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WW 0652 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 652 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 652 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-270040- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY DICKINSON IDA LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX WOODBURY MNC033-063-105-270040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON NOBLES NEC003-027-043-051-107-139-173-179-270040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON KNOX PIERCE Read more

WW 0652 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 652 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 652 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-270040- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY DICKINSON IDA LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX WOODBURY MNC033-063-105-270040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON NOBLES NEC003-027-043-051-107-139-173-179-270040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON KNOX PIERCE Read more

WW 0652 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 652 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 652 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-270040- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY DICKINSON IDA LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX WOODBURY MNC033-063-105-270040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON NOBLES NEC003-027-043-051-107-139-173-179-270040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON KNOX PIERCE Read more

WW 652 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 262250Z - 270400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 652 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Iowa Southwest Minnesota Northeast Nebraska Far Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms should continue to move eastward across northeast Nebraska and vicinity while posing a threat for large hail around 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter. Severe winds mainly around 60-70 mph may also occur, with additional intense thunderstorms possibly developing over the next few hours along a surface boundary into northwest Iowa and southwest Minnesota. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles southwest of Yankton SD to 10 miles east southeast of Spencer IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649...WW 650...WW 651... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

Yellow jackets have been more noticeable this summer in West Virginia largely due to drought conditions in the region. The hot, dry weather parched the soil, leaving yellow jackets seeking water near creeks, gardens, and areas with sprinkler systems. WCHS-TV (Charleston, W.V.), Aug 26, 2024

MD 2004 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 651... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN
Mesoscale Discussion 2004 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Minnesota into western Wisconsin Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 651... Valid 262344Z - 270115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 651 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 651. A bow echo MCS may develop soon and produce a focused corridor of severe wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Multiple HP supercells have merged over the past hour into an MCS, with KMPX radar data showing more low-level outflow along the leading edge of these storms. Both KMPX and MRMS mosaic radar imagery show some bowing structure to this MCS, with cross-sections of KMPX velocity data showing a possible rear-inflow jet becoming established in the MCS's trailing precipitation region. This MCS is poised to track eastward along a buoyancy gradient delineating a modestly vs. extremely unstable environment. Low-level shear is weak to modest at best ahead of this MCS, so it is unclear if an intense bow echo can become established. Nonetheless, given extreme buoyancy, at least some bow echo organization is likely over the next couple of hours, accompanied by a severe gust threat. A focused corridor of damaging winds cannot be ruled out, and a couple of the stronger gusts may reach or exceed 75 mph. ..Squitieri.. 08/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX... LAT...LON 44079473 44699396 45429316 45529242 45239186 44799174 44379222 44089281 43909337 43889435 44079473 Read more

MD 2003 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL NE INTO NORTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 2003 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0528 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 Areas affected...Parts of western/central NE into northwest KS Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262228Z - 270000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Some increase in the severe wind/hail threat is possible into the early evening. DISCUSSION...Some increase in storm intensity has been noted over the last hour over far southwest NE, in the vicinity of a weak surface boundary. In the immediate vicinity of the boundary, MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg and effective shear of 30-40 kt will support organized convection, with a threat of isolated hail and localized strong/severe gusts. The evolution of this convection into the early evening remains somewhat uncertain. While some MLCINH is present into parts of west-central NE, there is potential for ongoing convection to spread northeastward with time, especially if stronger outflow can become established. Should this occur, some threat for strong/severe gusts and hail could persist into the evening. Isolated storm development also remains possible along an outflow-reinforced front that has sagged into north-central NE, to the south of WW 650. Favorable instability and deep-layer shear will support a conditional severe hail/wind risk with any development in this area. Observational trends will be monitored regarding the need for watch issuance across this region. ..Dean/Gleason.. 08/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD... LAT...LON 39770180 41170125 41840101 41899944 41029920 40359943 39969978 39760049 39770180 Read more

WW 0650 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 650 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW TOR TO 20 NNW CDR TO 45 NE CDR TO 30 NNE RAP TO 40 SSE 2WX TO 15 SW 2WX. ..DEAN..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...CYS...LBF...UNR...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 650 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-015-017-031-045-089-103-149-161-165-270040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE BOYD BROWN CHERRY DAWES HOLT KEYA PAHA ROCK SHERIDAN SIOUX SDC007-023-053-055-071-093-095-102-103-121-123-270040- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT CHARLES MIX GREGORY HAAKON JACKSON MEADE MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON TODD TRIPP THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 650 SEVERE TSTM MT NE SD WY 262010Z - 270400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 650 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 210 PM MDT Mon Aug 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far Southeast Montana Northern Nebraska Western and Southern South Dakota Northeast Wyoming * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms including supercells will continue to develop this afternoon across northeast Wyoming/far southeast Montana into western South Dakota, with additional and more isolated development possible along the South Dakota/Nebraska border vicinity. Clusters of eastward-moving storms should evolve by evening, potentially as a severe-wind producing linear convective system that should move across southern South Dakota and northern Nebraska. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles west of Rapid City SD to 50 miles north northeast of Oneill NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Guyer Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262328
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gilma, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands and on Tropical
Storm Hector, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

WW 0652 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 652 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 652 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-270040- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY DICKINSON IDA LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH SIOUX WOODBURY MNC033-063-105-270040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTONWOOD JACKSON NOBLES NEC003-027-043-051-107-139-173-179-270040- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANTELOPE CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON KNOX PIERCE Read more

WW 652 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 262250Z - 270400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 652 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 550 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Iowa Southwest Minnesota Northeast Nebraska Far Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 550 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms should continue to move eastward across northeast Nebraska and vicinity while posing a threat for large hail around 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter. Severe winds mainly around 60-70 mph may also occur, with additional intense thunderstorms possibly developing over the next few hours along a surface boundary into northwest Iowa and southwest Minnesota. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles southwest of Yankton SD to 10 miles east southeast of Spencer IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649...WW 650...WW 651... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0649 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 649 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE RWF TO 20 ESE AXN TO 45 ESE BRD. ..SQUITIERI..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 649 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC009-065-093-095-141-145-171-270040- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENTON KANABEC MEEKER MILLE LACS SHERBURNE STEARNS WRIGHT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 649 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 261940Z - 270200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 649 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 240 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central Minnesota Southeast North Dakota * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms should continue to develop across far southeast North Dakota into central Minnesota, where the air mass continues to become very unstable. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north northwest of Ortonville MN to 35 miles northeast of Saint Cloud MN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer Read more

MD 2002 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 650... FOR WESTERN SD INTO THE NORTHERN NE PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 2002 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0451 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 Areas affected...Western SD into the northern NE Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 650... Valid 262151Z - 262315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 650 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for severe gusts, hail, and possibly a tornado will spread eastward through late afternoon. DISCUSSION...A storm cluster is becoming increasingly well organized this afternoon from the Black Hills vicinity to near the NE/SD border, immediately in advance of a seasonably strong shortwave trough moving across northern WY/southern MT. While the mode has already become primarily linear, MLCAPE of 500-1500 J/kg (greater with southward extent) and strong deep-layer shear will continue to support embedded supercell structures. As this developing QLCS moves eastward, it will be accompanied by a threat of severe gusts, with some increasing threat for significant gusts (greater than 75 mph) if continued upscale growth occurs. Hail (locally in excess of 2 inches in diameter) and possibly a tornado will also be possible with embedded supercells, especially along the southern portion of the QLCS, where instability is stronger and the line will intersect a nearly stationary surface boundary near the NE/SD border. ..Dean.. 08/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS... LAT...LON 44670401 44650297 44350204 43900170 43210161 42670184 42400218 42260262 42130320 42120394 42430392 42960376 43300366 43610359 43890360 44670401 Read more

MD 2001 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA
Mesoscale Discussion 2001 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0439 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024 Areas affected...portions of far northeast Nebraska...southeast South Dakota...southwest to central Minnesota...northwest Iowa Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 262139Z - 262315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat may increase over the next few hours. Severe wind and hail would be the main threats, though a couple of tornadoes could not be ruled out. Convective trends are being monitored for the need of a WW issuance. DISCUSSION...Convective outflow from earlier storms has sagged southeast along the periphery of strong to extreme instability (characterized by 4000-5000 J/kg MLCAPE), but modest remaining MLCINH. Forcing along this baroclinic boundary is not overly strong, yet satellite and MRMS mosaic radar data depict attempts at convective initiation just east of the SD/MN over the past hour or so. Should storms develop, mature, and sustain themselves, 30-40 kts of effective bulk shear overlapping this extreme instability will support initial supercell structures with significant severe wind and hail a concern. Given the extreme buoyancy and presence of one or more boundaries, a couple of tornadoes also cannot be ruled out if supercells can anchor on the boundary and ingest locally higher SRH. If storms develop and cold pool mergers occur, bowing segments capable of producing focused corridors of severe gusts is also possible. Nonetheless, given weak forcing, it is unclear if storms can become sustained and more widespread. Convective trends will continue to be monitored for the need of a WW issuance. ..Squitieri/Gleason.. 08/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF... LAT...LON 42419887 43299739 44069647 44709545 45649370 45579293 45079266 44549261 43229466 42919535 42579616 42409678 42349781 42419887 Read more

WW 0652 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0652 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0649 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 649 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW VVV TO 30 NNE BRD. ..THORNTON..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 649 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-009-011-021-023-035-041-065-067-073-093-095-097-121-141- 145-149-151-153-155-171-173-262340- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE CASS CHIPPEWA CROW WING DOUGLAS KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON POPE SHERBURNE STEARNS STEVENS SWIFT TODD TRAVERSE WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0650 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 650 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW TOR TO 25 NNW CDR TO 15 S RAP TO 25 S 2WX. ..THORNTON..08/26/24 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...CYS...LBF...UNR...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 650 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC013-015-017-031-045-089-103-149-161-165-262340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE BOYD BROWN CHERRY DAWES HOLT KEYA PAHA ROCK SHERIDAN SIOUX SDC007-023-053-055-071-093-095-102-103-121-123-262340- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT CHARLES MIX GREGORY HAAKON JACKSON MEADE MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON TODD TRIPP THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES Read more

WW 0651 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0651 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more