lakes into the Northeast, with a primary midlevel speed max sweeping across northern New England during the day. Behind this initial feature, a positive tile wave will push southeastward toward the Mid Atlantic, with most of the height falls occurring late. A surface low will likely be over Maine, with a trough/wind shift extending southwestward across eastern PA/NJ, VA/Delmarva, and into the Carolinas. Behind that trough, high pressure will be centered over the upper MS valley, with an east-west oriented boundary sinking south across the OH/TN Valleys, becoming stationary over the central Plains. Southeast surface winds will maintain moisture into the central and northern High Plains, in advance of a shortwave trough moving across the Great Basin and northern Rockies. This system will induce low pressure over southern MT into northern WY, with increasing ascent into that area late in the day. ...Much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic... The initial midlevel wave will move across NY and into northern New England, providing strong mid and high level wind fields/shear. Instability by midday over this area will gradually increase, with an environment favoring a few supercells developing across northern New England. Hail and perhaps a couple tornadoes will be possible near the surface low into Maine and where the air mass can recover sufficiently from the southwest. Farther south, scattered rain and storms will be ongoing along the length of the front early in the day across PA/WV/KY, with the primary ramp up in intensity occurring after 18Z and as the convection crosses int MD/VA. At that time, heating of the moist air mass will maximize instability with over 3000 J/kg MUCAPE possible. Low-level wind fields will be rather weak, but modest westerlies and the progressive trough will keep storms moving, while the uncapped/warmed boundary layer favors widespread outflow winds, some damaging and locally severe. ...MT into ND... Relatively cool southeast winds will maintain stable conditions for much of the day, but by late afternoon/early evening the air mass near the surface low should become heat and uncapped, with storms forming from southwest into central MT initially. Ascent with the developing cold front and progressive upper wave should then aid further storm development during the evening across much of eastern MT, with storms into ND after 03Z. It is expected that sufficient cold pools will develop to maintain at least isolated strong to severe storms despite potential capping. Damaging gusts should be the primary severe mode. ..Jewell.. 06/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...AND FROM PARTS OF MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds will be possible across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States on Sunday. Hail and damaging winds may also occur from eastern Montana into western North Dakota. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will proceed eastward from the upper Great Lakes into the Northeast, with a primary midlevel speed max sweeping across northern New England during the day. Behind this initial feature, a positive tile wave will push southeastward toward the Mid Atlantic, with most of the height falls occurring late. A surface low will likely be over Maine, with a trough/wind shift extending southwestward across eastern PA/NJ, VA/Delmarva, and into the Carolinas. Behind that trough, high pressure will be centered over the upper MS valley, with an east-west oriented boundary sinking south across the OH/TN Valleys, becoming stationary over the central Plains. Southeast surface winds will maintain moisture into the central and northern High Plains, in advance of a shortwave trough moving across the Great Basin and northern Rockies. This system will induce low pressure over southern MT into northern WY, with increasing ascent into that area late in the day. ...Much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic... The initial midlevel wave will move across NY and into northern New England, providing strong mid and high level wind fields/shear. Instability by midday over this area will gradually increase, with an environment favoring a few supercells developing across northern New England. Hail and perhaps a couple tornadoes will be possible near the surface low into Maine and where the air mass can recover sufficiently from the southwest. Farther south, scattered rain and storms will be ongoing along the length of the front early in the day across PA/WV/KY, with the primary ramp up in intensity occurring after 18Z and as the convection crosses int MD/VA. At that time, heating of the moist air mass will maximize instability with over 3000 J/kg MUCAPE possible. Low-level wind fields will be rather weak, but modest westerlies and the progressive trough will keep storms moving, while the uncapped/warmed boundary layer favors widespread outflow winds, some damaging and locally severe. ...MT into ND... Relatively cool southeast winds will maintain stable conditions for much of the day, but by late afternoon/early evening the air mass near the surface low should become heat and uncapped, with storms forming from southwest into central MT initially. Ascent with the developing cold front and progressive upper wave should then aid further storm development during the evening across much of eastern MT, with storms into ND after 03Z. It is expected that sufficient cold pools will develop to maintain at least isolated strong to severe storms despite potential capping. Damaging gusts should be the primary severe mode. ..Jewell.. 06/29/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 301200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC...AND FROM PARTS OF MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds will be possible across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States on Sunday. Hail and damaging winds may also occur from eastern Montana into western North Dakota. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will proceed eastward from the upper Great Lakes into the Northeast, with a primary midlevel speed max sweeping across northern New England during the day. Behind this initial feature, a positive tile wave will push southeastward toward the Mid Atlantic, with most of the height falls occurring late. A surface low will likely be over Maine, with a trough/wind shift extending southwestward across eastern PA/NJ, VA/Delmarva, and into the Carolinas. Behind that trough, high pressure will be centered over the upper MS valley, with an east-west oriented boundary sinking south across the OH/TN Valleys, becoming stationary over the central Plains. Southeast surface winds will maintain moisture into the central and northern High Plains, in advance of a shortwave trough moving across the Great Basin and northern Rockies. This system will induce low pressure over southern MT into northern WY, with increasing ascent into that area late in the day. ...Much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic... The initial midlevel wave will move across NY and into northern New England, providing strong mid and high level wind fields/shear. Instability by midday over this area will gradually increase, with an environment favoring a few supercells developing across northern New England. Hail and perhaps a couple tornadoes will be possible near the surface low into Maine and where the air mass can recover sufficiently from the southwest. Farther south, scattered rain and storms will be ongoing along the length of the front early in the day across PA/WV/KY, with the primary ramp up in intensity occurring after 18Z and as the convection crosses int MD/VA. At that time, heating of the moist air mass will maximize instability with over 3000 J/kg MUCAPE possible. Low-level wind fields will be rather weak, but modest westerlies and the progressive trough will keep storms moving, while the uncapped/warmed boundary layer favors widespread outflow winds, some damaging and locally severe. ...MT into ND... Relatively cool southeast winds will maintain stable conditions for much of the day, but by late afternoon/early evening the air mass near the surface low should become heat and uncapped, with storms forming from southwest into central MT initially. Ascent with the developing cold front and progressive upper wave should then aid further storm development during the evening across much of eastern MT, with storms into ND after 03Z. It is expected that sufficient cold pools will develop to maintain at least isolated strong to severe storms despite potential capping. Damaging gusts should be the primary severe mode. ..Jewell.. 06/29/2024 Read more

WW 0482 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0482 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 Valid 291700Z - 301200Z ...17z Update... Minimal changes have been assessed to the current outlook. The Elevated area over portions of the eastern Great Basin has been expanded slightly to better cover the area of expected gusty winds and low RH. A few hours of gusty drainage winds are also possible across northern NV late this afternoon into the evening. However, the duration and coverage appear limited, as well as poorly overlapped with the lowest RH. Finally, an isolated thunderstorm is possible over parts of the northern Sierra this afternoon and evening, but storm coverage should be very isolated, given relatively modest moisture. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Lyons.. 06/29/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will develop over the central Rockies into the Plains states as a mid-level trough impinges on the Interior West today. A surface low will develop across the Great Basin, encouraging 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15 percent RH by afternoon peak heating across southern and eastern Nevada into western Utah, where Elevated highlights have been maintained. Meanwhile, some mid-level moisture will accompany the western mid-level trough and overspread the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, especially late in the period. Mainly showers are expected, but a couple of thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out. Given questionable receptiveness of fuels and overall coverage of thunderstorms, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook. Finally, a surface low may develop during the afternoon across Far West Texas, encouraging dry and breezy conditions near and just west of the Trans Pecos. The potential brevity and localized nature of the dry and breezy conditions over Far West Texas preclude Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more