SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC Oct 31, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

8 months 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of severe winds and a few tornadoes remain possible in a zone from central into northeast Oklahoma and into western Missouri. A few destructive wind gusts can be anticipated. ...Discussion... Storms continue to evolve along a cold front this evening, most notably from north-central OK into southeast KS and into northwest MO. Shear remains strong across the entire region, with low-level shear supportive of rotation maximized beneath the low-level jet from eastern OK into MO. The 00Z OUN sounding shows a supercell hodograph especially for storms moving rightward off the front/boundary. Given the upper trough position, large-scale ascent appears to be most favorable through late evening from northeast OK into western MO, while farther south, ascent will be more heavily dependent on the surface cold front, especially into northern TX tonight. Damaging winds appear to be the most likely severe mode given storms oriented/congealed along the boundary. However, embedded/QLCS type tornadoes will be possible given such favorable low-level shear. Overall instability is not particularly strong due to modest midlevel lapse rates, but is clearly sufficient given other favorable factors. For more information see mesoscale discussions 2169, 2170, and 2171. ..Jewell.. 10/31/2024 Read more

SPC MD 2168

8 months 3 weeks ago
MD 2168 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 695... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 2168 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern KS and western Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 695... Valid 302318Z - 310045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695 continues. SUMMARY...A broken squall line continues to slowly mature near the eastward advancing cold front. As these updrafts organize, they will remain capable of damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes. DISCUSSION...As of 2315 UTC, regional radar imagery showed a long broken band of storms near a cold front stretching from northern MO, into northeast and east-central KS. So far, this line has remained on the cool side of the front, with numerous bursts of likely elevated convection. Over the last hour, composite radar imagery and satellite have shown some intensification of the convection as it has started to overtake the front in spots. The environment across northeastern KS is broadly unstable with 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and 45-50 kt of deep-layer shear. Plenty sufficient for continued storm organization into a QLCS mode, storms should slowly strengthen as they quickly track east northeast this evening. A few more isolated cells have also been noted on a subtle confluence axis ahead of the primary squall line. Intensification of these incipient storms into supercells is possible given favorable thermodynamic/kinematic parameter space, though highly uncertain. Given the primary linear storm mode, the main severe risk is likely damaging winds. Strong mid-level flow will aide in downward transport of strong wind gusts, some potentially as high as 75-80 mph. However, low-level shear is also strong and expected to increase this evening with the intensification of the low-level jet. VAD data and 00-02z RAP forecast soundings show enlargement of hodographs is underway, with 0-1km SRH of 250-300 m2/s2. This will support a risk for a few tornadoes. Despite the messy storm mode, an isolated stronger tornado will also remain possible should a more established supercell develop given the very strong low-level shear. ..Lyons.. 10/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 38169603 38439614 39249562 39839527 40089488 40079480 40469370 40289348 39979346 39139373 38169409 38099463 38079544 38089568 38169603 Read more

SPC MD 2169

8 months 3 weeks ago
MD 2169 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 695...696... FOR SOUTHEAST KS AND FAR NORTHEAST OK/SOUTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 2169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024 Areas affected...southeast KS and far northeast OK/southwest MO Concerning...Tornado Watch 695...696... Valid 302357Z - 310100Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695, 696 continues. SUMMARY...Severe wind and tornado threats are increasing across southeast Kansas into adjacent portions of Missouri and Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...Discrete cells have recently increased across northeast OK, ahead of the linear convective band farther west along the composite outflow/cold front. These cells appear to be on the leading edge of slightly richer low-level moisture and a few of them should deepen into supercells shortly within rather favorable deep-layer shear per the Tulsa VWP. While severe wind potential should remain the primary hazard in terms of coverage as the upstream linear band shifts east-northeast, the tornado threat should increase as these cells become absorbed into the line, where surface dew points at or above 63 F can be maintained. This appears most probable across parts of far northeast OK into southeast KS through 03Z. ..Grams/Hart.. 10/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 36719598 37349586 37789584 38029554 38099508 37949472 37759445 37469441 36779495 36469563 36719598 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 696 Status Reports

8 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0696 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 696 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS 2169 AND 2170. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 696 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC035-037-063-081-097-105-107-111-113-115-117-125-131-133-143- 145-147-310140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIG CREEK HUGHES LINCOLN MAYES NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 694 Status Reports

8 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0694 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E CSM TO 5 S PNC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2170. ..GRAMS..10/31/24 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 694 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC011-015-017-027-047-051-073-083-087-103-109-119-149-310140- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND GARFIELD GRADY KINGFISHER LOGAN MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA PAYNE WASHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 693 Status Reports

8 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0693 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 693 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW CDJ TO 30 ESE LWD TO 25 NE OXV TO 25 S ALO. ..THORNTON..10/30/24 ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC007-051-123-135-157-179-302340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPANOOSE DAVIS MAHASKA MONROE POWESHIEK WAPELLO MOC001-079-171-197-211-302340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR GRUNDY PUTNAM SCHUYLER SULLIVAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 693 Status Reports

8 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0693 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 693 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW CDJ TO 30 ESE LWD TO 25 NE OXV TO 25 S ALO. ..THORNTON..10/30/24 ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC007-051-123-135-157-179-302340- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE APPANOOSE DAVIS MAHASKA MONROE POWESHIEK WAPELLO MOC001-079-171-197-211-302340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR GRUNDY PUTNAM SCHUYLER SULLIVAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more