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The weather in West Central Texas was warmer than normal and dry, with highs reported in the low 90s and lows in the upper 50s. No precipitation was reported, and winds were high. Cotton yields were coming in much lower than expected, with a large majority of cotton fields being zeroed out due to drought. Wheat was suffering, and armyworms were being reported in fields. Fields planted with seeds treated against armyworms were not being eaten, but overall most wheat fields had yet to emerge. The district needed rain to improve soil moisture, rangeland and growing conditions. Livestock were in fair condition, and there was a continued need to feed livestock and wildlife. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Oct 29, 2024 Higher temperatures prevailed in West Central Texas, with no precipitation recorded, leading to another hot, dry week with daily highs in the mid-90s. Temperatures remained above normal. Some farmers successfully harvested the second round of hay grazer and third round of coastal hay, achieving good tonnage per acre. While many producers began planting wheat, some opted to wait until November. Others continued to dust in wheat and oats, hoping for rain. Emerged wheat required additional moisture, and while dryland cotton showed some progress with lower bolls starting to open, the overall crop remained poor due to summer drought conditions. Pecan harvest began, but results were inconsistent. Pastures remained in fair condition, providing decent grazing. Range showed limited new growth of warm-season grasses due to cooler nighttime temperatures. Livestock were generally in acceptable condition, but some producers fed hay and supplemental protein as smaller stock tanks rapidly declined. The market for cattle was active, with stocker steers selling at steady to slightly lower prices, while feeder steers and heifers showed modest gains. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Oct 16, 2024 Recent weather brought some relief to West Central Texas with cooler temperatures and scattered rain showers, averaging around 0.5 inches for the week. While these conditions eased the intense heat of recent weeks, the district remained critically dry, impacting crops and pastures. Forages resumed some growth, but many warm-season crops and pecan trees continued to suffer from drought stress. Field preparations were underway for fall planting, though more moisture was needed to proceed. Livestock conditions were stable but impacted by reduced forage quality and water shortages, leading some producers to sell cattle. Overall, while cooler temperatures were a welcomed change, the area still faced severe dry conditions and the need for more substantial rainfall. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Sept 5, 2024

Conditions remained very dry in the Panhandle. Overall, soil moisture levels were reported from adequate to very short. The corn and grain sorghum harvests continued, and forage sorghum continued to be chopped as fields dried to suitable moisture contents. The cotton harvest was getting underway as harvest aid applications were applied to most fields within the past few weeks. Upper-canopy bolls had opened nicely given the number of sunny, relatively warm days available to reach final maturity. There were no major wind or storm events that would have degraded the cotton fiber. Any additional rainfall would help recently emerged small grain and winter cover crops. Supplemental feeding of cows continued. Pasture and rangeland conditions were very poor to fair, with overall crop conditions reported as poor to good. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Oct 29, 2024 Warm temperatures and dry conditions continued across the Panhandle. The harvest of feed grain and forage crops continued. Oilseed crops, particularly cotton, were reaching their final stages of maturity. Many cotton fields received harvest aids. The emergence and establishment of fall-planted small grain crops appeared to be progressing well; however, additional precipitation will be necessary to support their early growth and development. Pasture conditions continued to decline, with overall soil moisture levels that ranged from very short to adequate. Pasture and rangeland conditions varied from very poor to fair, while overall crop conditions ranged from poor to good. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Oct 16, 2024 Some Panhandle counties received scattered showers, while others received measurable rainfall. Conditions overall were favorable for the final phases of maturity for most crops. Harvesting of feed grains got underway and continued in fields targeted for forage-silage. Corn harvest continued. Cotton harvest was expected to begin after the first killing frost, which typically takes place around Oct. 10. Pastures started to show signs of dormancy with little grazing quality. Overall soil moisture was very short to adequate. Pasture and rangeland conditions were very poor to fair and crops were poor to good. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Oct 1, 2024 Dry weather and heat continued in the Panhandle. Wheat planting progressed slowly, with most producers waiting for moisture. The corn harvest was more active, and the soybean and sorghum harvests started. Rangeland and pastures went dormant, and late haying continued. Overall soil moisture was very short to short. Pasture and rangeland conditions were very poor to fair, and overall crop conditions were poor to good. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Sept 17, 2024 The Panhandle experienced extreme heat and drought conditions. Livestock producers supplemented with hay and protein. Wheat planting began in irrigated circles intended for fall pasture. The corn crop started to dry down in many early planted fields, with harvest expected to begin soon. Rangeland was going dormant. Overall soil moisture ranged from very short to short, and pasture and range conditions were very poor to fair. Overall, crop conditions were poor to good. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), Sept 5, 2024

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains from this evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Moderate west to southwest flow aloft will stretch from the Plains into the Northeast today, with a broad upper trough across much of the West. A strong embedded wave will drop southward overnight from OR/CA into the Great basin, providing cooling aloft. Ahead of this system, gradual height rises will occur over the southern Plains as the western system amplifies. At the surface, high pressure will exist from the Great Lakes southward toward the northern Gulf Coast, with moist low-level easterly winds across the western Gulf of Mexico and into TX. By the end of the period 12Z Saturday, lower 60s F dewpoints will be as far west as the TX/NM border. ...TX... Gradual moistening of the air mass will occur across TX for much of the period, with increasing warm advection around 850 mb overnight as the upper trough amplifies to the west. Still, wind speeds will not be particularly strong, perhaps around 30-40 kt over west TX by 12Z Saturday. Although gradual warming aloft is forecast overnight, 500 mb temperatures around -10 C will still exist around the latitude of Midland. With lower 60s F dewpoints at this elevation, MUCAPE will likely exceed 1000 J/kg, while deep-layer effective shear increases to around 35 kt. Thunderstorms will likely form after 03Z over much of eastern NM and far west TX, eventually spreading into the far western TX Panhandle and South Plains. Generally veering and increasing winds with height may favor a few transient storms capable of marginally severe hail, though some midlevel weakness in wind speeds is noted. As such, a Marginal Risk for hail appears warranted tonight, perhaps as far southwest as El Paso TX. ..Jewell/Weinman.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains from this evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Moderate west to southwest flow aloft will stretch from the Plains into the Northeast today, with a broad upper trough across much of the West. A strong embedded wave will drop southward overnight from OR/CA into the Great basin, providing cooling aloft. Ahead of this system, gradual height rises will occur over the southern Plains as the western system amplifies. At the surface, high pressure will exist from the Great Lakes southward toward the northern Gulf Coast, with moist low-level easterly winds across the western Gulf of Mexico and into TX. By the end of the period 12Z Saturday, lower 60s F dewpoints will be as far west as the TX/NM border. ...TX... Gradual moistening of the air mass will occur across TX for much of the period, with increasing warm advection around 850 mb overnight as the upper trough amplifies to the west. Still, wind speeds will not be particularly strong, perhaps around 30-40 kt over west TX by 12Z Saturday. Although gradual warming aloft is forecast overnight, 500 mb temperatures around -10 C will still exist around the latitude of Midland. With lower 60s F dewpoints at this elevation, MUCAPE will likely exceed 1000 J/kg, while deep-layer effective shear increases to around 35 kt. Thunderstorms will likely form after 03Z over much of eastern NM and far west TX, eventually spreading into the far western TX Panhandle and South Plains. Generally veering and increasing winds with height may favor a few transient storms capable of marginally severe hail, though some midlevel weakness in wind speeds is noted. As such, a Marginal Risk for hail appears warranted tonight, perhaps as far southwest as El Paso TX. ..Jewell/Weinman.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains from this evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Moderate west to southwest flow aloft will stretch from the Plains into the Northeast today, with a broad upper trough across much of the West. A strong embedded wave will drop southward overnight from OR/CA into the Great basin, providing cooling aloft. Ahead of this system, gradual height rises will occur over the southern Plains as the western system amplifies. At the surface, high pressure will exist from the Great Lakes southward toward the northern Gulf Coast, with moist low-level easterly winds across the western Gulf of Mexico and into TX. By the end of the period 12Z Saturday, lower 60s F dewpoints will be as far west as the TX/NM border. ...TX... Gradual moistening of the air mass will occur across TX for much of the period, with increasing warm advection around 850 mb overnight as the upper trough amplifies to the west. Still, wind speeds will not be particularly strong, perhaps around 30-40 kt over west TX by 12Z Saturday. Although gradual warming aloft is forecast overnight, 500 mb temperatures around -10 C will still exist around the latitude of Midland. With lower 60s F dewpoints at this elevation, MUCAPE will likely exceed 1000 J/kg, while deep-layer effective shear increases to around 35 kt. Thunderstorms will likely form after 03Z over much of eastern NM and far west TX, eventually spreading into the far western TX Panhandle and South Plains. Generally veering and increasing winds with height may favor a few transient storms capable of marginally severe hail, though some midlevel weakness in wind speeds is noted. As such, a Marginal Risk for hail appears warranted tonight, perhaps as far southwest as El Paso TX. ..Jewell/Weinman.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains from this evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Moderate west to southwest flow aloft will stretch from the Plains into the Northeast today, with a broad upper trough across much of the West. A strong embedded wave will drop southward overnight from OR/CA into the Great basin, providing cooling aloft. Ahead of this system, gradual height rises will occur over the southern Plains as the western system amplifies. At the surface, high pressure will exist from the Great Lakes southward toward the northern Gulf Coast, with moist low-level easterly winds across the western Gulf of Mexico and into TX. By the end of the period 12Z Saturday, lower 60s F dewpoints will be as far west as the TX/NM border. ...TX... Gradual moistening of the air mass will occur across TX for much of the period, with increasing warm advection around 850 mb overnight as the upper trough amplifies to the west. Still, wind speeds will not be particularly strong, perhaps around 30-40 kt over west TX by 12Z Saturday. Although gradual warming aloft is forecast overnight, 500 mb temperatures around -10 C will still exist around the latitude of Midland. With lower 60s F dewpoints at this elevation, MUCAPE will likely exceed 1000 J/kg, while deep-layer effective shear increases to around 35 kt. Thunderstorms will likely form after 03Z over much of eastern NM and far west TX, eventually spreading into the far western TX Panhandle and South Plains. Generally veering and increasing winds with height may favor a few transient storms capable of marginally severe hail, though some midlevel weakness in wind speeds is noted. As such, a Marginal Risk for hail appears warranted tonight, perhaps as far southwest as El Paso TX. ..Jewell/Weinman.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains from this evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Moderate west to southwest flow aloft will stretch from the Plains into the Northeast today, with a broad upper trough across much of the West. A strong embedded wave will drop southward overnight from OR/CA into the Great basin, providing cooling aloft. Ahead of this system, gradual height rises will occur over the southern Plains as the western system amplifies. At the surface, high pressure will exist from the Great Lakes southward toward the northern Gulf Coast, with moist low-level easterly winds across the western Gulf of Mexico and into TX. By the end of the period 12Z Saturday, lower 60s F dewpoints will be as far west as the TX/NM border. ...TX... Gradual moistening of the air mass will occur across TX for much of the period, with increasing warm advection around 850 mb overnight as the upper trough amplifies to the west. Still, wind speeds will not be particularly strong, perhaps around 30-40 kt over west TX by 12Z Saturday. Although gradual warming aloft is forecast overnight, 500 mb temperatures around -10 C will still exist around the latitude of Midland. With lower 60s F dewpoints at this elevation, MUCAPE will likely exceed 1000 J/kg, while deep-layer effective shear increases to around 35 kt. Thunderstorms will likely form after 03Z over much of eastern NM and far west TX, eventually spreading into the far western TX Panhandle and South Plains. Generally veering and increasing winds with height may favor a few transient storms capable of marginally severe hail, though some midlevel weakness in wind speeds is noted. As such, a Marginal Risk for hail appears warranted tonight, perhaps as far southwest as El Paso TX. ..Jewell/Weinman.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1145 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms, a few which may become capable of marginal hail/wind, will likely evolve across parts of the southern High Plains from this evening into the overnight. ...Synopsis... Moderate west to southwest flow aloft will stretch from the Plains into the Northeast today, with a broad upper trough across much of the West. A strong embedded wave will drop southward overnight from OR/CA into the Great basin, providing cooling aloft. Ahead of this system, gradual height rises will occur over the southern Plains as the western system amplifies. At the surface, high pressure will exist from the Great Lakes southward toward the northern Gulf Coast, with moist low-level easterly winds across the western Gulf of Mexico and into TX. By the end of the period 12Z Saturday, lower 60s F dewpoints will be as far west as the TX/NM border. ...TX... Gradual moistening of the air mass will occur across TX for much of the period, with increasing warm advection around 850 mb overnight as the upper trough amplifies to the west. Still, wind speeds will not be particularly strong, perhaps around 30-40 kt over west TX by 12Z Saturday. Although gradual warming aloft is forecast overnight, 500 mb temperatures around -10 C will still exist around the latitude of Midland. With lower 60s F dewpoints at this elevation, MUCAPE will likely exceed 1000 J/kg, while deep-layer effective shear increases to around 35 kt. Thunderstorms will likely form after 03Z over much of eastern NM and far west TX, eventually spreading into the far western TX Panhandle and South Plains. Generally veering and increasing winds with height may favor a few transient storms capable of marginally severe hail, though some midlevel weakness in wind speeds is noted. As such, a Marginal Risk for hail appears warranted tonight, perhaps as far southwest as El Paso TX. ..Jewell/Weinman.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through Friday morning. Scattered thunderstorms persist this evening near a weak surface trough extending from far southern TX into LA and MS. These storms remain in a weakly sheared environment, well south of the shortwave trough moving across the upper Great Lakes. While the environment is moist and marginally unstable, severe weather is therefore unlikely. ..Jewell.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through Friday morning. Scattered thunderstorms persist this evening near a weak surface trough extending from far southern TX into LA and MS. These storms remain in a weakly sheared environment, well south of the shortwave trough moving across the upper Great Lakes. While the environment is moist and marginally unstable, severe weather is therefore unlikely. ..Jewell.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through Friday morning. Scattered thunderstorms persist this evening near a weak surface trough extending from far southern TX into LA and MS. These storms remain in a weakly sheared environment, well south of the shortwave trough moving across the upper Great Lakes. While the environment is moist and marginally unstable, severe weather is therefore unlikely. ..Jewell.. 11/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0712 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through Friday morning. Scattered thunderstorms persist this evening near a weak surface trough extending from far southern TX into LA and MS. These storms remain in a weakly sheared environment, well south of the shortwave trough moving across the upper Great Lakes. While the environment is moist and marginally unstable, severe weather is therefore unlikely. ..Jewell.. 11/01/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312343
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific (EP92):
Satellite-derived winds indicate that the area of low pressure
located a little over 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula has become better defined this
afternoon. However, shower and thunderstorm activity remains
disorganized. Some further development of this system is possible
during the next couple of days while the low moves slowly to the
west-northwest. By late this weekend, environmental conditions are
expected to become less conducive to development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern
Mexico during the early to middle part of next week. Afterward,
some slow development is possible while the system meanders or
drifts generally eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

No watches are valid as of Thu Oct 31 22:30:02 UTC 2024.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Oct 31 22:30:02 UTC 2024.

Canyon Lake was nearly 27 feet low, and 23 boat ramps were no longer in use due to low water levels. Boat ramp #18 will close on Nov. 1 because it has just 14 feet of ramp with a steep drop at the end, making it too dangerous to use. The flow of the Guadalupe River into Canyon Lake was very weak. KABB-TV FOX 29 San Antonio (Texas), Oct 31, 2024

Dry weather in Illinois hastened the harvest, but slowed fieldwork. The dry ground was too hard for some tillage tools. Vertical drilling was not possible because the machine would not go into the ground. Some farmers with newer rippers with rolling baskets were able to get through the field. Those with older tools were leaving enormous clods of dirt. Field fires have also been a problem as the strong winds and low humidity have fueled fires across the state. Heat and drought have also delayed applications of anhydrous ammonia. The soil also needs to be somewhat moist to capture the ammonia or it is wasted. Farm Week Now (Bloomington, Ill.), Oct 31, 2024

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z A strong upper-level trough will dig into the Great Basin/Four Corners this weekend and eject into the Plains by early next week. A moderately strong surface high will move into the Great Basin and Northwest in its wake. Another strong upper-level trough is then forecast to dig into the same region by the middle of next week with an additional surface high in its wake as well. Models do differ slightly on the evolution of this secondary trough by late next week. Fire weather concerns will primarily focus on southern California during the period. Dry and windy conditions are possible in some parts of the Plains with the two troughs, but preceding precipitation should greatly limit fire weather concerns. ...California... Downslope/offshore winds are possible Sunday into Tuesday from the Sacramento Valley into southern California. For northern California, the upper-level system will bring enough precipitation to largely mitigate any fire weather concerns. For southern California, minimal precipitation is expected. Even so, the offshore winds will be occurring over generally unreceptive fuels. For next Wednesday into Thursday, another offshore wind event appears possible with a another strong upper trough moving into the Great Basin and Southwest. Current forecast guidance suggests the orientation of the trough will be favorable for some upper-level wind support as well. The primary question will be how fuels respond to the initial offshore winds. At this time, it is uncertain whether substantial fire weather risk will develop. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z A strong upper-level trough will dig into the Great Basin/Four Corners this weekend and eject into the Plains by early next week. A moderately strong surface high will move into the Great Basin and Northwest in its wake. Another strong upper-level trough is then forecast to dig into the same region by the middle of next week with an additional surface high in its wake as well. Models do differ slightly on the evolution of this secondary trough by late next week. Fire weather concerns will primarily focus on southern California during the period. Dry and windy conditions are possible in some parts of the Plains with the two troughs, but preceding precipitation should greatly limit fire weather concerns. ...California... Downslope/offshore winds are possible Sunday into Tuesday from the Sacramento Valley into southern California. For northern California, the upper-level system will bring enough precipitation to largely mitigate any fire weather concerns. For southern California, minimal precipitation is expected. Even so, the offshore winds will be occurring over generally unreceptive fuels. For next Wednesday into Thursday, another offshore wind event appears possible with a another strong upper trough moving into the Great Basin and Southwest. Current forecast guidance suggests the orientation of the trough will be favorable for some upper-level wind support as well. The primary question will be how fuels respond to the initial offshore winds. At this time, it is uncertain whether substantial fire weather risk will develop. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2024 Valid 021200Z - 081200Z A strong upper-level trough will dig into the Great Basin/Four Corners this weekend and eject into the Plains by early next week. A moderately strong surface high will move into the Great Basin and Northwest in its wake. Another strong upper-level trough is then forecast to dig into the same region by the middle of next week with an additional surface high in its wake as well. Models do differ slightly on the evolution of this secondary trough by late next week. Fire weather concerns will primarily focus on southern California during the period. Dry and windy conditions are possible in some parts of the Plains with the two troughs, but preceding precipitation should greatly limit fire weather concerns. ...California... Downslope/offshore winds are possible Sunday into Tuesday from the Sacramento Valley into southern California. For northern California, the upper-level system will bring enough precipitation to largely mitigate any fire weather concerns. For southern California, minimal precipitation is expected. Even so, the offshore winds will be occurring over generally unreceptive fuels. For next Wednesday into Thursday, another offshore wind event appears possible with a another strong upper trough moving into the Great Basin and Southwest. Current forecast guidance suggests the orientation of the trough will be favorable for some upper-level wind support as well. The primary question will be how fuels respond to the initial offshore winds. At this time, it is uncertain whether substantial fire weather risk will develop. ..Wendt.. 10/31/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more